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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 14

Home Win Probability

Monmouth 22%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Monmouth +3

Edge: Villanova -3 (11.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
7731633
Monmouth
61314740

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428426-06-712-719-1426-1733-2540-2540-33
MonmouthVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MONVILMONVILMONVILMONVILMONVILVILMONVILMONVILMONVILMONTD775ydTD1473ydTD775ydPUNT3-17ydTD552ydTD859ydPUNT31ydPUNT36ydPUNT39ydEND1-1ydPUNT729ydTD285ydFG735ydTD467ydTD1075ydTD1075ydTD1279ydEND1173yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and Monmouth
StatisticVillanovaMonmouth
Passing20-3222-23
Pass Yards235358
Rush Yards93144
Total Yards328502
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-157-11
Penalties7-714-55
Possession32:4927:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
20/32, 235 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
David Avit
14 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chris Colby
4 REC, 56 YDS
Monmouth
passing
Derek Robertson
22/23, 358 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Rodney Nelson
10 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
TJ Speight
7 REC, 120 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for a loss of 4 yards to the MONM 21

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Rodney Nelson run for 7 yds to the MONM 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.01

Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 21 yds to the MONM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.60

Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for 43 yds to the VILL 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Sone Ntoh run for 2 yds to the VILL 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Sone Ntoh run for no gain to the VILL 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Derek Robertson pass complete to Sone Ntoh for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 3 yds to the VILL 30

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Connor Watkins run for 4 yds to the VILL 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.59

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 17 yds to the MONM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Connor Watkins pass complete to Chris Colby for 16 yds to the MONM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 12 yds to the MONM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Villanova Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MONM 23

1st & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

David Avit run for 7 yds to the MONM 16

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Watkins run for no gain to the MONM 16

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Connor Watkins pass complete to David Avit for 4 yds to the MONM 12

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.83

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the MONM 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

David Avit run for 5 yds to the MONM 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Connor Watkins run for no gain to the MONM 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

David Avit run for no gain to the MONM 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Connor Watkins run for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Zack Hios run for 1 yd to the MONM 26

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

ROBERTSON, Derek pass to the right incomplete intended for NELSON, Gavin thrown to the MON35. PENALTY VIL Offsides on SMITH, Chuck enforced 5 yards from the MON26 to the MON31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 4Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.26

Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for a loss of 4 yards to the MONM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sone Ntoh run for 4 yds to the MONM 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Sone Ntoh run for 2 yds to the MONM 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.17

Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 9 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Makhi Green run for 17 yds to the VILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 32 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

Villanova Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the VILL 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

David Avit run for 2 yds to the VILL 15

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Connor Watkins run for 1 yd to the VILL 16

3rd & 7Penalty-8 yds

WATKINS, Connor scrambles to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the VIL20 (MCCRARY, Damir), out of bounds. PENALTY VIL Holding on VOLTAIRE, Stephane enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the VIL16 to the VIL8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 44 yds, downed at the MONM 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Derek Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Derek Robertson pass complete to Rodney Nelson for 9 yds to the VILL 43

3rd & 1Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.35

Derek Robertson pass complete to Tra Neal for 18 yds to the VILL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Derek Robertson pass complete to Marcus Middleton for 6 yds to the VILL 19

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.50

Derek Robertson pass complete to Max James for 19 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 6 yds to the VILL 47

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

David Avit run for 4 yds to the MONM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Ja'briel Mace run for 1 yd to the MONM 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.76

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 14 yds to the MONM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Ragland run for 5 yds to the MONM 29

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Connor Watkins run for 4 yds to the MONM 25

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.92

David Avit run for 25 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rodney Nelson run for 5 yds to the MONM 39

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

NELSON, Rodney rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the MON43 (BELL, Brendan). PENALTY MON Holding on MORENO, Chris enforced 10 yards from the MON39 to the MON29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Rodney Nelson run for 4 yds to the MONM 33

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 2 yds to the MONM 35

4th & 9Punt+10 yds

Luke Schabel punt for 51 yds , Tanner Maddocks returns for 10 yds to the VILL 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

David Avit run for 5 yds to the VILL 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

