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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 30.5

Home Win Probability

Villanova 95%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Villanova -24

Edge: Villanova -24 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Long Island University
0001010
Villanova
1070724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-017-024-724-10
VillanovaLong Island University

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILLIUVILVILLIUVILLIUVILLIUVILLIULIUVILLIUVILLIUVILLIUVILLIUVILFG1384ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT3-6ydTD319ydPUNT33ydPUNT511ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS837ydPUNT515ydTD1189ydEND10ydPUNT43ydPUNT38ydPUNT748ydMISS1168ydTO613ydTD219ydTD475ydPUNT34ydFG941ydEND1249yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Long Island University and Villanova
StatisticLong Island UniversityVillanova
Passing11-2410-19
Pass Yards80128
Rush Yards96266
Total Yards176394
Turnovers20
3rd Down1-97-14
Penalties8-7510-90
Possession22:5537:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Long Island University
passing
Luca Stanzani
11/24, 80 YDS
rushing
Ludovick Choquette
9 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Michael Love
3 REC, 36 YDS
Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
10/18, 128 YDS
rushing
David Avit
24 CAR, 160 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylan Sanchez
2 REC, 55 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Michael Coney kickoff for 53 yds , Devin Smith return for 8 yds to the VILL 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Ragland run for 4 yds to the VILL 14

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Ragland run for 5 yds to the VILL 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Isaiah Ragland run for 2 yds to the VILL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Ja'briel Mace run for 15 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ja'briel Mace run for 7 yds to the VILL 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 4 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Isaiah Ragland run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.18

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 45 yds to the LIU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Ragland run for 1 yd to the LIU 9

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Ragland run for 4 yds to the LIU 5

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Ethan Gettman 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CHOQUETTE, Ludovick rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the LIU29, End of Play. PENALTY LIU Holding on BATTEN, Elias enforced 10 yards from the LIU25 to the LIU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Will Lynch punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Ragland run for 3 yds to the VILL 48

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Connor Watkins sacked by Chris Truvillion for a loss of 4 yards to the VILL 44

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.73

Connor Watkins sacked by Jahvonte Hair and DQ Watkins for a loss of 5 yards to the VILL 39

4th & 16Punt+42 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for no gain

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AVIT, David rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the LIU18 (GARCIA, JoJo;WATKINS, DQ). PENALTY VU Holding on PICARD, Jake enforced 10 yards from the LIU19 to the LIU29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

David Avit run for 12 yds to the LIU 17

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the LIU 12

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.75

Isaiah Ragland run for 12 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 4 yds to the LIU 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Long Island University Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LIU 24

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ludovick Choquette run for 4 yds to the LIU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Lynch punt for 51 yds, downed at the VILL 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

David Avit run for 6 yds to the VILL 27

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.51

David Avit run for 5 yds to the VILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Chris McCullers) to the VILL 27

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Isaiah Ragland run for 5 yds to the VILL 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+36 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 36 yds , Leisaan Hibbert returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Ethan Greenwood run for 3 yds to the LIU 34

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.14

Pat Bowen run for a loss of 5 yards to the LIU 29

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Will Lynch punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Devin Smith at the VILL 27

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

David Avit run for 8 yds to the VILL 35

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

David Avit run for 4 yds to the VILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins pass complete to Chris Colby for 5 yds to the VILL 44

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.27

David Avit run for 11 yds to the LIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Ragland run for 4 yds to the LIU 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Isaiah Ragland run for 4 yds to the LIU 37

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.20

Isaiah Ragland run for 1 yd to the LIU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Ethan Greenwood for 9 yds to the LIU 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Michael Love for 4 yds to the LIU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Long Island University Penalty, Encroachment on LOVE, Michael enforced (Michael Love) to the LIU 44

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Pat Bowen run for 1 yd to the LIU 45

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Evan Brooks for 6 yds to the VILL 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Lynch punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Long Island University Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the VILL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Connor Watkins sacked by Maurice Wilmer for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 28

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Ragland run for 3 yds to the VILL 31

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.02

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 18 yds to the VILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

David Avit run for 2 yds to the LIU 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Watkins pass complete to Luke Daly for 5 yds to the LIU 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 10 yds to the LIU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Connor Watkins run for 16 yds to the LIU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.00

Connor Watkins run for 17 yds to the LIU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Isaiah Ragland run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Greenwood run for no gain to the LIU 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ludovick Choquette run for 6 yds to the LIU 31

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Long Island University Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brandon Niemenski) to the LIU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Lynch punt for 41 yds , Tanner Maddocks returns for no gain to the VILL 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Watkins pass complete to Devin Smith for 3 yds to the VILL 34

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

David Avit run for 5 yds to the VILL 39

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ludovick Choquette run for 1 yd to the LIU 17

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ludovick Choquette run for 5 yds to the LIU 22

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

STANZANI, Luca pass to the right incomplete dropped by NICHOLS, Cory thrown to the LIU30. PENALTY VU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on BETANCES, Nino enforced 15 yards from the LIU22 to the LIU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ludovick Choquette run for 7 yds to the LIU 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Michael Love for 14 yds to the VILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Offsides (Obinna Nwobodo) to the VILL 37

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Long Island University Penalty, False Start (Brandon Niemenski) to the VILL 42

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Ludovick Choquette run for 6 yds to the VILL 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Will Lynch punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.58

David Avit run for 14 yds to the VILL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

David Avit run for 9 yds to the VILL 31

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

David Avit run for 7 yds to the VILL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaiah Wright run for 2 yds to the VILL 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.65

Connor Watkins pass complete to Ja'briel Mace for 25 yds to the LIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

David Avit run for 10 yds to the LIU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

David Avit run for 2 yds to the LIU 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the left complete for 23 yards to SANCHEZ, Jaylan caught at the LIU0 and advanced to the LIU0, TOUCHDOWN VU, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY VU Holding on PICARD, Jake enforced 10 yards from the LIU23 to the LIU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Connor Watkins pass complete to Lucas Kopecky for 9 yds to the LIU 24

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Ethan Gettman 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.26

Ludovick Choquette run for 18 yds to the LIU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Ludovick Choquette run for 21 yds to the VILL 37 Long Island University Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cory Nichols) to the LIU 40

1st & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ethan Greenwood run for no gain to the LIU 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 2 yds to the LIU 42

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -0.47

Luca Stanzani run for a loss of 5 yards to the LIU 19 Luca Stanzani fumbled, recovered by VILL Shane Hartzell S. Hartzell return for 18 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.72

David Avit run for 14 yds to the LIU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

David Avit run for 5 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Pat Bowen run for 1 yd to the LIU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 7 yds to the LIU 33

3rd & 2Penalty+10 yds

STANZANI, Luca pass short to the left complete for 3 yards to LOVE, Michael caught at the LIU35 and advanced to the LIU36, End of Play. PENALTY VU Holding on MIMS, Tyrell enforced 10 yards from the LIU33 to the LIU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

STANZANI, Luca pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NICHOLS, Cory thrown to the VU20. PENALTY VU Pass Interference on DAWUD, Zahmir enforced 15 yards to the VU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Evan Brooks for 12 yds to the VILL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Offsides (Nigel McSween) to the VILL 25

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.10

Pat Bowen run for 25 yds for a TD (Michael Coney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

David Avit run for 1 yd to the VILL 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

David Avit run for 3 yds to the VILL 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tanner Maddocks pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Michael Love at the LIU 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Pat Bowen run for 3 yds to the LIU 37

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Villanova Penalty, Offsides (Ivan Murray) to the LIU 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.11

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Michael Love for 18 yds to the VILL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Pat Bowen run for 5 yds to the VILL 35

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.18

Pat Bowen run for 6 yds to the VILL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Luca Stanzani pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.73

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Kahlil Overton for no gain to the VILL 29

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Luca Stanzani pass complete to Pat Bowen for 4 yds to the VILL 25

4th & 6Field Goal Good+42 yds

Michael Coney 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Michael Coney kickoff for 64 yds , Isaiah Wright return for 31 yds to the VILL 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

David Avit run for 8 yds to the VILL 40

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

David Avit run for 7 yds to the VILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

David Avit run for 6 yds to the LIU 47

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

David Avit run for 2 yds to the LIU 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Ja'briel Mace run for 3 yds to the LIU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Ja'briel Mace run for 2 yds to the LIU 40

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Connor Watkins run for 4 yds to the LIU 36

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.10

David Avit run for 6 yds to the LIU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

David Avit run for 9 yds to the LIU 21

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.45

David Avit run for 4 yds to the LIU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 18

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 19

Situational Analysis

Long Island University

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
15 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
44%
27 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play