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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 16.1

Home Win Probability

Maine 17%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Maine +13.5

Edge: Villanova -13.5 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
00077
Maine
2177035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284215-021-028-035-0
MaineVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILMAIMAIVILMAIVILVILMAIVILMAIVILMAIVILMAIMAIVILMAIVILMAIVILMAIVILPUNT33ydTD476ydTD224ydPUNT36ydTO454ydTD1144ydTO2-6ydTD39ydTO1147ydPUNT846ydPUNT918ydPUNT36ydTO20ydEND27ydTD1281ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT615ydPUNT824ydPUNT39ydDOWNS523ydDOWNS621ydUncategorized34yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and Maine
StatisticVillanovaMaine
Passing16-3618-21
Pass Yards153186
Rush Yards19152
Total Yards172338
Turnovers41
3rd Down4-133-8
Penalties10-1054-40
Possession23:4029:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
14/31, 117 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
David Avit
10 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Lucas Kopecky
4 REC, 43 YDS
Maine
passing
Carter Peevy
16/18, 173 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Brian Santana-Fis
11 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Joe Gillette
4 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ja'briel Mace run for no gain to the VILL 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ja'briel Mace run for 3 yds to the VILL 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Carter Peevy pass complete to Joe Gillette for 7 yds to the ME 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 9 yds to the ME 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tavion Banks run for 5 yds to the ME 45

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.65

Carter Peevy pass complete to Joe Gillette for 55 yds for a TD (M. Gilbert Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brian Santana-Fis run for 6 yds to the VILL 18

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Carter Peevy pass complete to Molayo Irefin for 18 yds for a TD (Joey Bryson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

David Avit run for 3 yds to the VILL 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

David Avit run for 3 yds to the VILL 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 41 yds, downed at the ME 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tavion Banks run for 2 yds to the ME 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Carter Peevy pass complete to Cooper Heisey for 6 yds to the ME 29

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Brian Santana-Fis run for 7 yds to the ME 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+39 ydsPPA -1.85

Trevin Ewing run for 39 yds to the VILL 25 Trevin Ewing fumbled, recovered by VILL Jordan Nelson J. Nelson return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

David Avit run for 8 yds to the VILL 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

David Avit run for 8 yds to the VILL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

David Avit run for 1 yd to the VILL 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 5 yds to the VILL 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.74

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 4 yds to the ME 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

David Avit run for 2 yds to the ME 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.44

Connor Watkins pass complete to Ja'briel Mace for 13 yds to the ME 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

David Avit run for 7 yds to the ME 27

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

David Avit run for 1 yd to the ME 26

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Isas Waxter) to the ME 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 7Blocked Field Goal Touchdown+70 ydsPPA -9.14

Devin Vaught 70 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Joey Bryson PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaiah Wright run for 1 yd to the VILL 16

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Watkins sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the VILL 9 Connor Watkins fumbled, recovered by ME Xavier Holmes , return for 0 yards

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Brian Santana-Fis run for 8 yds to the VILL 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Carter Peevy run for no gain to the VILL 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Brian Santana-Fis run for 1 yd for a TD (Joey Bryson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ja'briel Mace run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 12

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 15 yds to the VILL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Isas Waxter) to the VILL 22

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 15Penalty0 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for SMITH, Devin thrown to the MAINE35. PENALTY MAINE Pass Interference on COOPER, Kenneth Before the snap, NOVA False Start , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.32

Connor Watkins pass complete to Kenyon Miles for 16 yds to the VILL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Connor Watkins run for 7 yds to the VILL 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Connor Watkins pass complete to David Avit for 3 yds to the ME 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 7 yds to the ME 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Maine Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ME 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.15

Carter Peevy pass complete to Joe Gillette for 16 yds to the ME 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Tavion Banks run for 8 yds to the ME 42

2nd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.21

Tavion Banks run for 20 yds to the VILL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Carter Peevy pass complete to Nick Laughlin for 7 yds to the VILL 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 4 yds to the VILL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Tavion Banks run for 2 yds to the VILL 25

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.92

Carter Peevy sacked by Shane Hartzell for a loss of 11 yards to the VILL 36

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Samuel Tremblay punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

