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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 40.3

Home Win Probability

Villanova 98%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Villanova -25.5

Edge: Villanova -25.5 (14.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Carolina A&T
03003
Villanova
7314731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-010-317-324-331-3
VillanovaNorth Carolina A&T

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCAVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAVILVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAVILNCAPUNT3-1ydTD956ydPUNT716ydPUNT36ydPUNT35ydFG1144ydFG946ydPUNT534ydPUNT419ydPUNT739ydTD970ydPUNT530ydTD580ydDOWNS626ydTD1051ydDOWNS631ydPUNT33ydPUNT31ydPUNT517ydEND316yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina A&T and Villanova
StatisticNorth Carolina A&TVillanova
Passing7-1918-27
Pass Yards50167
Rush Yards119223
Total Yards169390
Turnovers00
3rd Down2-125-13
Penalties9-707-80
Possession23:1836:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina A&T
passing
Braxton Thomas
4/13, 30 YDS
rushing
Braxton Thomas
8 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Jayvonne Dillard
2 REC, 19 YDS
Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
18/27, 167 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Isaiah Ragland
8 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Devin Smith
7 REC, 68 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Braxton Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Shimique Blizzard run for 4 yds to the NCAT 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Braxton Thomas pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

David Avit run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 10 yds to the NCAT 47

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.23

Connor Watkins pass complete to Ja'briel Mace for 7 yds to the NCAT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Ja'briel Mace run for 8 yds to the NCAT 32

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the NCAT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Connor Watkins pass complete to Chris Colby for 10 yds to the NCAT 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

David Avit run for 1 yd to the NCAT 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.30

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 18 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Braxton Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Shimique Blizzard run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Shimique Blizzard run for 1 yd to the VILL 49

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

Shimique Blizzard run for 1 yd to the VILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BLIZZARD, Shimique rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the VU47 (SMITH, Chuck;KIMMEL, Richie). PENALTY VU Offsides on SMITH, Chuck enforced 5 yards from the VU48 to the VU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Braxton Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.57

Daniel Coles run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 45

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Braxton Thomas run for 3 yds to the VILL 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaiah Ragland run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 10

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Ragland run for 4 yds to the VILL 14

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the VILL 17

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, False Start (Jason Ivey) to the NCAT 21

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Shimique Blizzard run for 2 yds to the NCAT 23

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Braxton Thomas pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Braxton Thomas run for 8 yds to the NCAT 31

4th & 5Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Ragland run for 6 yds to the VILL 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

David Avit run for 2 yds to the VILL 48

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.19

David Avit run for 19 yds to the NCAT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

David Avit run for 1 yd to the NCAT 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 7 yds to the NCAT 25

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Connor Watkins run for 4 yds to the NCAT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

David Avit run for 14 yds to the NCAT 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

David Avit run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCAT 11

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 16

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Good+33 yds

Ethan Gettman 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Daniel Coles run for 7 yds to the NCAT 44

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Villanova Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Isas Waxter) to the VILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Daniel Coles run for 4 yds to the VILL 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Daniel Coles run for 2 yds to the VILL 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Justin Fomby pass complete to Daniel Coles for 11 yds to the VILL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Daniel Coles run for 4 yds to the VILL 18

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Justin Fomby pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Shimique Blizzard run for 1 yd to the VILL 17

4th & 5Field Goal Good+34 yds

Andrew Brown 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 34 yds to the NCAT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Ragland run for 10 yds to the NCAT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 7 yds to the NCAT 24

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for KOPECKY, Lucas thrown to the NCAT0. PENALTY VU Holding on RAGLAND, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the NCAT24 to the NCAT34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

David Avit run for 2 yds to the NCAT 32

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.40

Connor Watkins sacked by Javon Armstrong-Grady and Kade Moledor for a loss of 9 yards to the NCAT 41

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.68

Justin Fomby run for 15 yds to the NCAT 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Fomby run for 5 yds to the NCAT 29

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.04

Shimique Blizzard run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCAT 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Justin Fomby pass complete to Jayvonne Dillard for 8 yds to the NCAT 33

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ger-Cari Caldwell) to the NCAT 28

4th & 6Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 70 yds, downed at the VILL 2

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Isaiah Ragland run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 1

