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← Back to GamesNov 1, 2024Week 10

House Prediction

Model Margin

UConn by 15.7

Home Win Probability

UConn 82%

Market (Bovada)

UConn -7

Edge: UConn -7 (8.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 1, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
01031427
UConnUConn
10371434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-010-710-1013-1020-1327-1334-2034-27
UConnGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOPUNT37ydTD359ydPUNT618ydFG1259ydTD1075ydTO821ydFG1133ydPUNT32ydTO416ydFG516ydEND1-2ydTD675ydFG1672ydPUNT30ydPUNT37ydTD857ydTO314ydTD131ydTD464ydPUNT734ydTD1293ydEND512yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and UConn
StatisticGeorgia StateUConn
Passing30-4310-16
Pass Yards26575
Rush Yards115272
Total Yards380347
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-175-11
Penalties9-957-68
Possession32:3627:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Zach Gibson
28/40, 257 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Freddie Brock
10 CAR, 78 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ted Hurst
7 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
defense
UConn
passing
Nick Evers
10/16, 75 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jayden Brown
14 CAR, 138 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Louis Hansen
5 REC, 22 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 5 yds to the GAST 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the GAST 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Allen punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +2.46

Mel Brown run for 52 yds to the GAST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Mel Brown run for 5 yds to the GAST 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Chris Freeman kickoff for 65 yds , DJ Riles return for 21 yds to the GAST 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Freddie Brock run for 4 yds to the GAST 25

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Freddie Brock run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 23

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.49

Zach Gibson run for 8 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the GAST 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Michel Dukes run for 1 yd to the GAST 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 4 yds to the GAST 39

4th & 2Punt+3 yds

James Allen punt for 47 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 3 yds to the CONN 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Nick Evers pass complete to Mel Brown for 11 yds to the CONN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Mel Brown run for 3 yds to the CONN 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Nick Evers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.37

Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 12 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Durell Robinson run for 1 yd to the CONN 44

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.92

Durell Robinson run for 11 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the GAST 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.10

Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 6 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nick Evers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Nick Evers run for 7 yds to the GAST 24

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Nick Evers pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+42 yds

Chris Freeman 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 7 yds to the GAST 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the GAST 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Zach Gibson run for 2 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 11 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Freddie Brock run for 5 yds to the CONN 48

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Freddie Brock run for 9 yds to the CONN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 14 yds to the CONN 25 for a 1ST down UConn Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Rante Jones) to the CONN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Kyle Lowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 13

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Kyle Lowe run for 6 yds to the CONN 7

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.79

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 7 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 4 yds to the CONN 32

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

(12:25) EDWARDS, Cam rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the UCONN37 (ROBINSON, Josiah), clock 12:21. PENALTY UCONN Holding on HONIG, Alex enforced 10 yards from the UCONN32 to the UCONN22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Nick Evers pass complete to Shamar Porter for 15 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Cam Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 39

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Durell Robinson run for 7 yds to the CONN 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Nick Evers sacked by Henry Bryant for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 47

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -1.62

Durell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 46 Durell Robinson fumbled, recovered by GAST Henry Bryant H. Bryant return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 6 yds to the CONN 40

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the CONN 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.09

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 5 yds to the CONN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Michel Dukes run for 1 yd to the CONN 33

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Zach Gibson run for 3 yds to the CONN 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 11 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 10 yds to the CONN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-10 yds

(04:39) QB Keeper LOWE, Kyle rush to the left for a loss of 4 yards, LOWE, Kyle fumbled at UCONN13 , recovered by GAST MURRAY JR., DJ at the UCONN13, returned 1 yard to the UCONN12, out of bounds, clock 04:34. PENALTY GAST Holding on THOMPSON, Cadarrius enforced 10 yards from the UCONN9 to the UCONN19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

2nd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 6 yds to the CONN 13

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+30 yds

Liam Rickman 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nick Evers run for 2 yds to the CONN 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Mel Brown run for 1 yd to the CONN 28

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nick Evers run for 4 yds to the CONN 32

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

UConn Penalty, Illegal Snap on CHRISTINAT, Zach enforced (-5 Yards) to the CONN 27

4th & 8Punt+4 yds

Connor Stutz punt for 44 yds , DJ Riles returns for 4 yds to the GAST 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 10 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the GAST 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 3 yds to the GAST 49

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -1.68

Zach Gibson pass intercepted D'Mon Brinson return for 20 yds to the GAST 26

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Mel Brown run for 11 yds to the GAST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mel Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 16

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Evers run for 1 yd to the GAST 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Nick Evers pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Zach Gibson) to the GAST 10

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Chris Freeman 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Chris Freeman kickoff for 43 yds , Lane Wadle return for 10 yds to the GAST 32

