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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Towson by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Towson 62%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Towson -11

Edge: Morgan State +11 (4.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morgan State
30609
Towson
770014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-37-314-314-9
TowsonMorgan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOWMSTOWMSTOWMSTOWMSTOWMSTOWMSMSTOWMSTOWMSTOWMSTOWTO10ydFG46ydDOWNS868ydPUNT36ydTD349ydPUNT424ydPUNT31ydDOWNS930ydPUNT618ydPUNT839ydTD862ydEND13ydTD273ydTO459ydMISS1360ydMISS1546ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT52ydDOWNS919ydEND36yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morgan State and Towson
StatisticMorgan StateTowson
Passing13-2021-28
Pass Yards163218
Rush Yards86137
Total Yards249355
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-123-9
Penalties9-586-70
Possession32:1227:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morgan State
passing
Tahj Smith
13/20, 163 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jason Collins Jr.
6 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Joseph Kennerly
1 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
Towson
passing
Carlos Davis
21/28, 218 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devin Matthews
11 CAR, 95 YDS
receiving
Jaceon Doss
3 REC, 67 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA -1.07

Carlos Davis pass intercepted Carlvainsky Decius return for 7 yds to the TOW 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the TOW 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the TOW 23

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for no gain to the TOW 23

4th & 4Field Goal Good+40 yds

Beckett Leary 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Carlos Davis pass complete to Devin Matthews for 6 yds to the TOW 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Carlos Davis pass complete to John Dunmore for 3 yds to the TOW 34

3rd & 1Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.96

Devin Matthews run for 27 yds to the MORG 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.58

Carlos Davis pass complete to Zay Perkins for 24 yds to the MORG 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Carlos Davis run for 7 yds to the MORG 8

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 2 yds to the MORG 6

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.13

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 7

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

Morgan State Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the MORG 4

1st & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

J.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the MORG 8

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tahj Smith pass complete to Marquez Phillips for 5 yds to the MORG 13

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.07

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jaceon Doss for 45 yds to the MORG 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Devin Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Carlos Davis pass complete to Sam Reynolds for 5 yds for a TD (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.26

Tahj Smith run for 28 yds to the MORG 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tahj Smith pass complete to Malique Leatherbury for 4 yds to the MORG 49

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

J.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 48

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.34

Tahj Smith sacked by Nchabanu Fortaboh for a loss of 7 yards to the MORG 41

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 33 yds, downed at the TOW 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for 8 yds to the TOW 39

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Carlos Davis pass complete to Zay Perkins for 6 yds Zay Perkins fumbled, recovered by TOW

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.74

Carlos Davis sacked by Elijah Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the TOW 32

4th & 9Punt+8 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 50 yds , Malique Leatherbury returns for 8 yds to the MORG 26

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Myles Miree run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 24

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Morgan State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Elijah Williams) to the MORG 19

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Tahj Smith run for 2 yds to the MORG 21

3rd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.72

Tahj Smith pass complete to Malique Leatherbury for 21 yds to the MORG 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Myles Miree run for 1 yd to the MORG 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.90

Tahj Smith pass complete to DJ Hamler for no gain to the MORG 43

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

SMITH, Tahj pass deep to the right incomplete intended for KENNERLY, Joseph thrown to the TOW28; QB hurried by RUTKOWSKI, Evan. PENALTY TOW Pass Interference on TERRY, Xavier enforced 15 yards to the TOW42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tahj Smith run for 5 yds to the TOW 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for 4 yds to the TOW 33

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Myles Miree run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOW 34

4th & 2Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.49

Tahj Smith sacked by CJ McClendon for a loss of 10 yards to the TOW 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the TOW 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jaceon Doss for 11 yds to the MORG 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Devin Matthews run for 10 yds to the MORG 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DAVIS, Carlos pass short to the right incomplete thrown to the MSU28; QB hurried by OGUAYO, Chibuikem. PENALTY TOW Holding on NELSON, Joden enforced 10 yards from the MSU33 to the MSU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 2 yds to the MORG 41

2nd & 18Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.65

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the MORG 46 Carlos Davis fumbled, recovered by TOW Tyrell Greene Jr. T. Greene Jr. return for 0 yds

3rd & 23Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Carlos Davis pass complete to Tyrell Greene Jr. for 8 yds to the MORG 38

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 34 yds, downed at the MORG 4

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Jason Collins Jr. run for 7 yds to the MORG 11

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Jason Collins Jr. run for 4 yds to the MORG 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jason Collins Jr. run for 7 yds to the MORG 22

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Tahj Smith run for 8 yds to the MORG 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Jason Collins Jr. run for 12 yds to the MORG 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jason Collins Jr. run for 3 yds to the MORG 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Tahj Smith pass complete to Marquez Phillips for a loss of 2 yards to the MORG 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 34 yds, downed at the TOW 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.71