David Avit run for 1 yd to the VILL 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Makhi Green at the MONM 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rodney Nelson run for 4 yds to the MONM 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 5 yds to the MONM 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Sone Ntoh run for no gain to the MONM 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Luke Schabel punt for 53 yds, downed at the VILL 3

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

[NH] Kneel down by WATKINS, Connor at VIL2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass up the middle incomplete intended for COLBY, Chris thrown to the MON50. PENALTY MON Pass Interference on LEE, Deuce enforced 15 yards to the MON48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

David Avit run for 7 yds to the MONM 41

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

David Avit run for 2 yds to the MONM 39

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.80

David Avit run for 2 yds to the MONM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Isaiah Ragland run for 1 yd to the MONM 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Connor Watkins pass complete to Isaiah Ragland for 7 yds to the MONM 29

3rd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.94

Ja'briel Mace run for a loss of 5 yards to the MONM 34

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Connor Watkins punt for 19 yds, downed at the MONM 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.90

Derek Robertson pass complete to Gavin Nelson for 59 yds to the VILL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Rodney Nelson run for 26 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Isaiah Ragland run for 2 yds to the MONM 42

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Illegal Motion (Jaylan Sanchez) to the MONM 47

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Isaiah Ragland run for 1 yd to the MONM 46

3rd & 12Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.43

Connor Watkins pass complete to David Avit for 37 yds to the MONM 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

David Avit run for no gain to the MONM 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Ethan Gettman 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Makhi Green run for 8 yds to the MONM 41

2nd & 2Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.84

Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for 44 yds to the VILL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Derek Robertson pass complete to Gavin Nelson for 8 yds to the VILL 7

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.11

Sone Ntoh run for 7 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 11 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the VILL 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.08

Connor Watkins pass complete to Chris Colby for 16 yds to the MONM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Watkins pass complete to David Avit for 2 yds to the MONM 43

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass to the right incomplete intended for KOPECKY, Lucas thrown to the MON34. PENALTY MON Roughing the Passer on O'BANNON, Justin enforced 15 yards from the MON43 to the MON28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

David Avit run for no gain to the MONM 28

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Connor Watkins run for 1 yd to the MONM 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 16 yds to the MONM 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

David Avit run for 5 yds to the MONM 6

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds for a TD (C. Watkins Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Josh Derry run for 3 yds to the MONM 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.45

Derek Robertson pass complete to Makhi Green for 6 yds to the MONM 34 for a 1ST down Villanova Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Ty Trinh) to the MONM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Makhi Green run for no gain to the MONM 49

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Makhi Green run for 3 yds to the VILL 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for 3 yds to the VILL 45

4th & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.81

Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for 9 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.55

Derek Robertson pass complete to Jack Neri for 33 yds to the VILL 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Rodney Nelson run for no gain to the VILL 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Sone Ntoh run for 2 yds to the VILL 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Sone Ntoh run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Connor Watkins pass complete to Chris Colby for 12 yds to the VILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 4 yds to the VILL 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.39

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 10 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 11 yds to the MONM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.39

Connor Watkins pass complete to Chris Colby for 12 yds to the MONM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the left incomplete intended for COLBY, Chris thrown to the MON0. PENALTY MON Pass Interference on SCHULTERS, K-Shawn enforced 15 yards to the MON15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Connor Watkins sacked by Damir McCrary for a loss of 2 yards to the MONM 17

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 12Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +4.15

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 17 yds for a TD (C. Watkins Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for a loss of 5 yards to the MONM 20

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Rodney Nelson run for 3 yds to the MONM 23

3rd & 12Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.53

Rodney Nelson run for 29 yds to the VILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Rodney Nelson run for 4 yds to the VILL 44

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Rodney Nelson run for 1 yd to the VILL 43

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Sone Ntoh run for 8 yds to the VILL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Sone Ntoh run for 3 yds to the VILL 32

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Sone Ntoh run for a loss of 4 yards to the VILL 36

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Sone Ntoh run for 5 yds to the VILL 31

4th & 6Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.80

Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for 30 yds to the VILL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

[NH] Kneel down by ROBERTSON, Derek at VIL2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Monmouth

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
48%
21 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays