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← Back to GamesAug 29, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 5.7

Home Win Probability

UCF 63%

Market (ESPN Bet)

UCF -38.5

Edge: New Hampshire +38.5 (32.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 29, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New Hampshire
03003
UCFUCF
62328057

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-06-015-022-329-336-343-357-3
UCFNew Hampshire

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFNHUCFNHUCFNHUCFNHUCFNHUCFNHUCFNHUCFNHNHUCFNHUCFNHUCFNHUCFNHUCFNHUCFNHUCFNHFG1261ydPUNT32ydFG922ydPUNT614ydPUNT34ydTO36ydTD13ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT30ydPUNT34ydTD261ydFG855ydDOWNS637ydPUNT38ydTD480ydEND2-4ydPUNT3-6ydTO23ydPUNT36ydTD588ydPUNT36ydTD370ydPUNT38ydTD463ydTO22ydTD229ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS1669ydPUNT438ydTO654ydEND634yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Hampshire and UCF
StatisticNew HampshireUCF
Passing14-2811-22
Pass Yards95185
Rush Yards67454
Total Yards162639
Turnovers22
3rd Down2-154-11
Penalties7-403-35
Possession30:2729:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Hampshire
passing
Seth Morgan
14/28, 95 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Matt Vezza
2 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
Logan Tomlinson
6 REC, 73 YDS
defense
UCF
passing
KJ Jefferson
7/14, 164 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
RJ Harvey
11 CAR, 142 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kobe Hudson
2 REC, 61 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Nick Mazzie kickoff for 58 yds , Xavier Townsend return for 25 yds to the UCF 32

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.17

RJ Harvey run for 25 yds to the UNH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UNH 39

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UNH 38

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.35

Johnny Richardson run for 6 yds to the UNH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.86

Myles Montgomery run for 12 yds to the UNH 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Myles Montgomery run for 7 yds to the UNH 13

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UNH 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UNH 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Colton Boomer 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Seth Morgan pass complete to Joey Corcoran for a loss of 6 yards to the UNH 19

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Myles Thomason run for 1 yd to the UNH 20

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Myles Thomason run for 7 yds to the UNH 27

4th & 8Punt+26 yds

Sean Lehane punt for 47 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 26 yds to the UNH 48

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Johnny Richardson run for 10 yds to the UNH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UNH 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

New Hampshire Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UNH 30

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UNH 29

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.26

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the UNH 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the UNH 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UNH 19

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.91

KJ Jefferson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNH 21

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, Delay Of Game (Colton Boomer) to the UNH 26

4th & 12Field Goal Good+44 yds

Colton Boomer 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Seth Morgan pass complete to Josh Fillion for 8 yds to the UNH 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.74

Seth Morgan pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 9 yds to the UNH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Isaac Seide run for 2 yds to the UNH 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

New Hampshire Penalty, Delay Of Game (Sean Lehane) to the UNH 39

4th & 13Punt+26 yds

Sean Lehane punt for 51 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 26 yds to the UCF 36

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Xavier Townsend run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

KJ Jefferson pass complete to RJ Harvey for 8 yds to the UCF 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Myles Thomason at the UNH 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Myles Thomason run for 4 yds to the UNH 23

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Myles Thomason run for 2 yds to the UNH 25

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return+37 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Morgan pass intercepted Deshawn Pace return for 37 yds to the UNH 3

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Isaac Seide run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNH 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Morgan pass complete to Myles Thomason for a loss of 5 yards to the UNH 18

4th & 17Safety0 ydsPPA -1.63

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the UNH 40

2nd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.92

KJ Jefferson sacked by Flex Ruiz and Brandon Perkins for a loss of 4 yards to the UNH 44

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Myles Thomason at the UNH 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Myles Thomason run for 9 yds to the UNH 19

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Myles Thomason run for no gain to the UNH 19

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

(10:18) MORGAN, Seth pass short up the middle incomplete dropped by TOMLINSON, Logan thrown to the UNH22, clock 10:05. PENALTY Before the snap, UNH False Start on RILEY, Beau enforced 5 yards from the UNH19 to the UNH14. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 6Punt+12 yds

Sean Lehane punt for 59 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 12 yds to the UCF 39

1st & 10Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.92

RJ Harvey run for 60 yds to the UNH 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

RJ Harvey 1 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(09:39) MORGAN, Seth pass short to the right complete for 8 yards to RAMSHAW, Colby caught at the UNH26 and advanced to the UNH33 (ARNOLD, II, Sheldon;BARR, Ethan), clock 09:35. PENALTY Before the snap, UNH Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the UNH25 to the UNH20. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.26

Seth Morgan pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 22 yds to the UNH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Myles Thomason run for 3 yds to the UNH 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Seth Morgan pass complete to Isaac Seide for 10 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UCF Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Myles Thomason run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 30

