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← Back to GamesAug 29, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 11.9

Home Win Probability

Villanova 75%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Villanova -11.5

Edge: Villanova -11.5 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 29, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
037717
Villanova
1077024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-010-317-324-1024-17
VillanovaYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILYSVILYSVILYSVILYSVILYSYSVILYSVILYSVILYSVILPUNT30ydDOWNS622ydFG642ydPUNT510ydTD779ydFG1565ydTD745ydTO423ydPUNT30ydEND211ydPUNT3-3ydTD488ydTD1572ydMISS1361ydTD1080ydPUNT39ydTO630ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and Villanova
StatisticYoungstown StateVillanova
Passing18-256-17
Pass Yards15290
Rush Yards169246
Total Yards321336
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-103-9
Penalties4-304-30
Possession36:1223:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Beau Brungard
18/25, 152 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Beau Brungard
16 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Cyrus Traugh
3 REC, 42 YDS, 1 TD
Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
6/17, 90 YDS
rushing
Connor Watkins
10 CAR, 107 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ja'briel Mace
1 REC, 35 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Traugh at the YSU 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the YSU 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.66

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 11 yds to the VILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the VILL 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyshon King run for 5 yds to the VILL 33

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.72

Beau Brungard run for 1 yd to the VILL 33 Beau Brungard fumbled, recovered by VILL Richie Kimmel

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.52

Connor Watkins sacked by Hunter Allen and Jaelen Crider for a loss of 5 yards to the VILL 28

2nd & 15Rush+45 ydsPPA +4.21

Connor Watkins run for 45 yds to the YSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Connor Watkins run for 2 yds to the YSU 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+42 yds

Ethan Gettman 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Ethan Gettman kickoff for 59 yds , Latrell Fordham return for 23 yds to the YSU 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Ethan Wright run for 6 yds to the YSU 35

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the YSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BRUNGARD, Beau pass short up the middle complete for 60 yards to TOMCZAK, Max caught at the YSU44 and advanced to the VIL0, TOUCHDOWN YSU, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY YSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SECHREST, Colt enforced 5 yards from the YSU40 to the YSU35 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the YSU 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Beau Brungard sacked by Ayden Howard for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 39

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Devin Smith at the VILL 21

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Isaiah Wright run for 11 yds to the VILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Isaiah Wright run for no gain to the VILL 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Connor Watkins pass complete to Kenyon Miles for 7 yds to the VILL 39

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the VILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.90

Connor Watkins pass complete to Ja'briel Mace for 35 yds to the YSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Isaiah Ragland run for 9 yds to the YSU 14

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.03

Connor Watkins run for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Ethan Gettman kickoff for 62 yds , Latrell Fordham return for 23 yds to the YSU 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the YSU 28

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Tyshon King run for 6 yds to the YSU 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.28

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 4 yds to the YSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Beau Brungard pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 10 yds to the YSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Ethan Wright run for 9 yds to the VILL 43

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.19

Ethan Wright run for 6 yds to the VILL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the VILL 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Beau Brungard pass complete to Brandan Serrano for 4 yds to the VILL 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.84

Beau Brungard pass complete to Tyshon King for 5 yds to the VILL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyshon King run for a loss of 2 yards to the VILL 28

2nd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Beau Brungard run for 13 yds to the VILL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ethan Wright run for 1 yd to the VILL 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Beau Brungard pass complete to Colt Sechrest for 1 yd to the VILL 13

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ethan Wright run for 4 yds to the VILL 9

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Andrew Lastovka 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+42 yds

Andrew Lastovka kickoff for 52 yds , Christian Sapp return for 42 yds to the YSU 45

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

AVIT, David rush up the middle for a gain of 15 yards to the YSU30 (MARTIN, Kerion;SHAHID, Makai). PENALTY VIL Holding on AJIROTUTU, Temi enforced 10 yards from the YSU45 to the VIL45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 10 yds to the YSU 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.89

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 23 yds to the YSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Connor Watkins run for 8 yds to the YSU 14

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.24

David Avit run for 5 yds to the YSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

David Avit run for 6 yds to the YSU 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Isaiah Ragland run for 3 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Ethan Gettman kickoff for 64 yds , Latrell Fordham return for 14 yds to the YSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Beau Brungard pass complete to Tyshon King for 8 yds to the YSU 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 7 yds to the YSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Beau Brungard run for 8 yds to the YSU 38

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -2.31

Beau Brungard pass intercepted Zahmir Dawud return for 2 yds to the VILL 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Traugh at the YSU 7

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the YSU 12

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Ethan Wright run for 6 yds to the YSU 18 for a 1ST down

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Ethan Gettman kickoff for 59 yds , Latrell Fordham return for 20 yds to the YSU 26

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.20

Tyshon King run for a loss of 7 yards to the YSU 19

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Beau Brungard run for 4 yds to the YSU 23

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 65 yds

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.27

Isaiah Ragland run for 31 yds to the VILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Isaiah Ragland run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Devin broken up by HACKETT, Isaiah at the YSU15. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on HACKETT, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the YSU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Ja'briel Mace run for 6 yds to the YSU 29

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.74

Connor Watkins run for 29 yds for a TD (Ethan Gettman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ethan Gettman kickoff for 58 yds , Latrell Fordham return for 21 yds to the YSU 28

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Tyshon King run for 10 yds to the YSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.50

Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 8 yds to the VILL 42

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Beau Brungard run for a loss of 1 yard to the VILL 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the VILL 41

4th & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.04

Beau Brungard pass complete to Brandan Serrano for 5 yds to the VILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Tyshon King run for a loss of 4 yards to the VILL 40

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Beau Brungard run for 5 yds to the VILL 35

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.78

Beau Brungard run for 11 yds to the VILL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Beau Brungard run for 1 yd to the VILL 23

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the VILL 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.51

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 18 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

David Avit run for 20 yds to the VILL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

David Avit run for 11 yds to the YSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +0.90

Isaiah Ragland run for 44 yds Villanova Penalty, Offensive Holding (Temi Ajirotutu) to the YSU 49

1st & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.55

Jaylan Sanchez run for 16 yds to the YSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Isaiah Wright run for 2 yds to the YSU 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Connor Watkins pass complete to Kenyon Miles for 10 yds to the YSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.37

Connor Watkins sacked by Hunter Allen and Dawan Martin for a loss of 8 yards to the YSU 29

2nd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Isaiah Ragland run for 7 yds to the YSU 22

3rd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Connor Watkins run for 13 yds to the YSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

David Avit run for no gain to the YSU 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Stephane Voltaire) to the YSU 14

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Ethan Gettman 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Beau Brungard run for 7 yds to the YSU 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 7 yds to the YSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Beau Brungard pass complete to Tyshon King for 12 yds to the YSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, False Start (Shane Keenan) to the YSU 41

1st & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.12

Beau Brungard run for 17 yds to the VILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 9 yds to the VILL 33

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.35

Beau Brungard run for 5 yds to the VILL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the VILL 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.75

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 18 yds to the VILL 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Beau Brungard run for 5 yds to the VILL 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyshon King run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Andrew Lastovka kickoff for 54 yds , Christian Sapp return for 11 yds to the VILL 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Isaiah Ragland run for 3 yds to the VILL 25

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds to the VILL 31

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Villanova Penalty, False Start (Kyle Fay) to the VILL 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Connor Watkins pass complete to Isaiah Ragland for 5 yds to the VILL 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ethan Gettman punt for 62 yds, downed at the YSU 7

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Ethan Wright run for 8 yds to the YSU 15

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the YSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 6 yds to the YSU 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 10 yds to the YSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Beau Brungard run for 3 yds to the YSU 37

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.27

Beau Brungard pass intercepted Richie Kimmel return for no gain to the VILL 49

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

[NH] Kneel down by WATKINS, Connor at VIL48 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

[NH] Kneel down by WATKINS, Connor at VIL47 (team loss of 1).

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

[NH] Kneel down by WATKINS, Connor at VIL46 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
25 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
38%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th