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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tarleton State by 12.3

Home Win Probability

Tarleton State 75%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Tarleton State -3

Edge: Tarleton State -3 (9.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central Arkansas
077014
Tarleton State
7781739

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-722-1429-1439-14
Tarleton StateCentral Arkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CATSCATSCATSCATSCACATSCATSCATSCATSCATSTSTSCATSCATSDOWNS537ydTD662ydPUNT35ydPUNT510ydPUNT943ydTD776ydPUNT413ydPUNT843ydPUNT3-4ydTD527ydDOWNS1055ydEND1-1ydDOWNS1686ydSAF21ydTD147ydTD475ydPUNT35ydTO3-6ydTD325ydFG514ydTD224ydTO542ydPUNT35ydDOWNS843ydEND78yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Arkansas and Tarleton State
StatisticCentral ArkansasTarleton State
Passing13-2815-21
Pass Yards156245
Rush Yards118200
Total Yards274445
Turnovers31
3rd Down3-116-15
Penalties8-474-35
Possession23:0936:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Arkansas
passing
Caleb Koger
13/28, 156 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
ShunDerrick Powell
11 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malachi Henry
4 REC, 42 YDS
Tarleton State
passing
Victor Gabalis
15/21, 245 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Kayvon Britten
26 CAR, 154 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darius Cooper
5 REC, 110 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Caleb Koger pass complete to ShunDerrick Powell for 31 yds to the TAR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Darius Hale run for 3 yds to the TAR 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Darius Hale run for 3 yds to the TAR 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.83

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the TAR 46

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the CARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the CARK 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 16 yds to the CARK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 15 yds to the CARK 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Victor Gabalis run for 8 yds to the CARK 7

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.11

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 7 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

ShunDerrick Powell run for 1 yd to the CARK 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

ShunDerrick Powell run for 4 yds to the CARK 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Trace Beard punt for 32 yds, downed at the TAR 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the TAR 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 14 yds to the CARK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the CARK 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.10

Victor Gabalis sacked by David Walker and Demetrias Charles for a loss of 10 yards to the TAR 48

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

ShunDerrick Powell run for 6 yds to the CARK 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Caleb Koger pass complete to Malachi Henry for no gain to the CARK 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.07

Caleb Koger pass complete to Trejan Bridges for 30 yds to the CARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

ShunDerrick Powell run for 5 yds to the TAR 46

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

ShunDerrick Powell run for no gain to the TAR 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.84

Caleb Koger pass complete to Malachi Henry for 7 yds to the TAR 39 for a 1ST down

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, Delay Of Game (Caleb Koger) to the TAR 44

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Trace Beard punt for 20 yds, downed at the TAR 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Trevon West for 14 yds to the TAR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Kayvon Britten run for 9 yds to the TAR 47

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Kayvon Britten run for 12 yds to the CARK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GABALIS, Victor pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for OMAYEBU, Benjamin thrown to the UCA0; QB hurried by. PENALTY TAR Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on AL SOUFI, Kariem enforced 5 yards from the UCA41 to the UCA46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Braelon Bridges run for 11 yds to the CARK 35

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the CARK 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.70

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the CARK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Kayvon Britten run for 27 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 55 yds , Manny Smith return for 22 yds to the CARK 32

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

ShunDerrick Powell run for 16 yds to the CARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Eric McGehee run for a loss of 3 yards to the CARK 45

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+45 yds

Trace Beard punt for 45 yds , Blake Smith returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the TAR 15

2nd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.66

Victor Gabalis sacked by Javeon Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the TAR 10

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Victor Gabalis run for 9 yds to the TAR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.59

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 27 yds to the CARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the CARK 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Braelon Bridges for no gain to the CARK 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 25 yds, downed at the CARK 23

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CARK 18

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Darius Hale run for 9 yds to the CARK 27

2nd & 6Penalty-9 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Caleb Koger) to the CARK 18

3rd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

ShunDerrick Powell run for 1 yd to the CARK 19

4th & 14Punt+46 yds

Trace Beard punt for 46 yds , Blake Smith returns for no gain to the TAR 27 , returns for 3 yds to the TAR 27

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Manny Smith run for 11 yds to the TAR 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Darius Hale run for no gain to the TAR 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.43

Caleb Koger pass complete to Malachi Henry for 13 yds to the TAR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Darius Hale run for 2 yds to the TAR 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Caleb Koger run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Gaster KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 5 yds to the TAR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.07

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 25 yds to the CARK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 1 yard to the CARK 41

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Kayvon Britten run for 12 yds to the CARK 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the CARK 21

2nd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.27

Victor Gabalis sacked by David Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the CARK 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA -2.61