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Seth Morgan run for 7 yds to the UCF 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Seth Morgan pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 3 yds to the UCF 20

4th & 4Field Goal Good+38 yds

Nick Mazzie 38 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Nick Mazzie kickoff for 58 yds , Xavier Townsend return for 21 yds to the UCF 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the UCF 33

2nd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.34

Myles Montgomery run for 23 yds to the UNH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Myles Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNH 46

2nd & 12Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.67

Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.04

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 15 yds to the UNH 35

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.53

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the UNH 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Myles Thomason run for 1 yd to the UNH 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Seth Morgan pass complete to Zachary Kim for 7 yds to the UNH 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sean Lehane punt for 37 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for no gain to the UCF 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

KJ Jefferson run for 8 yds to the UCF 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.87

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 46 yds to the UNH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.18

KJ Jefferson run for 13 yds to the UNH 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

RJ Harvey run for 13 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

(00:43) [NHSG] Kneel down by UNH at UNH23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:42.

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.31

(00:22) [NHSG] Kneel down by UNH at UNH21 (team loss of 2), clock 00:18.

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(14:58) THOMASON, Myles rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the UNH28 (ADAMS, Brandon), clock 14:54. PENALTY UNH Holding on SWAINE, Luke enforced 10 yards from the UNH25 to the UNH15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Seth Morgan pass complete to Joey Corcoran for 4 yds to the UNH 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.13

Seth Morgan pass complete to Myles Thomason for no gain to the UNH 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt+18 yds

Sean Lehane punt for 52 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 18 yds to the UCF 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -2.49

KJ Jefferson pass intercepted Zedane Williams return for a loss of 1 yard to the UNH 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Isaac Seide run for 2 yds to the UNH 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Morgan pass complete to Josh Fillion for 4 yds to the UNH 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Sean Lehane punt for 46 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 4 yds to the UCF 12

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Myles Montgomery run for 6 yds to the UCF 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.55

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 20 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.48

KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the UNH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 49 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Grant Reddick kickoff for 57 yds , Caleb Mead return for 18 yds to the UNH 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Isaac Seide run for 3 yds to the UNH 29

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Isaac Seide run for 3 yds to the UNH 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sean Lehane punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Peny Boone run for 6 yds to the UCF 36

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.66

Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.66

Peny Boone run for 59 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Grant Reddick kickoff for 60 yds , Caleb Mead return for 15 yds to the UNH 20

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Seth Morgan pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for no gain to the UNH 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Seth Morgan pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 8 yds to the UNH 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sean Lehane punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 37

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.91

RJ Harvey run for 24 yds to the UNH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the UNH 38

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Xavier Townsend run for 16 yds to the UNH 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 22 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Grant Reddick kickoff for 58 yds , Caleb Mead return for 17 yds to the UNH 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaac Seide run for 2 yds to the UNH 26

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -0.42

Seth Morgan pass intercepted Antione Jackson return for 9 yds to the UNH 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 4 yds to the UNH 25

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.83

Myles Montgomery run for 25 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Grant Reddick kickoff for 64 yds , Caleb Mead return for 31 yds to the UNH 32

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Myles Thomason run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNH 29

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaac Seide run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNH 28

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+3 yds

Sean Lehane punt for 46 yds , Trent Whittemore returns for 3 yds to the UCF 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the UCF 30

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Jacurri Brown run for 15 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacurri Brown run for 4 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Johnny Richardson run for 12 yds to the UNH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the UNH 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 4 yds to the UNH 30

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.35

Jacurri Brown run for 1 yd to the UNH 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the UNH 21

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.27

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kylan Fox for 6 yds to the UNH 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jacurri Brown run for 4 yds to the UNH 11

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.23

Johnny Richardson run for 7 yds to the UNH 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Johnny Richardson run for 1 yd to the UNH 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jacurri Brown run for 1 yd to the UNH 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (Quadric Bullard) to the UNH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.17

Denzell Gibson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNH 43

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Denzell Gibson run for 2 yds to the UNH 45

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Seth Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

New Hampshire Penalty, Delay Of Game (Sean Lehane) to the UNH 40

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Sean Lehane punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trent Whittemore at the UCF 25

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

New Hampshire Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UCF 30

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.51

Kam Ingram run for 3 yds to the UCF 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Jacurri Brown run for 5 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 6 yds to the UCF 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.63

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kylan Fox for 5 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+30 ydsPPA -3.08

Jacurri Brown run for 30 yds to the UNH 21 Jacurri Brown fumbled, recovered by UNH Sam Rumelhart S. Rumelhart return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Matt Vezza run for 12 yds to the UNH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Denzell Gibson run for no gain to the UNH 33

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Denzell Gibson run for 2 yds to the UNH 35

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.37

Matt Vezza run for 9 yds to the UNH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Denzell Gibson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.51

Denzell Gibson run for 5 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

New Hampshire

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
11%
19 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
55%
33 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays