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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tarleton State by 14.8

Home Win Probability

Tarleton State 80%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Tarleton State -13

Edge: Tarleton State -13 (1.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Eastern Kentucky
073717
Tarleton State
760013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-010-010-713-713-1013-17
Tarleton StateEastern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20EKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKTSEKPUNT37ydPUNT431ydTO733ydTD989ydPUNT34ydFG762ydDOWNS1271ydTO10ydTD11ydPUNT629ydPUNT312ydFG1362ydEND1-1ydTO1042ydFG723ydDOWNS823ydTO1151ydPUNT37ydPUNT922ydPUNT318ydTD462ydDOWNS1250ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Eastern Kentucky and Tarleton State
StatisticEastern KentuckyTarleton State
Passing6-1117-41
Pass Yards31234
Rush Yards243163
Total Yards274397
Turnovers23
3rd Down7-145-15
Penalties4-348-44
Possession34:4225:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Eastern Kentucky
passing
Matt Morrissey
6/11, 31 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Joshua Carter
23 CAR, 149 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Caeleb Schlachter
1 REC, 11 YDS
Tarleton State
passing
Victor Gabalis
17/41, 234 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Kayvon Britten
25 CAR, 154 YDS
receiving
Benjamin Omayebu
9 REC, 100 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the EKU 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the EKU 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Hunter Brown for 5 yds to the EKU 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.36

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 27 yds to the EKU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the EKU 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Charlie Mullen punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.37

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Joshua Carter for 7 yds to the EKU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Montgomery run for 3 yds to the EKU 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 39

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.12

Joshua Carter run for 14 yds to the TAR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.39

Matt Morrissey pass intercepted Donta Stuart return for no gain to the TAR 11

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 10

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

GABALIS, Victor pass to the right incomplete thrown to the TSU20. PENALTY TSU Holding on ERNST, Layton enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the TSU10 to the TSU5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.05

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 17 yds to the TAR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.06

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 30 yds to the EKU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the EKU 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.44

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 26 yds to the EKU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 3 yds to the EKU 14

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the EKU 13

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

(04:23) GABALIS, Victor pass to the right complete for 13 yards to COOPER, Darius caught at the EKU0 and advanced to the EKU0, TOUCHDOWN TSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 04:09 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY TSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SMITH, Hunter enforced 5 yards from the EKU13 to the EKU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EKU 23

3rd & 16Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +4.17

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 23 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 44 yds , Blake Smith returns for 4 yds to the TAR 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.91

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 34 yds to the EKU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Kayvon Britten run for 14 yds to the EKU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

BRITTEN, Kayvon rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the EKU16 (GURLEY, Brad). PENALTY EKU Face mask on GURLEY, Brad enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the EKU17 to the EKU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Braelon Bridges run for 1 yd to the EKU 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Corbin Poston 24 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Corbin Poston kickoff for 62 yds , Jalen Montgomery return for 24 yds to the EKU 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Matt Morrissey run for 9 yds to the EKU 36

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Matt Morrissey run for 2 yds to the EKU 42

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the EKU 44

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.61

Matt Morrissey run for 12 yds to the TAR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

CARTER, Joshua rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the TSU41 (HOLT, Caden;STUART, Donta). PENALTY TSU Offsides on EGGLESTON JR., Greg enforced 5 yards from the TSU44 to the TSU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Matt Morrissey run for no gain to the TAR 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the TAR 36

3rd & 2Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.32

Joshua Carter run for 28 yds to the TAR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the TAR 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Matt Morrissey run for 2 yds to the TAR 4

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaycob Horn for 3 yds to the TAR 1

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.21

Joshua Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the TAR 2

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+37 ydsPPA -0.02

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted D.J. Galva return for 37 yds to the TAR 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Joshua Carter run for 1 yd for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Kayvon Britten run for 13 yds to the TAR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TAR 33

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 9 yds to the TAR 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.58

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 12 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Charlie Mullen punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jalen Montgomery at the EKU 15

