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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Notre DameNotre Dame
51
-Final
14
NavyNavy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 8.2

Home Win Probability

Navy 30%

Market (Bovada)

Navy +14

Edge: Navy +14 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
141713751
NavyNavy
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-147-147-2814-3114-4414-51
NavyNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNDNAVNDNAVNAVNDNAVNAVNDNDNAVNDTD975ydTO624ydTD37ydTO319ydMISS826ydTD580ydTD375ydPUNT413ydPUNT31ydTD940ydMISS865ydFG963ydEND1-2ydTD1275ydTD775ydTD3-3ydTO1358ydPUNT414ydTD416ydPUNT37ydEND854yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Navy
StatisticNotre DameNavy
Passing15-257-14
Pass Yards20188
Rush Yards265224
Total Yards466312
Turnovers06
3rd Down8-134-11
Penalties9-805-40
Possession30:2929:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Riley Leonard
13/21, 178 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jeremiyah Love
12 CAR, 102 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jordan Faison
4 REC, 52 YDS
defense
Navy
passing
Blake Horvath
7/13, 88 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Blake Horvath
14 CAR, 129 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Alex Tecza
2 REC, 39 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 4 yds to the ND 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.63

Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 13 yds to the ND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the ND 47

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.33

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 42 yds to the NAVY 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 5 yds to the NAVY 7

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the NAVY 4

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.63

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the NAVY 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Riley Leonard run for 1 yd for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 65 yds , Isaiah Bryant return for 11 yds to the NAVY 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Horvath run for 3 yds to the NAVY 14

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Eli Heidenreich run for 3 yds to the NAVY 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Blake Horvath pass complete to Nathan Kent for 7 yds to the NAVY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 27

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.09

Alex Tecza run for 7 yds to the NAVY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+28 ydsPPA -1.66

Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the NAVY 35 Alex Tecza fumbled, recovered by ND Adon Shuler , return for 28 yds to the NAVY 7

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jadarian Price run for 4 yds to the NAVY 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the NAVY 1

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NAVY 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 6 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Blake Horvath pass complete to Alex Tecza for 32 yds to the ND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the ND 39

2nd & 6Penalty-15 yds

Heidenreich, Eli rush for 7 yards to the NOTREDAME32, PENALTY NAVY illegal block 15 yards to the NAVY46, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Blake Horvath run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 44 Blake Horvath fumbled, recovered by ND Junior Tuihalamaka

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 46

2nd & 12Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.05

Riley Leonard run for 17 yds to the NAVY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Riley Leonard run for 8 yds to the NAVY 21

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.28

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds to the NAVY 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the NAVY 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jayden Thomas

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.22

Riley Leonard sacked by Justin Reed and Luke Pirris for a loss of 5 yards to the NAVY 18

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Zac Yoakam 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 6 yds to the NAVY 26

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the NAVY 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 34

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Horvath, Blake pass incomplete to Kent, Nathan, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Gray, Christian) 15 yards to the NAVY49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the ND 47

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +4.07

Blake Horvath run for 47 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the ND 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Jeremiyah Love run for 64 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Goins, Eric kickoff 62 yards to the NAVY3, Bryant, Isaiah return 17 yards to the NAVY20, PENALTY NOTREDAME offside 5 yards to the NOTREDAME30, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 52 yds , Isaiah Bryant return for 17 yds to the NAVY 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Blake Horvath pass complete to Luke Hutchison for 11 yds to the NAVY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the NAVY 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Alex Tecza

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Nathan Kent

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jordan Faison

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jaden Greathouse

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

James Rendell punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Bryant returns for 2 yds to the NAVY 40 Isaiah Bryant fumbled, recovered by ND Jack Kiser

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Leonard, Riley pass complete to Faison, Jordan for 23 yards to the NAVY17, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Wagner, Aamil) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 5 yds to the NAVY 45

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jaden Greathouse

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 8 yds to the NAVY 37

4th & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.83

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 17 yds to the NAVY 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the NAVY 15

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Aneyas Williams run for 4 yds to the NAVY 11

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the NAVY 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the NAVY 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

2nd & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 65 yds , Isaiah Bryant return for 12 yds to the NAVY 12

1st & 10Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.97

Blake Horvath run for 60 yds to the ND 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Nathan Kent

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the ND 24

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.77

Blake Horvath run for 6 yds to the ND 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Tecza run for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 22 Alex Tecza fumbled, recovered by NAVY Alex Tecza

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Eli Heidenreich run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 23

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Nathan Kirkwood 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.29

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 26 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jadarian Price run for 5 yds to the NAVY 46

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.98

Riley Leonard run for 15 yds to the NAVY 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Kris Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 12 yds to the NAVY 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Kris Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the NAVY 14

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 yds

Zac Yoakam 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 23

0th & 10End of Half-2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the NAVY 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Eli Heidenreich run for 7 yds to the NAVY 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.79

Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 21 yds to the ND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 4 yds to the ND 39

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.81

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST down Notre Dame Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ND 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the ND 18

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Eli Heidenreich run for 12 yds to the ND 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Eli Heidenreich run for 3 yds to the ND 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Luke Hutchison pass incomplete to Blake Horvath

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the ND 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Eli Heidenreich run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Gossett, Lance kickoff 56 yards to the NOTREDAME9, Harrison, Jayden return 16 yards to the NOTREDAME25, PENALTY NAVY offside 5 yards to the NAVY30, NO PLAY.

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NAVY 25

4th & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Lance Gossett kickoff for 66 yds , Jordan Faison return for 16 yds to the ND 25

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the ND 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Eli Raridon

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Leonard, Riley pass complete to Greathouse, Jaden for 5 yards to the NOTREDAME37, PENALTY NOTREDAME illegal formation 5 yards to the NOTREDAME27, NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.25

Riley Leonard run for 24 yds to the NAVY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Aneyas Williams run for 3 yds to the NAVY 46

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the NAVY 40

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.75

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the NAVY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 37 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 64 yds , Isaiah Bryant return for 3 yds to the NAVY 4 Isaiah Bryant fumbled, recovered by NAVY

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Eli Heidenreich run for 6 yds to the NAVY 10

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Blake Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 9

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA +0.18

Blake Horvath run for a loss of 8 yards Blake Horvath fumbled, recovered by ND Jaylen Sneed for a TD (Eric Goins PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Horvath, Blake pass incomplete, PENALTY NOTREDAME roughing passer (Viliamu-Asa, Kyngstonn) 15 yards to the NAVY40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Blake Horvath run for 9 yds to the NAVY 49

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the ND 43

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the ND 42

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Eli Heidenreich run for 6 yds to the ND 36

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Eli Heidenreich run for 4 yds to the ND 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the ND 30

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Eli Heidenreich run for 3 yds to the ND 27

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Eli Heidenreich run for 7 yds to the ND 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Brandon Chatman

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Blake Horvath run for 1 yd to the ND 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Blake Horvath pass complete to Alex Tecza for 7 yds to the ND 12

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (Nathan Kent) to the ND 17

4th & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.30

Blake Horvath pass intercepted, touchback. Leonard Moore return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Steve Angeli pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

Angeli, Steve pass sacked for loss of 9 yards to the NOTREDAME11 (Ramos, Colin), PENALTY NAVY holding 10 yards to the NOTREDAME30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jadarian Price run for 7 yds to the ND 37

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Price, Jadarian rush for 1 yard to the NOTREDAME38, PENALTY NOTREDAME illegal shift 5 yards to the NOTREDAME32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Aneyas Williams run for 2 yds to the ND 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Jayden Harrison

4th & 6Punt+49 yds

James Rendell punt for 49 yds , Eli Heidenreich returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 16 Eli Heidenreich fumbled, recovered by ND Rod Heard II

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 4 yds to the NAVY 12

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Kedren Young run for 10 yds to the NAVY 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NAVY 7

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kedren Young run for 3 yds to the NAVY 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Kedren Young run for 4 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Braxton Woodson run for 1 yd to the NAVY 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Shane Reynolds run for 6 yds to the NAVY 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Braxton Woodson run for no gain to the NAVY 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 68 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kedren Young run for 3 yds to the ND 23

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Kedren Young run for 10 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kedren Young run for 4 yds to the ND 37

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kedren Young run for 4 yds to the ND 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.54

Steve Angeli pass complete to Davis Sherwood for 19 yds to the NAVY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Kedren Young run for 8 yds to the NAVY 32

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kedren Young run for 1 yd to the NAVY 31

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Kedren Young run for 5 yds to the NAVY 26 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play