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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 10.5

Home Win Probability

North Texas 21%

Market (Bovada)

North Texas +6.5

Edge: Army -6.5 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArmyArmy
700714
North TexasNorth Texas
30003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-73-14
North TexasArmy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NTARMNTARMNTARMARMNTARMNTARMNTARMFG1862ydTD948ydDOWNS1280ydPUNT1446ydDOWNS633ydEND539ydTO620ydPUNT31ydTD2194ydTO964ydTO735ydTO853ydEND621yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Army and North Texas
StatisticArmyNorth Texas
Passing2-424-37
Pass Yards15214
Rush Yards29369
Total Yards308283
Turnovers22
3rd Down9-144-11
Penalties5-503-35
Possession41:4518:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Army
passing
Bryson Daily
2/4, 15 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Bryson Daily
36 CAR, 153 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Josh Horton
1 REC, 8 YDS
defense
North Texas
passing
Chandler Morris
24/37, 214 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Shane Porter
6 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Damon Ward Jr.
4 REC, 63 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shane Porter run for 5 yds to the UNT 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 3 yds to the UNT 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 7 yds to the UNT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chandler Morris pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 4 yds to the UNT 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +3.04

Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 8 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Kiefer Sibley run for 7 yds to the ARMY 41

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.19

Kiefer Sibley run for 5 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Shane Porter run for 1 yd to the ARMY 35

2nd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.55

Chandler Morris sacked by Kyle Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the ARMY 38

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 7 yds to the ARMY 31

4th & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.10

Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 21 yds to the ARMY 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Makenzie McGill II run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARMY 13

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARMY 18

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

DT Sheffield run for 2 yds to the ARMY 16

3rd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Chandler Morris pass complete to Wyatt Young for 3 yds to the ARMY 13

4th & 13Field Goal Good+31 yds

Kali Nguma 31 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Blake Ford kickoff for 13 yds , return for no gain to the UNT 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UNT 44

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Tyrell Robinson run for 8 yds to the UNT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the UNT 28

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the UNT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the UNT 21

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the UNT 17

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.14

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UNT 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the UNT 10

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Bryson Daily run for 10 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Trey Gronotte kickoff for 63 yds , Miles Coleman return for 16 yds to the UNT 18

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Shane Porter run for 11 yds to the UNT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 12 yds to the UNT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 5 yds to the UNT 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 3 yds to the UNT 49

4th & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.72

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 8 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.79

Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 28 yds to the ARMY 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Makenzie McGill II run for 10 yds to the ARMY 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Makenzie McGill II run for 4 yds to the ARMY 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Makenzie McGill II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -4.15

Makenzie McGill II run for no gain to the ARMY 2

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the ARMY 10

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Army Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ARMY 8

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the ARMY 14

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Bryson Daily run for 11 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the ARMY 32

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Noah Short run for 13 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the UNT 46

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.03

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the UNT 38

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Samari Howard run for no gain to the UNT 38

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper DAILY, Bryson rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the UNT34 (BROWN, Roderick), clock 04:40. PENALTY ARMY Holding on SMALL, Brady enforced 10 yards from the UNT38 to the UNT48. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 16Penalty+15 yds

(04:14) DAILY, Bryson pass deep to the left incomplete dropped by REYNOLDS, Casey thrown to the UNT26, clock 04:09. PENALTY UNT Pass Interference on NELSON II, Brian enforced 15 yards to the UNT33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the UNT 32

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

(03:28) ROBINSON, Tyrell rush to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the UNT19 (HILL, Jayden), out of bounds, clock 03:22. PENALTY ARMY Holding on STEWART, Miles enforced 10 yards from the UNT32 to the UNT42 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Bryson Daily pass incomplete

3rd & 19Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.08

Bryson Daily sacked by Roderick Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the ARMY 48

4th & 29Punt0 yds

James Wagenseller punt for 44 yds, fair catch by DT Sheffield at the UNT 8

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.70

Shane Porter run for 16 yds to the UNT 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 14 yds to the UNT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for 7 yds to the UNT 45

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.36

Shane Porter run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 41

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the UNT 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Noah Short run for no gain to the UNT 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the UNT 32

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the UNT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DAILY, Bryson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CROSSAN, David thrown to the UNT0, clock 00:01. PENALTY UNT Pass Interference on HILL, Jayden enforced 15 yards to the UNT14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Matthew Rhodes run for 12 yds to the UNT 2 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Blake Ford kickoff for 38 yds , Christian Yousefzadeh return for 10 yds to the ARMY 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the ARMY 41

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Bryson Daily run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 40

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the ARMY 46

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.42

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the UNT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Noah Short run for 6 yds to the UNT 43

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -3.57

Bryson Daily pass intercepted Brian Nelson II return for 23 yds to the UNT 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for 1 yd to the UNT 46

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 48 yds, downed at the ARMY 6

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 11

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 14

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.53

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 22

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 7 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Noah Short run for 8 yds to the ARMY 39

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.08

Bryson Daily run for 17 yds to the UNT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the UNT 34

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the UNT 31

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the UNT 30

4th & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.68

Noah Short run for 4 yds to the UNT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(01:43) UDOH, Kanye rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the UNT22 (WESLOSKI, Ethan), clock 01:40. PENALTY ARMY Holding on FINUCANE, Connor enforced 10 yards from the UNT26 to the UNT36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Miles Stewart run for 7 yds to the UNT 29

2nd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Noah Short run for 10 yds to the UNT 19

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UNT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the UNT 9

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the UNT 6

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the UNT 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the UNT 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for 2 yds to the UNT 27

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(11:01) MORRIS, Chandler pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for YOUNG, Wyatt thrown to the ARMY48, clock 11:00. PENALTY ARMY Pass Interference on LARKIN, Casey enforced 15 yards to the UNT42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.59

Chandler Morris pass complete to Wyatt Young for 23 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Makenzie McGill II run for 7 yds to the ARMY 28

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 2 yds to the ARMY 26

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Makenzie McGill II run for 4 yds to the ARMY 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 7 yds to the ARMY 15

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.19

Makenzie McGill II run for 4 yds to the ARMY 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.48

Chandler Morris pass intercepted, touchback. Donavon Platt return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 23

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Bryson Daily run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.42

Bryson Daily pass complete to Josh Horton for 8 yds to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 34

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -2.34

Kanye Udoh run for 14 yds to the UNT 45 Kanye Udoh fumbled, recovered by UNT Brian Nelson II B. Nelson II return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for 8 yds to the ARMY 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 4 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.75

Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 24 yds to the ARMY 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 9 yds to the ARMY 10

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Shane Porter run for 4 yds to the ARMY 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 4 yds to the ARMY 2

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.93

Chandler Morris pass intercepted, touchback. Justin Weaver return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 24

3rd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Bryson Daily run for 20 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

(01:57) [NH] Kneel down by DAILY, Bryson at ARMY43 (team loss of 1), clock 01:49.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

(01:13) [NH] Kneel down by DAILY, Bryson at ARMY42 (team loss of 1), clock 01:05.

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

(00:36) [NH] Kneel down by DAILY, Bryson at ARMY41 (team loss of 1), clock 00:32.

Situational Analysis

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
59%
22 plays
2nd
0%
6 plays
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play