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

MORRISSEY, Matt pass to the right incomplete intended for LATHAM, Brayden broken up by SMITH, Blake at the EKU25. PENALTY TSU Holding on KURNS, Kasyus enforced 10 yards from the EKU15 to the EKU25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Brayden Latham run for 1 yd to the EKU 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Brayden Latham for a loss of 1 yard to the EKU 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 60 yds, downed at the TAR 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 7 yds to the TAR 20

2nd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Kayvon Britten run for 20 yds to the TAR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Braelon Bridges for 8 yds to the TAR 48

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Braelon Bridges run for 1 yd to the TAR 49

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.48

Braelon Bridges run for 6 yds to the EKU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 8 yds to the EKU 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for a loss of 1 yard to the EKU 38

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the EKU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the EKU 25

4th & 3Field Goal Good+42 yds

Corbin Poston 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(00:20) [NHSG] Kneel down by MORRISSEY, Matt at EKU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 6 yds to the TAR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the TAR 44

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the EKU 44

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the EKU 41

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Braelon Bridges run for 8 yds to the EKU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+29 ydsPPA -3.46

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted Maddox Marcellus return for 29 yds to the TAR 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the TAR 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Caeleb Schlachter for 11 yds to the TAR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the TAR 22

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the TAR 20

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Matt Morrissey run for 2 yds to the TAR 18

4th & 3Field Goal Good+34 yds

Patrick Nations 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Patrick Nations kickoff for 56 yds , Deangelo Rosemond return for 23 yds to the TAR 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 7 yds to the TAR 39

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Victor Gabalis run for 2 yds to the TAR 44

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Kayvon Britten run for 12 yds to the EKU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the EKU 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Victor Gabalis run for 3 yds to the EKU 38

4th & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.83

Daniel Greek sacked by Gabe Fletcher and TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the EKU 45

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Matt Morrissey run for 9 yds to the TAR 46

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Brayden Latham run for 1 yd to the TAR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.12

Matt Morrissey sacked by AJ Owens and Bam Smith for a loss of 11 yards to the EKU 44

2nd & 21Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.83

Brayden Latham run for 28 yds to the TAR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the TAR 26

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

MORRISSEY, Matt pass to the left incomplete intended for CALWISE JR., Marcus thrown to the TSU15. PENALTY Before the snap, EKU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TSU26 to the TSU31. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Matt Morrissey run for 12 yds to the TAR 19

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the TAR 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Matt Morrissey run for 6 yds to the TAR 10

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the TAR 7

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.83

Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the TAR 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -5.31

Brayden Latham run for no gain to the TAR 4 Brayden Latham fumbled, recovered by TAR Tramaine Chism T. Chism return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 9

2nd & 5Penalty-4 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, False Start (Layton Ernst) to the TAR 5

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 8

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 11

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Charlie Mullen punt for 57 yds, downed at the EKU 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the EKU 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Ron Vann Jr. for 6 yds to the EKU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Matt Morrissey run for 4 yds to the EKU 47

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the TAR 49

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the TAR 48

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.16

Matt Morrissey run for 2 yds to the TAR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the TAR 43

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.75

Matt Morrissey run for a loss of 3 yards to the TAR 46

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Blake Smith at the TAR 10

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

GABALIS, Victor pass deep to the right incomplete intended for COOPER, Darius thrown to the TSU45. PENALTY EKU Pass Interference on THOMAS, Jordon enforced 15 yards to the TSU25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the TAR 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Charlie Mullen punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Joshua Carter run for 13 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.97

Joshua Carter run for 20 yds to the TAR 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the TAR 23

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.58

Joshua Carter run for 23 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 12 yds to the TAR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Kayvon Britten run for 16 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the EKU 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.66

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 6 yds to the EKU 36 for a 1ST down

4th & 15Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -0.48

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted Mike Smith Jr. return for 20 yds to the EKU 25 fumbled, recovered by EKU Mike Smith Jr. M. Smith Jr. return for 0 yds

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 15Penalty+5 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Encroachment on STEPHENS, Gabe enforced (Gabe Stephens) to the EKU 36

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, False Start (Malik Pete) to the EKU 41

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.85

Victor Gabalis sacked by Gabe Fletcher for a loss of 5 yards to the EKU 41

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

[NHSG] Kneel down by MORRISSEY, Matt at EKU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Eastern Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
30%
23 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
22%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
29%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play