Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 8, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 30.4

Home Win Probability

Montana State 95%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Montana State -30.5

Edge: Maine +30.5 (0.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 8, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Maine
0771024
Montana State
21173041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-028-035-035-738-1441-1441-2141-24
Montana StateMaine

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MAIMSMAIMSMAIMSMAIMSMAIMSMAIMSMAIMSMAIMSMAIMSMAIMSMAIMSMAIMSMAIMSPUNT420ydTD284ydPUNT3-2ydTD268ydPUNT629ydTD222ydPUNT3-3ydTD662ydPUNT33ydTD871ydTD1075ydPUNT429ydPUNT3-7ydFG736ydEND19ydTO213ydTD638ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydFG853ydTD875ydPUNT637ydFG1372ydDOWNS743ydTO327ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Maine and Montana State
StatisticMaineMontana State
Passing18-3114-21
Pass Yards224182
Rush Yards149344
Total Yards373526
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-164-10
Penalties5-452-20
Possession34:1625:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Maine
passing
Carter Peevy
18/31, 224 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tavion Banks
8 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Montigo Moss
5 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD
Montana State
passing
Tommy Mellott
12/15, 144 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Scottre Humphrey
4 CAR, 110 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ryan King
3 REC, 39 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Carter Peevy pass complete to Declan McKevitt for 13 yds to the ME 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaharie Martin run for 3 yds to the ME 41

2nd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Carter Peevy sacked by Danny Uluilakepa for a loss of 1 yard to the ME 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Carter Peevy pass complete to Tavion Banks for 5 yds to the ME 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the MTST 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Simeon Woodard run for 5 yds to the MTST 21

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +6.50

Scottre Humphrey run for 79 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Santana-Fis run for 4 yds to the ME 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Maine Penalty, False Start (Alhaji Kamara) to the ME 24

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Brian Santana-Fis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ME 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 48 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 3 yds to the MTST 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.33

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Adam Jones for 28 yds to the ME 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Adam Jones run for 40 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaharie Martin run for 1 yd to the ME 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.15

Carter Peevy pass complete to Joe Gillette for 23 yds to the ME 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaharie Martin run for 4 yds to the MTST 47

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tavion Banks run for 1 yd to the MTST 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 5Blocked Punt+9 yds

punt blocked by Taki Uluilakepa blocked by Taki Uluilakepa Punt by CADOGAN, Aidan at the MSU46 is blocked by ULUILAKEPA, Taki, recovered by MSU WALCHLI, Garrett at the UMA31, returned 9 yards to the UMA22 (COSTANZA, John), clock 05:23. , returns for 9 yds to the ME 22

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.96

Tommy Mellott run for 18 yds to the ME 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan Lonergan for 4 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brian Santana-Fis run for 6 yds to the ME 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.73

Carter Peevy sacked by Hunter Parsons for a loss of 9 yards to the ME 22

4th & 13Punt+15 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 55 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 15 yds to the MTST 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rohan Jones for 15 yds to the ME 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 10 yds to the ME 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.49

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Lonyatta Alexander Jr. for 22 yds to the ME 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Mellott run for 4 yds to the ME 11

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Adam Jones run for 5 yds to the ME 6

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.50

Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaharie Martin run for 4 yds to the ME 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Carter Peevy pass complete to Nick Laughlin for 4 yds to the ME 33

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Maine Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the ME 28

4th & 7Punt+6 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 49 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 6 yds to the MTST 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jared White run for 4 yds to the MTST 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.73

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 13 yds to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jared White run for 1 yd to the MTST 47

2nd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.20

Tommy Mellott run for 20 yds to the ME 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan King for 6 yds to the ME 27

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the ME 25

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Lonyatta Alexander Jr. for 6 yds to the ME 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Adam Jones run for 19 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 31 yds to the MTST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Carter Peevy run for 2 yds to the MTST 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.36

Carter Peevy pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 25 yds to the MTST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Molayo Irefin run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTST 20

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Carter Peevy pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 10 yds to the MTST 10

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.41

Carter Peevy run for 6 yds to the MTST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Brian Santana-Fis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 5 yds for a TD (Joey Bryson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan King for 23 yds to the MTST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jared White run for 6 yds to the ME 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Molayo Irefin at the ME 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Carter Peevy pass complete to Declan McKevitt for 5 yds to the ME 19