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Devin thrown to the VU8 (Play was confirmed after official review). PENALTY NCAT Roughing the Passer on GLOVER, DeTerias enforced 15 yards from the VU1 to the VU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, Roughing the Passer on DANIEL, Henry enforced (Henry Daniel) to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Connor Watkins pass complete to Isaiah Ragland for 12 yds to the VILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 6 yds to the NCAT 46

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the left complete for 25 yards to KOPECKY, Lucas caught at the NCAT21 and advanced to the NCAT21, out of bounds. PENALTY VU Pass Interference on KOPECKY, Lucas enforced 15 yards to the VU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 2 yds to the VILL 41

4th & 17Punt+1 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 49 yds , Laquan Veney returns for 1 yd to the NCAT 11

0th & 10End of Half-78 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 18 yds to the VILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.69

Ja'briel Mace run for 15 yds to the NCAT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 3 yds to the NCAT 32

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

David Avit run for no gain to the NCAT 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 34

4th & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.86

Connor Watkins pass complete to David Avit for 21 yds to the NCAT 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Connor Watkins run for 13 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Braxton Thomas pass complete to Shimique Blizzard for 3 yds to the NCAT 28

2nd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.76

Braxton Thomas run for 25 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Shimique Blizzard run for 2 yds to the VILL 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Braxton Thomas pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Braxton Thomas pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the VILL 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

David Avit run for 3 yds to the VILL 28

3rd & 2Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.97

Isaiah Ragland run for 55 yds to the NCAT 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MACE, Ja'briel rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the NCAT10 (MOLEDOR, Kade). PENALTY Before the snap, NCAT Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the NCAT17 to the NCAT12. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.51

Connor Watkins run for 12 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Daniel Coles run for 5 yds to the NCAT 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Braxton Thomas pass complete to Ger-Cari Caldwell for 14 yds to the NCAT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, False Start (Kellen Culberson) to the NCAT 39

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Braxton Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.03

Braxton Thomas run for 14 yds to the VILL 47

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Daniel Coles run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Braxton Thomas run for 1 yd to the VILL 49

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass to the left incomplete intended for LOPES, Daniel thrown to the NCAT40 (Play was confirmed after official review). PENALTY Before the snap, NCAT Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the VU49 to the NCAT46. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.03

David Avit run for 17 yds to the NCAT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 7 yds to the NCAT 22

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Ragland run for 4 yds to the NCAT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

David Avit run for 5 yds to the NCAT 13

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

David Avit run for 7 yds to the NCAT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

David Avit run for no gain to the NCAT 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Ragland run for 5 yds to the NCAT 1

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Watkins pass complete to Brendan Bell for no gain to the NCAT 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

David Avit run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Villanova Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Shane Hartzell) to the VILL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Braxton Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

THOMAS, Braxton pass to the right incomplete intended for LANE, Cortez broken up by BELL, Brendan at the VU24; QB hurried by KENNEDY, Mike. PENALTY VU Roughing the Passer on KENNEDY, Mike enforced 15 yards from the VU37 to the VU22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Braxton Thomas pass complete to Daniel Coles for 2 yds to the VILL 20

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Braxton Thomas run for 2 yds to the VILL 18

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

THOMAS, Braxton scrambles up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the VU14, End of Play. PENALTY NCAT Holding on CULBERSON, Kellen enforced 10 yards from the VU18 to the VU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 16Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.55

Braxton Thomas sacked by Shane Hartzell for a loss of 3 yards to the VILL 31

4th & 19Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.84

Braxton Thomas pass complete to Jayvonne Dillard for 11 yds to the VILL 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ja'briel Mace run for no gain to the VILL 20

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ja'briel Mace run for 3 yds to the VILL 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 44 yds, downed at the NCAT 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Justin Fomby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Fomby pass complete to Shimique Blizzard for 1 yd to the NCAT 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Fomby pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+39 yds

DJ Page punt for 39 yds , Devin Smith returns for no gain to the VILL 27 , returns for no gain to the VILL 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Eli Smith run for 9 yds to the VILL 36

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Eli Smith run for 7 yds to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Eli Smith run for 2 yds to the VILL 45

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Eli Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 43

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Eli Smith run for 1 yd to the VILL 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 37 yds, downed at the NCAT 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Shimique Blizzard run for no gain to the NCAT 19

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Justin Fomby run for 6 yds to the NCAT 25

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Michael Godette run for 10 yds to the NCAT 35 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

North Carolina A&T

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
56%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play