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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 28.8

Home Win Probability

Toledo 95%

Market (Bovada)

Toledo -17.5

Edge: Toledo -17.5 (11.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
0133723
ToledoToledo
71071438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-310-1017-1624-1631-1631-2338-23
ToledoMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASTOLMASTOLMASTOLMASTOLMASTOLMASMASTOLMASTOLMASTOLMASTOLMASTOLMASTOLMASTOLMASTOLPUNT33ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT34ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT32ydPUNT39ydTD467ydFG1086ydFG867ydTD1175ydFG1041ydPUNT315ydFG1759ydPUNT30ydTO418ydTD173ydPUNT414ydPUNT35ydPUNT33ydTD455ydDOWNS69ydDOWNS47ydTD1073ydTD425ydDOWNS46ydEND3-9yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Toledo
StatisticMassachusettsToledo
Passing26-408-23
Pass Yards259175
Rush Yards12583
Total Yards384258
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-193-12
Penalties9-976-45
Possession44:2115:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Taisun Phommachanh
26/40, 259 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Taisun Phommachanh
22 CAR, 44 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jakobie Keeney-James
6 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Toledo
passing
Tucker Gleason
8/23, 175 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tucker Gleason
3 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Junior Vandeross
3 REC, 115 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 5 yds to the MASS 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Jalen John run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for no gain to the TOL 28 Toledo Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TOL 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the MASS 48

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Toledo Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the TOL 47

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jacquez Stuart run for 6 yds to the MASS 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Toledo Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the TOL 48

4th & 11Punt+1 yds

Emilio Duran punt for 48 yds , Sterling Galban returns for 1 yd to the MASS 5

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Jackson Barrow and Cavon Butler for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 4

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen John run for 2 yds to the MASS 6

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the MASS 9

4th & 6Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds, downed at the TOL 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Emilio Duran punt for 40 yds , Sterling Galban returns for 2 yds to the MASS 14

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Taisun Phommachanh run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Taisun Phommachanh run for 1 yd to the MASS 13

4th & 11Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Willie Shaw III run for 3 yds to the MASS 48

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.91

Willie Shaw III run for a loss of 4 yards to the TOL 48

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 3 yds to the MASS 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Emilio Duran punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 8 yds to the MASS 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 1 yd to the MASS 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Willie Shaw III run for 5 yds to the TOL 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Willie Shaw III run for 4 yds to the TOL 42

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.29

Tucker Gleason run for 18 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 40 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Brandon Campbell run for 7 yds to the MASS 16

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the MASS 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Brandon Campbell run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 20

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 8 yds to the MASS 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.12

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 25 yds to the TOL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.29

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 39 yds to the TOL 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the TOL 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the TOL 6

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Sterling Galban) to the TOL 11

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Matt Smith for 6 yds to the TOL 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Jacob Lurie 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, Targeting on JOHNSON, Gerrell enforced (Gerrell Johnson) to the TOL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gerrell Johnson) to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 4 yds to the MASS 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+12 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, Face mask (12 yards) (Gerrell Johnson) to the MASS 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd to the MASS 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 3 yds to the MASS 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Dylan Cunanan 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen John run for 4 yds to the MASS 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the MASS 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Jalen John run for 6 yds to the MASS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Jalen John run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 7 yds to the MASS 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.14

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jaelyn Lay for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.10

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 23 yds to the TOL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 6 yds to the TOL 21

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.00

Jalen John run for 8 yds to the TOL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen John run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 14

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.91

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 14 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+98 yds

Jacquez Stuart 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Dylan Cunanan Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

CJ Hester run for 7 yds to the MASS 42

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

CJ Hester run for 5 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 4 yds to the TOL 49

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

(01:34) PHOMMACHANH, Taisun scrambles up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the TOL47 (HOLT, Deshawn), clock 01:29. PENALTY TOL Offsides on HOLT, Deshawn enforced 5 yards from the TOL49 to the TOL44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the TOL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.38

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 14 yds to the TOL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the TOL 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 4 yds to the TOL 19

3rd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.39

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Anthony Dunn Jr. and Martez Poynter for a loss of 5 yards to the TOL 24

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 yds

Jacob Lurie 42 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 35 yds , Connor Walendzak return for no gain to the TOL 30 , return for no gain to the TOL 30

0th & 10End of Half-35 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

GLEASON, Tucker pass up the middle incomplete intended for NEWTON, Jerjuan thrown to the TOL40, clock 14:57. PENALTY MAS Pass Interference on RUTHERFORD, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the TOL40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the TOL 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

Emilio Duran punt for 40 yds , Sterling Galban returns for 9 yds to the MASS 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen John run for 5 yds to the MASS 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

(13:25) PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Matt thrown to the MAS41, clock 13:23. PENALTY TOL Offsides on RAGIN, D'Andre enforced 5 yards from the MAS34 to the MAS39 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jalen John run for 1 yd to the MASS 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.73

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen John run for 2 yds to the TOL 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 11 yds to the TOL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the TOL 37

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

CJ Hester run for 6 yds to the TOL 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.77

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 5 yds to the TOL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the TOL 31

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Toledo Penalty, Block below the waist on BOWERS, Nasir enforced (Nasir Bowers) to the TOL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 3 yds to the TOL 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the TOL 12

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jacob Lurie 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Roe punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sterling Galban at the MASS 42

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Taisun Phommachanh run for 18 yds to the TOL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the TOL 39

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Taisun Phommachanh run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 40

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.94

Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted Braden Awls return for no gain to the TOL 27

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +5.93

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 73 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Matt Smith for 17 yds to the MASS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MASS 40

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the MASS 42

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.06

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Deshawn Holt for a loss of 7 yards to the MASS 35

4th & 13Punt+7 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 7 yds to the TOL 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jacquez Stuart run for 5 yds to the TOL 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Roe punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sterling Galban at the MASS 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 4 yds to the MASS 27

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Taisun Phommachanh run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 26

4th & 7Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 45

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Willie Shaw III run for 9 yds to the MASS 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Willie Shaw III run for 3 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.66

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 39 yds to the MASS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Willie Shaw III run for 4 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Matt Smith for 15 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the MASS 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 2 yds to the MASS 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for a loss of 3 yards to the MASS 46

4th & 8Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.25

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Darius Alexander and Emmanuel McNeil-Warren for a loss of 12 yards to the MASS 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Willie Shaw III run for 1 yd to the MASS 33

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Connor Walendzak for 6 yds to the MASS 27

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.98

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.25

Taisun Phommachanh run for 25 yds to the TOL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 14 yds to the TOL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taisun Phommachanh run for 5 yds to the TOL 29

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds to the TOL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jalen John run for 5 yds to the TOL 16

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the TOL 13

4th & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.08

Taisun Phommachanh run for 7 yds to the TOL 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Taisun Phommachanh run for a loss of 2 yards to the TOL 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)

1st & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.44

Connor Walendzak run for 12 yds to the MASS 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Connor Walendzak run for 4 yds to the MASS 9

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the MASS 7

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.73

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for 7 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Malachi Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for 10 yds to the MASS 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.05

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.43

(01:43) [NHSG] Kneel down by GLEASON, Tucker at MAS36 (team loss of 5), clock 01:38.

2nd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

(01:02) [NHSG] Kneel down by GLEASON, Tucker at MAS39 (team loss of 3), clock 00:54.

3rd & 18Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

(00:29) [NHSG] Kneel down by GLEASON, Tucker at MAS40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:19.

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
34 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
42%
12 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
31%
16 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play