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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 18.3

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 86%

Market (Bovada)

Notre Dame -27

Edge: Miami (OH) +27 (8.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
03003
Notre DameNotre Dame
0147728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-314-321-328-3
Notre DameMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(M(NDM(NDM(NDM(NDM(NDM(NDM(NDM(NDM(NDM(NDM(NDPUNT614ydTO321ydPUNT36ydDOWNS827ydDOWNS531ydFG1059ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-2ydTD1087ydPUNT417ydTD681ydEND626ydTO461ydPUNT39ydPUNT619ydTO10ydTD760ydPUNT514ydPUNT724ydMISS1459ydTD569ydPUNT32ydEND844yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Notre Dame
StatisticMiami (OH)Notre Dame
Passing14-3617-28
Pass Yards119158
Rush Yards110270
Total Yards229428
Turnovers22
3rd Down2-125-11
Penalties10-1008-66
Possession29:5430:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
14/35, 119 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Keyon Mozee
6 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Cade McDonald
4 REC, 52 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Riley Leonard
16/25, 154 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Riley Leonard
12 CAR, 143 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Beaux Collins
4 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 7 yds to the M-OH 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 9 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -2.57

Brett Gabbert sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the M-OH 27 Brett Gabbert fumbled, recovered by M-OH Keyon Mozee , return for 0 yards

2nd & 24Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.42

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 12 yds to the M-OH 39

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+35 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 35 yds , Jordan Faison returns for no gain to the ND 26 , returns for no gain to the ND 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.31

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 21 yds to the ND 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -5.12

Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Junior Tuihalamaka return for no gain to the ND 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 6

2nd & 8Penalty-3 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (Sam Pendleton) to the ND 3

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the ND 9

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the ND 10

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Rendell punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the M-OH 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the ND 43

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, False Start (Will Jados) to the ND 48

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +1.28

Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the ND 40 Keyon Mozee fumbled, recovered by M-OH Reid Holskey R. Holskey return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the ND 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 3 yds to the ND 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.85

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 36

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.77

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:45) LEONARD, Riley pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for EVANS, Mitchell thrown to the MIA30, clock 03:39. PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on SALOPEK, Matt enforced 15 yards to the MIA49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Jadarian Price run for 14 yds to the M-OH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(02:51) LEONARD, Riley scrambles to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the MIA27 (HONDRU, Corban), out of bounds, clock 02:41. PENALTY UND Holding on PENDLETON, Sam enforced 10 yards from the MIA35 to the MIA45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 12 yds to the M-OH 33

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.82

TEAM pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the M-OH 35

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Brett Gabbert run for 14 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.08

Kevin Davis run for 20 yds to the ND 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Keyon Mozee run for 11 yds to the ND 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kam Perry for 13 yds to the ND 7 for a 1ST down

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 4 yds to the ND 8

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, False Start (Reggie Virgil) to the ND 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Dom Dzioban 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 53 yds , Jeremiyah Love return for no gain to the ND 35 Notre Dame Penalty, Illegal Block (Junior Tuihalamaka) to the ND 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the ND 9

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 6

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the ND 9

4th & 7Punt+10 yds

James Rendell punt for 54 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 10 yds to the M-OH 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Brett Gabbert sacked by Howard Cross III for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 44

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Reggie Virgil) to the M-OH 39

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the M-OH 45

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordan Faison at the ND 13

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the ND 21

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 3 yds to the ND 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the ND 32

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 6 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(06:14) PRICE, Jadarian rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA49 (FRAZIER, Savio;UGWU, Brian), clock 06:09. PENALTY MIA Personal Foul on UGWU, Brian enforced 15 yards from the MIA47 to the MIA32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Jeremiyah Love run for 9 yds to the M-OH 23

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.43

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 5 yds to the M-OH 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the M-OH 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds to the M-OH 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Riley Leonard run for 8 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 16 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the M-OH 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, False Start (Oscar McWood) to the M-OH 42

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Faison at the ND 19

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Jeremiyah Love run for 8 yds to the ND 27

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.59

Riley Leonard run for 21 yds to the ND 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 14 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 38 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Brett Gabbert sacked by Boubacar Traore for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 11Penalty+15 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Adon Shuler) to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the M-OH 44

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.98

Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

0th & 9End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 9 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Raridon for 6 yds to the ND 43

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+43 ydsPPA -2.35

Riley Leonard run for 43 yds to the M-OH 14 Riley Leonard fumbled, recovered by M-OH Luke Evans L. Evans return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 6 yds to the M-OH 23

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Brunson run for no gain to the M-OH 23

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 51 yds, downed at the ND 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jadarian Price run for no gain to the ND 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 5 yds to the ND 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.13

Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 11 yds to the ND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 43

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.46

Riley Leonard sacked by Brian Ugwu for a loss of 5 yards to the ND 38

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 7 yds to the ND 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Rendell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 22

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Christian Gray return for no gain to the ND 40

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the ND 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the M-OH 44

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

(05:37) LEONARD, Riley pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MITCHELL, Kris thrown to the MIA5, clock 05:32. PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on EVANS, Luke enforced 15 yards to the MIA29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the M-OH 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 12 yds to the M-OH 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Jeremiyah Love run for 15 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the M-OH 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+7 yds

(03:31) GABBERT, Brett pass short up the middle incomplete intended for COLDIRON, Jack broken up by HEARD II, Rod at the MIA31, clock 03:26. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on HEARD II, Rod enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the MIA34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Preston Daniel for 5 yds to the M-OH 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Faison at the ND 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 2 yds to the ND 24

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.15

Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the ND 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (Sam Pendleton) to the ND 27

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds to the ND 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 9 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Rendell punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 11

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Jordan Brunson run for 12 yds to the M-OH 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Jordan Brunson run for 7 yds to the M-OH 30

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Jordan Brunson run for 5 yds to the M-OH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 9 yds to the M-OH 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.53

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Preston Daniel for 7 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the ND 47

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Kevin Davis run for 9 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the ND 34

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

(09:14) GABBERT, Brett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MCDONALD, Cade thrown to the UND7, clock 09:10. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on MICKEY, Jaden enforced 15 yards to the UND19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.00

Brett Gabbert sacked by Drayk Bowen for a loss of 12 yards to the ND 31

4th & 22Blocked Field Goal+49 yds

Dom Dzioban 49 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Jeremiyah Love run for 10 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the ND 47

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the ND 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +5.87

Riley Leonard run for 50 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Brunson run for no gain to the M-OH 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan Brunson run for 2 yds to the M-OH 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Henry Hesson pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 31 yds, downed at the ND 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Aneyas Williams run for 2 yds to the ND 49

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the M-OH 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.58

Steve Angeli pass complete to Deion Colzie for 4 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Steve Angeli pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Devyn Ford run for 5 yds to the M-OH 38

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

(02:00) ANGELI, Steve pass to the right incomplete intended for HARRISON, Jayden thrown to the MIA31, clock 01:56. PENALTY MIA Roughing the Passer on MCCAIN, Malcolm enforced 15 yards from the MIA38 to the MIA23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aneyas Williams run for 5 yds to the M-OH 18

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the M-OH 16

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Devyn Ford run for 7 yds to the M-OH 9 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
28 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
71%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play