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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Carolina State by 14.2

Home Win Probability

South Carolina State 79%

Market (ESPN Bet)

South Carolina State -3.5

Edge: South Carolina State -3.5 (10.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Carolina A&T
0107825
South Carolina State
73211445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-310-1031-17
South Carolina StateNorth Carolina A&T

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SCSNCASCSNCASCSNCANCANCASCSNCASCSNCASCSSCSSCSNCASCSNCASCSNCASCSNCASCSTO10ydUncategorized33ydTO628ydPUNT35ydTD845ydPUNT34ydFG747ydUncategorized10ydFG1051ydTD862ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1459ydTO26ydPUNT39ydTD280ydTD1290ydTO30ydTD325ydPUNT3-7ydTD446ydDOWNS1249ydTD774yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina A&T and South Carolina State
StatisticNorth Carolina A&TSouth Carolina State
Passing10-2021-32
Pass Yards159326
Rush Yards77149
Total Yards236475
Turnovers23
3rd Down4-128-14
Penalties5-3511-115
Possession22:3829:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina A&T
passing
Justin Fomby
10/20, 159 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cameren Dalrymple
8 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Jayvonne Dillard
3 REC, 68 YDS
South Carolina State
passing
Eric Phoenix
21/32, 326 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Deondra Duehart
18 CAR, 82 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Caden High
7 REC, 111 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.72

Eric Phoenix pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Shimique Blizzard run for 3 yds to the NCAT 31

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Blizzard,Shimique rush middle (Smith,Aaron;Hall,Ashaad).

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +2.37

Justin Fomby sacked by Ashaad Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the NCAT 43 Justin Fomby fumbled, recovered by SCST Ashaad Hall , return for 0 yards South Carolina State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the NCAT 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Keshawn Toney

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Deondra Duehart run for 6 yds to the NCAT 37

3rd & 4Rush-15 ydsPPA -3.13

Deondra Duehart run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCAT 42 South Carolina State Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCAT 47

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

South Carolina State Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCST 48

3rd & 19Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +4.23

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 36 yds to the NCAT 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Deondra Duehart run for 1 yd to the NCAT 15

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.17

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 5 yds Eric Phoenix fumbled, recovered by NCAT Aaron Harris

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Shimique Blizzard run for 2 yds to the NCAT 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Justin Fomby pass complete to Jayvonne Dillard for 5 yds to the NCAT 17

3rd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Fomby sacked by Jayden Broughton for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 15

4th & 5Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Einaj Carter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Kazarius Adams for 8 yds to the NCAT 37

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Deondra Duehart run for 2 yds to the NCAT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-14 ydsPPA -3.41

Einaj Carter run for a loss of 14 yards to the NCAT 49

2nd & 24Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.75

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 28 yds to the NCAT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Caden High

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.56

Deondra Duehart run for 18 yds to the NCAT 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Deondra Duehart run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Gallegos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Justin Fomby pass complete to Nicholas Dobson for 6 yds to the NCAT 20

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.69

Shimique Blizzard run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

pass incomplete to Ger-Cari Caldwell

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

DJ Page punt for 39 yds , Justin Smith-Brown returns for 2 yds to the SCST 45

3rd & 33Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.74

Justin Fomby pass complete to Jayvonne Dillard for 20 yds to the SCST 13

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Cameren Dalrymple run for 14 yds to the SCST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, false start (Joshua Hardy) to the NCAT 49

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cameren Dalrymple run for 4 yds to the SCST 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.11

Justin Fomby pass complete to Jayvonne Dillard for 43 yds to the SCST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Cameren Dalrymple run for 1 yd to the SCST 3

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-25 ydsPPA -3.72

Shimique Blizzard run for a loss of 25 yards to the SCST 28 Shimique Blizzard fumbled, recovered by NCAT Shimique Blizzard

3rd & 28Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina A&T Penalty, delay of game (Joshua Hardy) to the SCST 33

4th & 13Field Goal Good+30 yds

Andrew Brown 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Justin Fomby run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Deondra Duehart run for 6 yds to the SCST 31

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.37

Deondra Duehart run for 13 yds to the SCST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Deondra Duehart

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Duehart,Deondra rush middle (David II,Mack).