David Avit run for 3 yds to the VILL 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass to the left complete for 3 yards to SANCHEZ, Jaylan caught at the NOVA23 and advanced to the NOVA26 (VAUGHT, Devin). PENALTY MAINE Holding enforced 10 yards from the NOVA23 to the NOVA33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 9 yds to the VILL 42

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.16

David Avit run for 3 yds to the VILL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.62

Connor Watkins sacked by Xavier Holmes and Rayshad Wallace for a loss of 7 yards to the VILL 38

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Carter Peevy run for 2 yds to the ME 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Carter Peevy run for 4 yds to the ME 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Samuel Tremblay punt for 34 yds , Devin Smith returns for no gain to the VILL 40

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Connor Watkins pass complete to Ja'briel Mace for no gain to the VILL 40

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.12

Connor Watkins pass intercepted Devin Vaught return for no gain to the ME 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brian Santana-Fis run for 4 yds to the ME 21

0th & 3End of Half-3 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Brian Santana-Fis run for 3 yds to the ME 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tavion Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ME 18

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Carter Peevy run for 2 yds to the ME 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.23

Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 18 yds to the ME 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Brian Santana-Fis run for 14 yds to the VILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Carter Peevy pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 6 yds to the VILL 42

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Villanova Penalty, Targeting on BELL, Brendan enforced (Brendan Bell) to the VILL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Brian Santana-Fis run for 1 yd to the VILL 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.55

Carter Peevy pass complete to Brian Santana-Fis for 10 yds to the VILL 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PEEVY, Carter pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GILBERT, Mason thrown to the NOVA0. PENALTY MAINE Holding enforced 10 yards from the NOVA16 to the NOVA26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Tavion Banks run for 6 yds to the VILL 20

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 8 yds to the VILL 12

3rd & 6Penalty+3 yds

Villanova Penalty, Defensive Holding (3 Yards) to the VILL 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Tavion Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 5 yds for a TD (Joey Bryson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Connor Watkins sacked by Izaiah Henderson and Jacob Tuiasosopo for a loss of 6 yards to the VILL 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Molayo Irefin at the ME 40

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Tavion Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the ME 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Carter Peevy pass complete to Tavion Banks for 1 yd to the ME 39

3rd & 11Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.40

Carter Peevy run for 8 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down Villanova Penalty, Defensive Holding (TEAM) to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Brian Santana-Fis run for 8 yds to the VILL 35

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

SANTANA-FIS, Brian rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards to the NOVA37 (GOODMAN, Jalen). PENALTY MAINE Holding enforced 10 yards from the NOVA35 to the NOVA45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Carter Peevy pass complete to Mason Gilbert for no gain to the VILL 45

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nick Laughlin run for no gain to the VILL 45

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Samuel Tremblay punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Watkins pass complete to Kenyon Miles for 5 yds to the VILL 25

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.99

Connor Watkins sacked by Jaedin Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the VILL 17

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.86

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 16 yds to the VILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.29

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 14 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 5 yds to the ME 48

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.65

Connor Watkins sacked by Izaiah Henderson and Jacob Tuiasosopo for a loss of 8 yards to the VILL 44

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 37 yds, downed at the ME 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Brian Santana-Fis run for 2 yds to the ME 21

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Brian Santana-Fis run for 2 yds to the ME 23

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Carter Peevy run for 5 yds to the ME 28 Carter Peevy fumbled, recovered by ME

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Samuel Tremblay punt for 30 yds, downed at the VILL 32

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Tanner Maddocks run for 17 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.50

Tanner Maddocks sacked by John Costanza and Latrell Couchman for a loss of 7 yards to the VILL 42

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tanner Maddocks pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Tanner Maddocks pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 13 yds to the ME 45

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Tanner Maddocks pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Anthony Harris pass complete to Trevin Ewing for 8 yds to the VILL 47

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Tavion Banks run for 6 yds to the VILL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Anthony Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Anthony Harris pass complete to Tavion Banks for 5 yds to the VILL 38

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Harris run for 4 yds to the VILL 34

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.35

Anthony Harris pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Villanova Penalty, Personal Foul (Isas Waxter) to the VILL 19

1st & 25Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 4 yards to the VILL 15

2nd & 29Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Tanner Maddocks pass incomplete

3rd & 29Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.44

Tanner Maddocks pass complete to Chris Colby for 23 yds to the VILL 38

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Maine

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play