Carlos Davis pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 15 yds to the MORG 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Carlos Davis pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 6 yds to the MORG 23

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for 7 yds to the MORG 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Carlos Davis pass complete to Christopher Watkins for 10 yds to the MORG 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Carlos Davis pass complete to Lukkas Londono for 9 yds to the TOW 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Carlos Davis pass complete to Christopher Watkins for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Christopher Watkins run for 6 yds to the MORG 44

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Christopher Watkins run for 6 yds for a TD (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the MORG 15

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Keith Jenkins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 26

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.81

Tahj Smith pass complete to Joseph Kennerly Jr. for 74 yds for a TD (Beckett Leary PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the TOW 25

2nd & 8Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.78

Devin Matthews run for 44 yds to the MORG 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -3.58

Carlos Davis pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 13 yds Da'Kendall James fumbled, recovered by MORG Ja'son Prevard J. Prevard return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Myles Miree run for 3 yds to the MORG 21

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

SMITH, Tahj sacked for a loss of 5 yards at the MSU16 (FORTABOH, Nchabanu;ROANE JR., Rodney). PENALTY TOW Offsides on ROANE JR., Rodney enforced 5 yards from the MSU21 to the MSU26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Tahj Smith pass complete to J.J. Davis for 2 yds to the MORG 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the MORG 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.27

Tahj Smith run for 11 yds to the MORG 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

J.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the MORG 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for a loss of 4 yards to the MORG 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.77

Tahj Smith pass complete to J.J. Davis for 26 yds to the TOW 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.39

Tahj Smith pass complete to Andre Crawley for 20 yds to the TOW 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morgan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TOW 19

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jason Collins Jr. run for 1 yd to the TOW 18

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.62

Tahj Smith sacked by Rodney Roane Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the TOW 22

4th & 18Blocked Field Goal+39 yds

Beckett Leary 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 11 yds to the TOW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 2 yds to the TOW 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.75

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jaceon Doss for 11 yds to the MORG 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the MORG 45

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

DAVIS, Carlos pass to the right incomplete intended for DOSS, Jaceon broken up by WOODBY, Tyrin at the MSU35. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on PREVARD, Ja'son enforced 10 yards to the MSU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 7 yds to the MORG 28

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

QB Keeper DAVIS, Carlos rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU31 (MURRAY, Joseph;DECIUS, Carlvainsky). PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the MSU28 to the MSU23 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Carlos Davis pass complete to Devin Matthews for 7 yds to the MORG 16

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Devin Matthews run for 5 yds to the MORG 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Devin Matthews run for no gain to the MORG 11

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Towson Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ralph Paige Jr.) to the MORG 26

2nd & 25Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Carlos Davis pass complete to Devin Matthews for 1 yd to the MORG 25

3rd & 24Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the MORG 25

4th & 24Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Keegan Vaughan 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Andre Crawley run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 24

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tahj Smith sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the MORG 21 Tahj Smith fumbled, recovered by MORG , return for 0 yards

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

Morgan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MORG 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Shane Messenger punt for 43 yds, downed at the TOW 41

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 15 yds to the MORG 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Carlos Davis pass complete to Tyrell Greene Jr. for 16 yds to the MORG 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DAVIS, Carlos scrambles up the middle for a gain of 22 yards to the MSU6, End of Play. PENALTY TOW Holding on NELSON, Joden enforced 10 yards from the MSU28 to the MSU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Carlos Davis pass complete to Devin Matthews for 4 yds to the MORG 34

2nd & 16Penalty-15 yds

DAVIS, Carlos pass to the right complete for 19 yards to DUNMORE, John caught at the MSU28 and advanced to the MSU15 (GRAHAM, Josh). PENALTY TOW Pass Interference on REYNOLDS, Sam enforced 15 yards to the MSU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 31Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the MORG 49

3rd & 31Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.24

Carlos Davis sacked by Elijah Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the TOW 43

4th & 39Punt+19 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 45 yds , Demier Shipley returns for 19 yds to the MORG 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Tahj Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORG 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tahj Smith pass complete to J.J. Davis for 5 yds to the MORG 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.13

Tahj Smith pass complete to J.J. Davis for 8 yds to the MORG 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Myles Miree run for 8 yds to the TOW 49

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Myles Miree run for 4 yds to the TOW 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Myles Miree run for no gain to the TOW 45

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Tahj Smith sacked by Will Middleton for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Tahj Smith pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Devin Matthews run for 6 yds to the MORG 44

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.86

Devin Matthews run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORG 47

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the MORG 44

Situational Analysis

Morgan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Towson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
61%
23 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play