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Eric Phoenix pass incomplete to Justin Smith-Brown North Carolina A&T Penalty, off-side (Joshua Hardy) to the SCST 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.76

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Keshawn Toney for 26 yds to the NCAT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.95

Einaj Carter run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCAT 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Einaj Carter

4th & 9Field Goal Good+42 yds

Kyle Gallegos 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Shimique Blizzard run for 3 yds to the NCAT 41

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Shimique Blizzard run for 6 yds to the NCAT 47

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Shimique Blizzard run for 6 yds to the SCST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Amonte Jones

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jayvonne Dillard run for 2 yds to the SCST 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.45

Justin Fomby pass complete to Thomas Brown for 14 yds to the SCST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shimique Blizzard run for 5 yds to the SCST 26

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.76

Justin Fomby pass complete to Ger-Cari Caldwell for 26 yds for a TD (Andrew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Carolina State Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SCST 16

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Deondra Duehart run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 15

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Eric Phoenix run for 3 yds to the SCST 18

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Eric Phoenix pass incomplete to Justin Smith-Brown, broken up by Janaz Sumpter

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Dyson Roberts punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Ger-Cari Caldwell

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Cameren Dalrymple run for 2 yds to the NCAT 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Jayvonne Dillard

4th & 8Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Kazarius Adams run for 1 yd to the SCST 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 11 yds to the SCST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.28

Kazarius Adams run for 26 yds to the NCAT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kazarius Adams run for 3 yds to the NCAT 41

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

South Carolina State Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SCST 44

2nd & 22Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Kazarius Adams for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 16Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.60

Eric Phoenix run for 17 yds to the NCAT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kazarius Adams run for 3 yds to the NCAT 30

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Phoenix,Eric rush right (Armstrong-Grady,Javon).

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 9 yds to the NCAT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Keshawn Toney for no gain to the NCAT 21 South Carolina State Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 26

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

pass incomplete to Einaj Carter

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 6 yds to the NCAT 20

3rd & 9Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.37

Eric Phoenix sacked by Joshua Hardy for a loss of 15 yards to the NCAT 35

4th & 24Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA -0.24

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Einaj Carter for 12 yds to the NCAT 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Deondra Duehart run for 6 yds to the NCAT 16

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -4.54

Eric Phoenix pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Deondra Duehart run for 2 yds to the SCST 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Eric Phoenix pass incomplete to Justin Smith-Brown, broken up by Karon Prunty

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Einaj Carter for 7 yds to the SCST 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Dyson Roberts punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.60

Cameren Dalrymple run for 51 yds to the SCST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Justin Fomby pass complete to Anthony Rucker for 29 yds for a TD (Andrew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.27

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 22 yds to the SCST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Deondra Duehart run for 3 yds to the SCST 35

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.19

Eric Phoenix sacked by Henry Daniel for a loss of 5 yards to the SCST 30

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.81

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 15 yds to the SCST 45 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Deondra Duehart run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.43

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Keshawn Toney for 16 yds to the NCAT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Deondra Duehart run for 2 yds to the NCAT 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Eric Phoenix pass incomplete to Deyandre Ruffin North Carolina A&T Penalty, off-side (Joshua Hardy) to the NCAT 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.23

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Deyandre Ruffin for 19 yds to the NCAT 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kazarius Adams run for 6 yds to the NCAT 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kazarius Adams run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Gallegos KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Dalrymple,Cameren rush middle (Hall,Ashaad).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Ger-Cari Caldwell

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Fomby pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.04

Caden High run for 5 yds to the NCAT 20 South Carolina State Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NCAT 35

2nd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Deondra Duehart run for 2 yds to the NCAT 33

3rd & 18Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +5.33

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Deyandre Ruffin for 33 yds for a TD South Carolina State Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 8 (Kyle Gallegos KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Carolina State Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Dalrymple,Cameren rush middle (Dollard,Jordan).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

pass incomplete to Jayvonne Dillard

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Fomby sacked by Josh Barker for a loss of 7 yards to the NCAT 8

4th & 17Punt0 yds

DJ Page punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Kazarius Adams run for 16 yds to the NCAT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Caden High for 6 yds to the NCAT 24

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Caden High run for 16 yds to the NCAT 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Deondra Duehart run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Gallegos KICK)

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Justin Fomby pass complete to Amonte Jones for 11 yds to the NCAT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Fomby pass incomplete to Amonte Jones, broken up by Aaron Smith

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Cameren Dalrymple run for 6 yds to the NCAT 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Shimique Blizzard run for 1 yd to the NCAT 43

2nd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.35

Shimique Blizzard run for 3 yds to the SCST 46 for a 1ST down South Carolina State Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SCST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jayvonne Dillard run for 6 yds to the SCST 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Justin Fomby pass complete to Nicholas Dobson for 1 yd to the SCST 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Justin Fomby pass complete to Amonte Jones for 4 yds to the SCST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Amonte Jones

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Shimique Blizzard run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 29

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Fomby run for 3 yds to the SCST 26

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.49

Justin Fomby pass incomplete to Jayvonne Dillard, broken up by Jarod Washington

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Einaj Carter for 25 yds to the NCAT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Deondra Duehart run for 14 yds to the NCAT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Eric Phoenix sacked by Javon Armstrong-Grady for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 37

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Einaj Carter

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Eric Phoenix run for 6 yds to the NCAT 31

4th & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.18

Eric Phoenix pass complete to Keshawn Toney for 16 yds to the NCAT 15 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

North Carolina A&T

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
17 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

South Carolina State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
37%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play