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

(00:15) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at GAST30 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Nick Evers pass complete to Mel Brown for 7 yds to the CONN 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 2 yds to the CONN 34

3rd & 1Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.48

Cam Edwards run for 46 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Mel Brown run for 1 yd to the GAST 19

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

(12:51) EVERS, Nick pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BELL, Skyler broken up by MORRIS, Ja'Maric at the GAST0, clock 12:37. PENALTY GAST Pass Interference on MORRIS, Ja'Maric enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the GAST4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the GAST 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Durell Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the GAST 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.40

Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 26 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.96

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the GAST 49 fumbled, recovered by GAST Zach Gibson Z. Gibson return for 0 yds

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 6 yds to the CONN 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 7 yds to the CONN 38

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.70

Zach Gibson run for 1 yd to the CONN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.22

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 20 yds to the CONN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 4 yds to the CONN 13

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Michel Dukes run for 5 yds to the CONN 8

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.33

Kyle Lowe run for 1 yd to the CONN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Kyle Lowe pass complete to DJ Murray Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 7 yds to the CONN 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Liam Rickman 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Evers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cam Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Evers pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Connor Stutz punt for 69 yds, downed at the GAST 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the GAST 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Zach Gibson pass complete to Rykem Laney for 7 yds to the GAST 14

3rd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 13

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Allen punt for 44 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the CONN 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 8 yds to the GAST 49

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mel Brown run for 5 yds to the GAST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Josiah Robinson) to the GAST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Mel Brown run for 11 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Edwards run for 2 yds to the GAST 18

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Nick Evers run for 8 yds to the GAST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Edwards run for 5 yds to the GAST 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Nick Evers run for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Chris Freeman kickoff for 61 yds , DJ Riles return for 17 yds to the GAST 21

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.00

Zach Gibson sacked by Langston Hardy and Dal'Mont Gourdine for a loss of 10 yards to the GAST 11

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 9 yds to the GAST 20

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

(11:44) GIBSON, Zach pass up the middle incomplete intended for HURST, Ted thrown to the GAST34, clock 11:39. PENALTY UCONN Roughing the Passer on GOURDINE, Dal'Mont enforced 15 yards from the GAST20 to the GAST35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+15 ydsPPA -1.76

Christian Veilleux pass intercepted Malik Dixon-Williams return for 15 yds to the GAST 31

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Mel Brown run for 31 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Chris Freeman kickoff for 56 yds , DJ Riles return for 27 yds to the GAST 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the GAST 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 6 yds to the GAST 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 2 yds to the GAST 45

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +6.25

Freddie Brock run for 55 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Georgia State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Christian Lorenzo) to the CONN 30

1st & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.00

Mel Brown run for 11 yds to the CONN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Mel Brown run for 6 yds to the CONN 47

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Mel Brown run for 1 yd to the CONN 48

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.84

Cam Edwards run for 8 yds to the GAST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Cam Edwards run for 6 yds to the GAST 38

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Nick Evers run for 1 yd to the GAST 37

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Mel Brown run for 1 yd to the GAST 36

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

UConn Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the GAST 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Connor Stutz punt for 34 yds, downed at the GAST 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds to the GAST 16

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

(04:31) GIBSON, Zach pass up the middle incomplete dropped by DUKES, Michel thrown to the GAST22, clock 04:29. PENALTY UCONN Roughing the Passer on YATES, Pryce enforced 15 yards from the GAST16 to the GAST31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

(04:03) GIBSON, Zach scrambles to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the GAST34 (FAUMUINA-BROWN, Tui), clock 03:58. PENALTY UCONN Offsides on FAUMUINA-BROWN, Tui enforced 5 yards from the GAST31 to the GAST36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.31

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 5 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 8 yds to the GAST 49

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Georgia State Penalty, False Start (Ben Chukwuma) to the GAST 44

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.55

Zach Gibson run for 10 yds to the CONN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 9 yds to the CONN 37

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

(02:30) GIBSON, Zach pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for FLEMING, Dorian broken up by MCDONALD, Jayden at the UCONN20, clock 02:28. PENALTY GAST Holding on CHUKWUMA, Ben enforced 10 yards from the UCONN37 to the UCONN47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.59

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 45 yds to the CONN 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zach Gibson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Zach Gibson run for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Braeden McAlister kickoff for 14 yds , return for no gain to the GAST 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Cam Edwards run for no gain to the GAST 34

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Cam Edwards run for 7 yds to the GAST 27

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Cam Edwards run for 2 yds to the GAST 25

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.02

Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the GAST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

(00:18) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at GAST22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

UConn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
48%
25 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play