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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 19.2

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 86%

Market (Bovada)

Miami (OH) -14.5

Edge: Miami (OH) -14.5 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
73010020
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
7373323

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-77-1010-1017-1017-1717-2020-20
Miami (OH)Massachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(MASM(MASM(MASM(MASM(MASMASM(MASM(MASM(MASM(MASM(M(PUNT922ydPUNT39ydTD445ydTD882ydPUNT726ydFG1346ydFG647ydPUNT33ydTO838ydEND11ydPUNT319ydPUNT847ydPUNT454ydTD586ydPUNT826ydPUNT3-2ydTD861ydPUNT33ydFG1159ydFG747ydFG40yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Miami (OH)
StatisticMassachusettsMiami (OH)
Passing9-2216-25
Pass Yards173181
Rush Yards171168
Total Yards344349
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-161-8
Penalties8-659-65
Possession30:5129:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Taisun Phommachanh
9/22, 173 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Taisun Phommachanh
18 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Jakobie Keeney-James
4 REC, 150 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
16/25, 181 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Keyon Mozee
9 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Javon Tracy
5 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.45

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 17 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the MASS 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -2.03

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.01

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 7 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the M-OH 47

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Brett Gabbert run for 8 yds to the MASS 45

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 5

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MASS 9

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the MASS 12

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the MASS 14

4th & 1Punt+6 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 6 yds to the MASS 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the MASS 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(07:25) Shotgun Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete deep middle to Virgil,Reggie thrown to UMASS05 broken up by Cameron Jr.,Jerrod PENALTY UMASS Pass Interference (Cameron Jr.,Jerrod) 15 yards from UMASS43 to UMASS28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MASS 27

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.15

Keyon Mozee run for 27 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Taisun Phommachanh run for 7 yds to the MASS 25

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the MASS 27

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.63

CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 7 yds to the MASS 35

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MASS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(03:31) PENALTY UMASS Delay Of Game (Phommachanh,Taisun) 5 yards from UMASS39 to UMASS34. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the MASS 36

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.97

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 64 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the M-OH 16

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.25

Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Keyon Mozee run for 11 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the M-OH 34

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the M-OH 40

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the M-OH 41

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Walters,Silas) 5 yards from MIA41 to MIA36. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

punt for 37 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MASS 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.71

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for no gain to the MASS 31

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun pass incomplete short right to John,Jalen thrown to UMASS26 PENALTY MIA Roughing The Passer (Wise,Ty) 15 yards from UMASS31 to UMASS46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jalen John run for 7 yds to the M-OH 47

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the M-OH 45

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.14

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 7 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.78

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for no gain to the M-OH 38

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the M-OH 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.35

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 10 yds to the M-OH 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jackson Paradis run for 1 yd to the M-OH 23

2nd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Taisun Phommachanh sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the M-OH 27

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+45 yds

Jacob Lurie 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the M-OH 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.06

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andre Johnson for 44 yds to the MASS 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the MASS 17

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the MASS 22

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the MASS 18

4th & 10Field Goal Good+37 yds

Dom Dzioban 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the MASS 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the M-OH 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.68

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 15 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 17 yds to the MASS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the MASS 18

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the MASS 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brett Gabbert) to the MASS 22

2nd & 18Interception0 ydsPPA -3.45

Brett Gabbert pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Taisun Phommachanh run for 1 yd to the MASS 2

0th & 10End of Half+1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen John run for 5 yds to the MASS 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the MASS 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jalen John run for 1 yd to the MASS 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds , Cade McDonald returns for no gain to the M-OH 19

4th & 1Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 34 yds , Cade McDonald returns for no gain to the M-OH 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the M-OH 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 10 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Dylan Downing run for 15 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the M-OH 43

2nd & 13Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete deep right to McDonald,Cade thrown to UMASS30 PENALTY UMASS Pass Interference (Cameron Jr.,Jerrod) 15 yards from MIA43 to UMASS42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 10 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.67

Brett Gabbert sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 36

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MASS 34

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.46

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 51 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the M-OH 42

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the M-OH 18

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the M-OH 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+66 ydsPPA +3.65

Keyon Mozee run for 66 yds to the MASS 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the MASS 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 7 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen John run for 6 yds to the MASS 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jalen John run for 1 yd to the MASS 30

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Taisun Phommachanh run for 10 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 6 yds to the MASS 46

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

(00:19) Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun sacked for loss of 1 yard to the UMASS45 (Trick,Adam) PENALTY MIA Holding (Hardrick,William) 10 yards from UMASS46 to MIA44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(14:59) PENALTY UMASS False Start (Roy Jr.,Benjamin) 5 yards from MIA44 to MIA49. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 5

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Mozee,Keyon rush middle for 0 yards to the MIA05 (Johnson,Gerrell) PENALTY MIA Illegal Shift 2 yards from MIA05 to MIA03. NO PLAY.

1st & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 2

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the M-OH 6

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 9Penalty-3 yds

(12:33) Bevelhimer,Alec punt 54 yards to the UMASS40 PENALTY MIA Illegal Formation 3 yards from MIA06 to MIA03. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 49 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 8 yds to the MASS 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds to the MASS 47

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Taisun Phommachanh run for 10 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.73

CJ Hester run for 23 yds to the M-OH 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the M-OH 20

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.67

Taisun Phommachanh run for 12 yds to the M-OH 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

CJ Hester run for 7 yds to the M-OH 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

CJ Hester run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the M-OH 23

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the M-OH 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 7 yds to the M-OH 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.14

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 28 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the M-OH 32

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the M-OH 30

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the M-OH 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

CJ Hester run for 5 yds to the M-OH 19

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the M-OH 21

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Taisun Phommachanh run for 7 yds to the M-OH 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the M-OH 12

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the M-OH 8

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the M-OH 5

4th & 1Field Goal Good+23 yds

Jacob Lurie 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 4 yds to the M-OH 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.63

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 13 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 7 yds to the M-OH 49 Massachusetts Penalty, (Yards) declined

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.33

Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 10 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 8 yds to the MASS 28

2nd & 2Field Goal Good+47 yds

Dom Dzioban 47 yd FG GOOD

0th & 2End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

0th & 0Field Goal Good+43 yds

Dom Dzioban 43 Yd Field Goal

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
80%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th