3rd & 5Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.35

Carter Peevy sacked by Brody Grebe for a loss of 12 yards to the ME 7

4th & 17Punt+6 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 41 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 6 yds to the ME 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan King for 10 yds to the ME 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Tommy Mellott run for 12 yds to the ME 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Tommy Mellott run for 12 yds to the ME 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Adam Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the ME 9

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Lonyatta Alexander Jr. for 3 yds to the ME 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Myles Sansted 24 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half+41 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tavion Banks run for 9 yds to the ME 34

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Scottre Humphrey run for 23 yds to the MTST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Jordan Reed sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the MTST 38 Jordan Reed fumbled, recovered by ME Izaiah Henderson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaharie Martin run for 3 yds to the MTST 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jaharie Martin run for 3 yds to the MTST 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Carter Peevy pass complete to Nick Laughlin for 9 yds to the MTST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaharie Martin run for 4 yds to the MTST 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.14

Trevin Ewing run for 19 yds for a TD (Joey Bryson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jared White run for 3 yds to the MTST 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jared White run for 5 yds to the MTST 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jared White run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 68 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BANKS, Tavion rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the UMA30, out of bounds. PENALTY UMA Holding enforced 10 yards from the UMA20 to the UMA10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Carter Peevy pass complete to Molayo Irefin for 5 yds to the ME 15

2nd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.53

Tavion Banks run for 12 yds to the ME 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Aidan Cadogan punt for 46 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 6 yds to the MTST 33

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jared White run for 9 yds to the MTST 42

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Jared White run for 7 yds to the MTST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Reed pass complete to Javonte King for 4 yds to the ME 47

2nd & 6Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.45

Jared White run for 27 yds to the ME 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Javonte King for 4 yds to the ME 16

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jared White run for 2 yds to the ME 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Reed pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 yds

Myles Sansted 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PEEVY, Carter pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for EWING, Trevin thrown to the MSU35. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the UMA40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 1 yd to the ME 41

2nd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.57

Tavion Banks run for 21 yds to the MTST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Carter Peevy pass complete to Nick Laughlin for 21 yds to the MTST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tavion Banks run for 5 yds to the MTST 12

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaharie Martin run for 4 yds to the MTST 8

1st & 7Penalty-15 yds

Maine Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the MTST 22

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Carter Peevy run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 7 Carter Peevy fumbled, recovered by ME Carter Peevy C. Peevy return for 2 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 22Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.08

Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for a loss of 3 yards to the MTST 25

2nd & 25Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +4.36

Carter Peevy pass complete to Declan McKevitt for 25 yds for a TD (Joey Bryson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Zachary Dodson-Greene run for 6 yds to the MTST 28

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jared White run for no gain to the MTST 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.64

Chance Wilson pass complete to Rylan Schlepp for 34 yds to the ME 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jared White run for 2 yds to the ME 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chance Wilson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the ME 41

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Chance Wilson pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 13 yds to the ME 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Brian Santana-Fis run for 3 yds to the ME 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.77

Carter Peevy pass complete to Trevin Ewing for 27 yds to the MTST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Maine Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the MTST 45

2nd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Tavion Banks run for 9 yds to the MTST 36

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Tavion Banks run for 13 yds to the MTST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tavion Banks run for 4 yds to the MTST 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Carter Peevy run for 2 yds to the MTST 17

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Carter Peevy run for 4 yds to the MTST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Carter Peevy pass complete to Tavion Banks for 5 yds to the MTST 8

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Carter Peevy pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Joey Bryson 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jared White run for 1 yd to the MTST 26

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Jared White run for 8 yds to the MTST 34

3rd & 1Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.86

Jared White run for 25 yds to the ME 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Colson Coon run for 4 yds to the ME 37

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Colson Coon run for 3 yds to the ME 34

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chance Wilson pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.35

Chance Wilson run for 2 yds to the ME 32

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Brian Santana-Fis run for 22 yds to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brian Santana-Fis run for 5 yds to the MTST 41

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.55

Carter Peevy pass intercepted Jackson Harmon return for no gain to the MTST 11

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

[NHSG] Kneel down by MSU at MSU9 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.14

[NHSG] Kneel down by MSU at MSU7 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Maine

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
8 plays
63%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
29 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
8 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play