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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 29

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 95%

Market (Bovada)

Notre Dame -22.5

Edge: Notre Dame -22.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
70007
Notre DameNotre Dame
71421749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-714-721-728-735-742-749-7
Notre DameStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTASTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDPUNT64ydTD963ydTD1275ydDOWNS1022ydTD752ydPUNT34ydTO116ydDOWNS47ydTD956ydEND542ydTO629ydTD217ydPUNT612ydTD483ydPUNT5-1ydTD564ydPUNT3-1ydTD1160ydDOWNS828ydEND945yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and Notre Dame
StatisticStanfordNotre Dame
Passing10-1818-27
Pass Yards87248
Rush Yards113229
Total Yards200477
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-126-11
Penalties3-254-35
Possession30:4429:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Ashton Daniels
8/13, 74 YDS
rushing
Chris Davis Jr.
10 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Ismael Cisse
2 REC, 29 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Riley Leonard
16/22, 229 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jeremiyah Love
6 CAR, 53 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Beaux Collins
4 REC, 85 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 8 yds to the ND 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 8 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:49) LEONARD, Riley scrambles to the left for a gain of 19 yards to the STAN30 (LEIGBER, Mitch), out of bounds, clock 13:42. PENALTY UND Holding on KNAPP, Anthonie enforced 10 yards from the STAN49 to the UND41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the ND 44

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 17Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.44

Riley Leonard sacked by David Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the ND 39

4th & 22Punt0 yds

James Rendell punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Chris Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the STAN 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 9 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 6 yds to the ND 46

2nd & 4Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.04

Ashton Daniels run for 27 yds to the ND 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Chris Davis Jr. run for 8 yds to the ND 11

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the ND 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Chris Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the ND 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Justin Lamson run for no gain to the ND 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 11 yds to the ND 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Jadarian Price run for 4 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 40

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jadarian Price run for 6 yds to the ND 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.31

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 19 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jadarian Price for 4 yds to the STAN 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.44

Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 12 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the STAN 16

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Jadarian Price run for 10 yds to the STAN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Riley Leonard run for 6 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Mitch Jeter kickoff for 39 yds , Shield Taylor return for no gain to the STAN 30 , return for 5 yds to the STAN 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Emmett Mosley V run for 4 yds to the STAN 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.27

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the STAN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Emmett Mosley V run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 40

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.21

Chris Davis Jr. run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Emmett Mosley V run for 1 yd to the ND 49

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.25

Justin Lamson run for 3 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Ashton Daniels sacked by Howard Cross III for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 46

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 7 yds to the ND 47

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the ND 41

4th & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.42

Ashton Daniels sacked by Howard Cross III for a loss of 7 yards to the ND 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the STAN 49

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.70

Riley Leonard run for 18 yds to the STAN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the STAN 26

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 4 yds to the STAN 15

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.63

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 15 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(07:46) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the right intercepted by MORRISON, Benjamin at the UND26 intended for BACHMEIER, Tiger. Morrison return for 0 yards to the UND26, out of bounds, clock 07:37. PENALTY UND Offsides on OBEN, RJ STAN Holding on ROUSH, Sam , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Emmett Mosley V run for 3 yds to the STAN 28

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Chris Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the STAN 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+16 ydsPPA -1.76

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 16 yds Beaux Collins fumbled, recovered by STAN Jshawn Frausto-Ramos J. Frausto-Ramos return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the ND 44

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ashton Daniels run for no gain to the ND 44

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.79

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 25 yds to the STAN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.66

Riley Leonard pass complete to Pat Coogan for 11 yds to the STAN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Riley Leonard run for no gain to the STAN 16

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the STAN 15

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 8 yds to the STAN 7

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the STAN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 5 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ryan Butler run for 1 yd to the STAN 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 9 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the STAN 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 16 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Penalty+10 yds

(00:07) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left intercepted by WATTS, Xavier at the UND31 intended for CISSE, Ismael. Watts return for 0 yards to the UND31, End of Play, clock 00:09. PENALTY UND Holding on MORRISON, Benjamin enforced 10 yards from the STAN41 to the UND49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+61 yds

Eric Goins kickoff for 61 yds , Tiger Bachmeier return for no gain to the STAN 3 , return for no gain to the STAN 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chris Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the STAN 6

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.82

Ashton Daniels run for 13 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.58

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 20 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -1.04

Ashton Daniels run for a loss of 7 yards to the STAN 17 Ashton Daniels fumbled, recovered by ND Joshua Burnham J. Burnham return for 15 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the STAN 16

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.84

Jadarian Price run for 16 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chris Davis Jr. run for 7 yds to the STAN 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chris Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the STAN 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the STAN 40

2nd & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.68

Emmett Mosley V run for a loss of 6 yards to the STAN 34

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chris Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the STAN 37

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 48 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 2 yds to the ND 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.97

Riley Leonard pass complete to KK Smith for 25 yds to the ND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

(07:04) LEONARD, Riley pass to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, KK thrown to the STAN48, clock 06:56. PENALTY STAN Roughing the Passer on COOPER, Ernest enforced 15 yards from the UND46 to the STAN39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Jeremiyah Love run for 39 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds to the STAN 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 35

3rd & 11Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.47

Ashton Daniels sacked by Rylie Mills for a loss of 11 yards to the STAN 24

4th & 22Punt+9 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 49 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 9 yds to the ND 36

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.97

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 53 yds to the STAN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jadarian Price run for no gain to the STAN 13

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the STAN 5

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.58

Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Raridon for 5 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ryan Butler run for 5 yds to the STAN 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ryan Butler run for 4 yds to the STAN 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STAN 29

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STAN 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+13 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 49 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 13 yds to the ND 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Steve Angeli pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 5 yds to the ND 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Aneyas Williams run for 6 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:36) WILLIAMS, Aneyas rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the STAN45 (SINCLAIR, Tristan), clock 13:32. PENALTY UND Holding on SHERWOOD, Davis enforced 10 yards from the STAN49 to the UND41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Steve Angeli pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the ND 45

3rd & 16Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.58

Steve Angeli pass complete to Deion Colzie for 14 yds to the STAN 41

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.10

Steve Angeli run for 3 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Aneyas Williams run for 3 yds to the STAN 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Steve Angeli pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Devyn Ford run for 5 yds to the STAN 30

4th & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.55

Devyn Ford run for 11 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Aneyas Williams run for 19 yds for a TD (Marcello Diomede KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(09:17) LAMSON, Justin pass short to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Marcus thrown to the STAN27, clock 09:14. PENALTY UND Offsides on YOUNG, Bryce enforced 5 yards from the STAN25 to the STAN30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.58

Bryce Farrell run for 5 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Champ Hampton run for 8 yds to the STAN 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.63

Justin Lamson pass complete to Benji Blackburn for 6 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Champ Hampton run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Justin Lamson pass complete to Marcus Brown for 7 yds to the ND 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justin Lamson run for no gain to the ND 43

4th & 2Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.62

Justin Lamson sacked by Ben Minich and Loghan Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 47

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Kedren Young run for 12 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Steve Angeli run for 6 yds to the STAN 35

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Kedren Young run for 4 yds to the STAN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Kedren Young run for 9 yds to the STAN 22

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Steve Angeli pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.24

Kedren Young run for 5 yds to the STAN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kedren Young run for 1 yd to the STAN 16

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kedren Young run for 3 yds to the STAN 13

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kedren Young run for 5 yds to the STAN 8

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
41%
22 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
36%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
88%
8 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
100%
1 play
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays