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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 3.9

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 56%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Cincinnati -33.5

Edge: Towson +33.5 (29.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Towson
3143020
CincinnatiCincinnati
21710038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-321-328-1028-2038-20
CincinnatiTowson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINTOWTOWCINTOWCINTOWCINTOWCINTOWCINTOWCINTOWCINTOWCINTOWCINTOWTOWCINTOWCINTD775ydPUNT3-1ydFG45ydTD465ydPUNT530ydTD375ydDOWNS1162ydPUNT639ydTD496ydTD563ydPUNT38ydMISS1053ydTD880ydEND440ydFG1259ydTD164ydPUNT38ydFG1163ydPUNT516ydTO568ydTO430ydPUNT614ydPUNT39ydDOWNS746ydEND659yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Towson and Cincinnati
StatisticTowsonCincinnati
Passing21-3722-31
Pass Yards244383
Rush Yards194275
Total Yards438658
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-175-10
Penalties9-483-40
Possession32:0327:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Towson
passing
Carlos Davis
21/37, 244 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Devin Matthews
17 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Jaceon Doss
3 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Brendan Sorsby
22/31, 383 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Evan Pryor
4 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xzavier Henderson
7 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Barry Jackson Jr. for 5 yds to the CIN 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.67

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Aaron Turner for 49 yds to the TOW 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the TOW 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 2 yds to the TOW 11

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 9 yds to the TOW 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Carlos Davis sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 4 yards to the TOW 21

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the TOW 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+54 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 54 yds , Michael Mussari returns for no gain to the CIN 20 , returns for no gain to the CIN 20

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(09:41) DAVIS, Carlos pass deep to the right incomplete intended for RUNYON, Carter thrown to the CIN0, clock 09:35. PENALTY CIN Holding on YOUNG, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the CIN20 to the CIN10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Devin Matthews run for 5 yds to the CIN 5

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Towson Penalty, False Start (Florian Staehler) to the CIN 10

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Towson Penalty, Delay Of Game (John Dunmore) to the CIN 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

4th & 15Field Goal Good+32 yds

Keegan Vaughan 32 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Keegan Vaughan kickoff for 44 yds , Logan Wilson return for 14 yds to the CIN 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.58

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 21 yds to the TOW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +4.20

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 42 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 6 yds to the TOW 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.13

Carlos Davis pass complete to Lukkas Londono for 22 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 2 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the CIN 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chance Williams run for 3 yds to the CIN 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 11 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 61 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Carlos Davis pass complete to Lukkas Londono for 4 yds to the TOW 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.31

Carlos Davis pass complete to Lukkas Londono for 8 yds to the TOW 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Devin Matthews run for a loss of 3 yards to the TOW 45 Devin Matthews fumbled, recovered by TOW Devin Matthews D. Matthews return for 1 yds

2nd & 12Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.64

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 18 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Towson Penalty, False Start (Florian Staehler) to the CIN 42

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.19

Carlos Davis pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 21 yds to the CIN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for 10 yds to the CIN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Christopher Watkins run for 7 yds to the CIN 4

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the CIN 2

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Devin Matthews run for no gain to the CIN 2

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.20

Devin Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 3

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.38

Tony Johnson run for 13 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 5 yds to the CIN 21

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.65

Corey Kiner run for 18 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Manny Covey run for a loss of 4 yards to the CIN 35

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Manny Covey for 7 yds to the CIN 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 51 yds, fair catch by John Dunmore at the TOW 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.45

Carlos Davis pass complete to Devin Matthews for 14 yds to the TOW 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Devin Matthews run for 6 yds to the TOW 24

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.87

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jaceon Doss for 76 yds for a TD (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Keegan Vaughan kickoff for 43 yds , Logan Wilson return for 15 yds to the CIN 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 18 yds to the TOW 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.28

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 38 yds to the TOW 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Chance Williams run for 4 yds to the TOW 3

2nd & 3Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.02

Brendan Sorsby run for a loss of 9 yards to the TOW 12

3rd & 12Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.23

Brendan Sorsby run for 12 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 6 yds to the TOW 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for 2 yds to the TOW 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+12 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 45 yds , Michael Mussari returns for 12 yds to the CIN 34

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Corey Kiner run for 12 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 9 yds to the TOW 45

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.01

Corey Kiner run for 10 yds to the TOW 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:55) SORSBY, Brendan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BERKHALTER, Sterling thrown to the TOW0, clock 03:50. PENALTY TOW Pass Interference on GANT, Emiril enforced 15 yards to the TOW20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the TOW 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 11 yds to the TOW 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -1.03

run for a loss of 10 yards to the TOW 13 fumbled, recovered by CIN Corey Kiner C. Kiner return for 5 yds

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Carter Brown 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.15

Christopher Watkins run for 39 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Towson Penalty, False Start (Florian Staehler) to the CIN 46

1st & 15Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Carlos Davis sacked by Eric Phillips for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for 7 yds to the CIN 43

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Towson Penalty, False Start (Jaceon Doss) to the CIN 48

3rd & 17Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.36

Carlos Davis run for 12 yds to the CIN 36

4th & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.34

Carlos Davis run for 8 yds to the CIN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.98

Carlos Davis pass complete to John Dunmore for 28 yds for a TD (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 8 yds to the CIN 38

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.20

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 13 yds to the TOW 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 19 yds to the TOW 30 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 4 yds to the TOW 29

2nd & 6Penalty-7 yds

Towson Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Carlos Davis) to the TOW 22

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Roughing the Passer on ROETHERFORD, Cameron enforced (Cam Roetherford) to the TOW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the TOW 41

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the TOW 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.55

Carlos Davis pass complete to Devin Matthews for 11 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Devin Matthews run for 8 yds to the CIN 38

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.13

Devin Matthews run for 15 yds to the CIN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Christopher Watkins run for 7 yds to the CIN 16

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+33 yds

Keegan Vaughan 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Keegan Vaughan kickoff for 41 yds , Jake Golday return for 12 yds to the CIN 36

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Evan Pryor run for 64 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 8 yds to the TOW 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the TOW 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Michael Mussari at the CIN 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the CIN 28

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.07

Manny Covey run for 5 yds to the CIN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.74

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Aaron Turner for 19 yds to the TOW 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Manny Covey run for 5 yds to the TOW 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 6 yds to the TOW 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Chance Williams run for 7 yds to the TOW 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 7 yds to the TOW 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Barry Jackson Jr. run for 5 yds to the TOW 18

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+36 yds

Carter Brown 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Devin Matthews run for 7 yds to the TOW 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Devin Matthews run for 4 yds to the TOW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Devin Matthews run for 6 yds to the TOW 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Carlos Davis pass complete to Christopher Watkins for a loss of 1 yard to the TOW 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Mussari at the CIN 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the CIN 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Francis Sherman for 14 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Victor Dawson run for 7 yds to the CIN 41

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+47 ydsPPA -1.13

Victor Dawson run for 47 yds to the TOW 12 Victor Dawson fumbled, recovered by TOW Xavier Terry X. Terry return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 4 yds to the TOW 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Carlos Davis pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 6 yds to the TOW 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Carlos Davis pass complete to Tyrell Greene Jr. for 8 yds to the TOW 30

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -1.57

Tyrell Greene Jr. run for 12 yds to the TOW 36 fumbled, recovered by CIN Darian Varner D. Varner return for 6 yds fumbled, recovered by TOW return for 6 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Christopher Watkins run for 4 yds to the TOW 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Christopher Watkins run for 2 yds to the TOW 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.17

Carlos Davis pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 9 yds to the CIN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Devin Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+39 yds

Bryce LaFollette punt for 39 yds , Michael Mussari returns for no gain to the CIN 13 , returns for no gain to the CIN 13

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Chance Williams run for 8 yds to the CIN 21

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Chance Williams run for 1 yd to the CIN 22

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the CIN 22

4th & 1Punt-2 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 54 yds , John Dunmore returns for a loss of 2 yards to the TOW 22

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Devin Matthews run for 12 yds to the TOW 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the TOW 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.74

Carlos Davis pass complete to Carter Runyon for no gain to the TOW 36

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(05:25) DAVIS, Carlos pass to the right complete for 13 yards to DOSS, Jaceon caught at the TOW49 and advanced to the TOW49 (CARROLL, Kalen), clock 05:07. PENALTY CIN Roughing the Passer on SIMMS III, Brian enforced 15 yards from the TOW49 to the CIN36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Carlos Davis pass complete to Christopher Watkins for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 37

2nd & 11Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jaceon Doss for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 39

3rd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Carlos Davis pass complete to John Dunmore for 7 yds to the CIN 32

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the CIN 36

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the CIN 41

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.72

Manny Covey run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Manny Covey run for 11 yds to the TOW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +0.94

Evan Pryor run for 32 yds to the TOW 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

(00:25) [SG] Kneel down by CIN at TOW9 (team loss of 2), clock 00:23.

Situational Analysis

Towson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
17%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
63%
32 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th