Victor Gabalis run for 6 yds to the CARK 20

0th & 10End of Half+1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

[NHSG] Kneel down by KOGER, Caleb at UCA19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 57 yds , Benjamin Omayebu return for 20 yds to the TAR 12

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.53

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 15 yds to the TAR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Kayvon Britten run for 12 yds to the TAR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the TAR 43 Kayvon Britten fumbled, recovered by TAR Kayvon Britten K. Britten return for 0 yds

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Victor Gabalis run for 8 yds to the CARK 49

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the CARK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the CARK 43

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Victor Gabalis run for 7 yds to the CARK 36

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.77

Braelon Bridges run for 4 yds to the CARK 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Victor Gabalis run for 1 yd to the TAR 13

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 16

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(09:00) GABALIS, Victor pass deep to the right incomplete intended for COOPER, Darius thrown to the UCA3. PENALTY UCA Pass Interference on JORDAN, James enforced 15 yards to the UCA17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Braelon Bridges run for 3 yds to the CARK 14

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Dawson Hearne for 12 yds to the CARK 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Braelon Bridges run for a loss of 1 yard to the CARK 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Braelon Bridges run for 2 yds to the CARK 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Braelon Bridges run for no gain to the CARK 1

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.21

Braelon Bridges run for a loss of 1 yard to the CARK 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Darius Hale run for 4 yds to the CARK 6

2nd & 6Penalty-3 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the CARK 3

2nd & 9Safety-3 ydsPPA -1.81

Darius Hale run for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Kayvon Britten for 47 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

ShunDerrick Powell run for a loss of 2 yards to the CARK 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Koger pass complete to Jordan Owens for 3 yds to the CARK 26

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

KOGER, Caleb pass to the right incomplete intended for HENRY, Malachi thrown to the UCA40. PENALTY TAR Offsides on HOLT, Caden enforced 5 yards from the UCA26 to the UCA31 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Caleb Koger pass complete to Trejan Bridges for 5 yds to the CARK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

ShunDerrick Powell run for 64 yds for a TD (Jake Gaster KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TAR 8

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 55 yds , Benjamin Omayebu return for 14 yds to the TAR 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 52 yds, downed at the CARK 19

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

KOGER, Caleb pass short to the right incomplete intended for BRIDGES, Trejan thrown to the UCA21. PENALTY UCA Pass Interference on OWENS, Jordan enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards to the UCA10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

ShunDerrick Powell run for 3 yds to the CARK 13

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.35

Caleb Koger pass intercepted Steve Albert Jr. return for no gain to the CARK 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the CARK 22

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the CARK 22

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.34

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 22 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+46 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 46 yds , return for no gain to the CARK 19

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Kayvon Britten run for 18 yds to the CARK 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the CARK 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Victor Gabalis run for a loss of 2 yards to the CARK 3

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Victor Gabalis run for a loss of 2 yards to the CARK 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Corbin Poston 22 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+59 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 59 yds , Sean Smith return for 18 yds to the CARK 24 Sean Smith fumbled, recovered by TAR Rodrick Weaver Jr. R. Weaver Jr. return for 18 yds , return for no gain to the CARK 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the CARK 22

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.92

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 22 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

ShunDerrick Powell run for 2 yds to the CARK 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.63

Caleb Koger pass complete to Malachi Henry for 22 yds to the TAR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KOGER, Caleb pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BRIDGES, Trejan broken up by HAWKINS, Dabari at the TAR0. PENALTY TAR Pass Interference on HAWKINS, Dabari enforced 15 yards to the TAR26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Caleb Koger pass complete to ShunDerrick Powell for 3 yds to the TAR 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.61

Caleb Koger pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Braelon Bridges run for 3 yds to the TAR 46

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Braelon Bridges run for 5 yds to the CARK 49

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.64

Braelon Bridges run for a loss of 3 yards to the TAR 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 37 yds, downed at the CARK 15

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Caleb Koger pass complete to Darius Hale for a loss of 5 yards to the CARK 10

2nd & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.84

Caleb Koger pass complete to Kam Robinson for 23 yds to the CARK 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.54

Caleb Koger pass complete to Kam Robinson for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Caleb Koger pass complete to ShunDerrick Powell for 7 yds to the TAR 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Darius Hale run for 1 yd to the TAR 42

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.71

Caleb Koger pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Caleb Lewis run for 4 yds to the TAR 46

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Caleb Lewis run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Caleb Lewis run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.38

Caleb Lewis run for 3 yds to the CARK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

[NHSG] Kneel down by GREEK, Daniel at UCA49 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

[NHSG] Kneel down by GREEK, Daniel at UCA49 (team loss of 0).

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

[NHSG] Kneel down by GREEK, Daniel at UCA50 (team loss of 1).

Situational Analysis

Central Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
19 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play