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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2024Week 11

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 35.1

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 97%

Market (Bovada)

Notre Dame -25.5

Edge: Notre Dame -25.5 (9.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
30003
Notre DameNotre Dame
714102152

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-314-321-328-331-338-345-352-3
Notre DameFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDFSNDFSNDFSNDFSNDFSNDFSNDFSFSNDFSNDFSNDFSNDFSFSTD575ydFG1675ydPUNT32ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT31ydTD384ydPUNT714ydPUNT428ydPUNT37ydMISS726ydPUNT3-4ydTD1277ydEND15ydTO57ydTD638ydDOWNS1035ydFG650ydPUNT30ydTD765ydPUNT36ydTD857ydTD1055ydEND35yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and Notre Dame
StatisticFlorida StateNotre Dame
Passing10-2617-30
Pass Yards88252
Rush Yards120201
Total Yards208453
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-175-12
Penalties6-563-30
Possession33:1126:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
Brock Glenn
5/18, 51 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Lawrance Toafili
16 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Lawayne McCoy
2 REC, 22 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Riley Leonard
14/27, 215 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jadarian Price
7 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaden Greathouse
5 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.49

Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 28 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 9 yds to the FSU 34

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.45

Riley Leonard run for 34 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 61 yds , Samuel Singleton Jr. return for 16 yds to the FSU 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FSU 24

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FSU 19

2nd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.59

Lawrance Toafili run for 14 yds to the FSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FSU 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brock Glenn run for 5 yds to the FSU 42

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

(10:49) GLENN, Brock pass short to the right complete for 7 yards to MORLOCK, Kyle caught at the FSU46 and advanced to the FSU49 (COLZIE, Deion), out of bounds, clock 10:46. PENALTY UND Offsides on CLARK, Jordan declined UND Holding on CLARK, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the FSU42 to the UND48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Brock Glenn pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 14 yds to the ND 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 2 yds to the ND 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds to the ND 25

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.02

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 4 yds to the ND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Malik Benson run for 7 yds to the ND 14

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds to the ND 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the ND 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brock Glenn run for no gain to the ND 4

3rd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Brock Glenn sacked by Bryce Young and Jaiden Ausberry for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

James Rendell punt for 41 yds, downed at the FSU 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FSU 34

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the FSU 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 20

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 18

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Rendell punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brock Glenn run for 1 yd to the FSU 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Jadarian Price run for 17 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 35

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +6.03

Jadarian Price run for 65 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Luke Kromenhoek run for 6 yds to the FSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Landen Thomas for 9 yds to the FSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the FSU 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 6 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for no gain to the ND 49

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.00

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Rylie Mills for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 44

3rd & 17Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.44

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Rylie Mills for a loss of 5 yards to the FSU 39

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 21 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 3 yds to the FSU 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+9 yds

James Rendell punt for 39 yds , Lawayne McCoy returns for 9 yds to the FSU 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brock Glenn run for 5 yds to the FSU 22

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Brock Glenn run for 2 yds to the FSU 24

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 26 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the FSU 43

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the FSU 34

2nd & 6Penalty+6 yds

(04:43) LEONARD, Riley pass up the middle incomplete intended for RARIDON, Eli thrown to the FSU26; QB hurried by BARKER, Ashlynd, clock 04:40. PENALTY FSU Pass Interference on GRAHAM JR., Omar enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the FSU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 29

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Aneyas Williams run for 2 yds to the FSU 27

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the FSU 24

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Mitch Jeter 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.21

Brock Glenn sacked by Donovan Hinish for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 20

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 57 yds , Max Hurleman returns for no gain to the ND 23

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Aneyas Williams run for 9 yds to the ND 32

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.27

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 6 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(01:10) LEONARD, Riley pass to the left complete for 7 yards to WILLIAMS, Aneyas caught at the UND45 and advanced to the UND45, End of Play, clock 01:08. PENALTY FSU Holding on GRAHAM JR., Omar enforced 10 yards from the UND38 to the UND48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.48

Riley Leonard sacked by Kevin Knowles II for a loss of 7 yards to the ND 41

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.49

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 15 yds to the FSU 44

4th & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.54

Riley Leonard run for 10 yds to the FSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.98

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 22 yds to the FSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 12 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 60 yds , Samuel Singleton Jr. return for 16 yds to the FSU 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the FSU 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 58 yds , Samuel Singleton Jr. return for 22 yds to the FSU 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Brock Glenn run for 7 yds to the FSU 36

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the FSU 46

2nd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.21

Brock Glenn sacked by Rylie Mills for a loss of 10 yards to the FSU 36

3rd & 17Interception0 ydsPPA +0.10

Brock Glenn pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the FSU 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 10 yds to the FSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 26

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.87

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 20 yds to the FSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Riley Leonard run for 6 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Luke Kromenhoek run for 8 yds to the FSU 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, False Start (Ja'Khi Douglas) to the FSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the FSU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.47

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 15 yds to the FSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FSU 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.98

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 27 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 27

2nd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.35

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Donovan Hinish for a loss of 8 yards to the ND 35

3rd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Darion Williamson for 8 yds to the ND 27

4th & 12Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.93

Luke Kromenhoek sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the ND 40 Luke Kromenhoek fumbled, recovered by FSU Luke Kromenhoek , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the ND 44

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Florida State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on LITTLE JR., Earl enforced (Earl Little Jr.) to the FSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Riley Leonard run for 9 yds to the FSU 6

2nd & 1Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.90

Riley Leonard sacked by Tomiwa Durojaiye for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Mitch Jeter 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 63 yds , Samuel Singleton Jr. return for 24 yds to the FSU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 24

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 2 yds to the FSU 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 51 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 12 yds to the ND 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.03

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(12:47) LEONARD, Riley pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GREATHOUSE, Jaden thrown to the FSU24, clock 12:43. PENALTY FSU Pass Interference on KNOWLES II, Kevin enforced 15 yards to the FSU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 4 yds to the FSU 31

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the FSU 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.18

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 26 yds to the FSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 62 yds , Samuel Singleton Jr. return for 13 yds to the FSU 16

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Junior Tuihalamaka for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 13

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 2 yds to the FSU 15

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 7 yds to the FSU 22

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 35 yds, downed at the ND 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 45

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Justin Fisher run for 4 yds to the ND 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.34

Steve Angeli pass complete to Justin Fisher for 16 yds to the FSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Steve Angeli run for no gain to the FSU 35

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Jadarian Price run for 12 yds to the FSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jake Tafelski for 14 yds to the FSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jake Tafelski run for 2 yds to the FSU 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Steve Angeli pass complete to Deion Colzie for 7 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the FSU 30

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.51

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the FSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 10 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Brock Glenn pass complete to Samuel Singleton Jr. for 2 yds to the FSU 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Brock Glenn pass complete to Lawayne McCoy for 10 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Brock Glenn pass complete to Elijah Moore for 13 yds to the ND 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Brock Glenn pass complete to Lawayne McCoy for 12 yds to the ND 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+79 ydsPPA -10.54

Brock Glenn pass intercepted Luke Talich return for 79 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 73 yds , Jalen Brown return for 19 yds to the FSU 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Luke Kromenhoek run for 2 yds to the FSU 28

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the FSU 31

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
20%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
31%
26 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play