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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2024Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 2.7

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 54%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan State -1.5

Edge: Michigan State -1.5 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
RutgersRutgers
101381041
Michigan StateMichigan State
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-107-177-207-317-3414-41
Michigan StateRutgers

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSRUTMSRUTMSRUTMSRUTMSRUTMSRUTRUTMSRUTMSRUTMSRUTTD575ydTD550ydDOWNS4-23ydFG4-4ydPUNT512ydPUNT36ydDOWNS1268ydTD894ydPUNT36ydFG1046ydPUNT30ydFG941ydTD1475ydDOWNS732ydFG1246ydTD775ydTD756ydTO28ydEND2-10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Rutgers and Michigan State
StatisticRutgersMichigan State
Passing13-2213-24
Pass Yards157150
Rush Yards218126
Total Yards375276
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-133-9
Penalties2-207-70
Possession35:0824:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Rutgers
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
13/22, 157 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kyle Monangai
31 CAR, 129 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ian Strong
4 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan State
passing
Aidan Chiles
13/23, 150 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kay'Ron Adams
9 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Jack Velling
5 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the MSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.84

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 36 yds to the RUTG 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Aidan Chiles run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the RUTG 26

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.18

Nate Carter run for 26 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the MSU 42

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Kyle Monangai run for 14 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 20 yds to the MSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MSU 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Makhi Frazier run for 3 yds to the MSU 28

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan Chiles sacked by Jordan Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 25

4th & 10Rush-23 ydsPPA +0.29

TEAM run for a loss of 23 yards to the MSU 2

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the MSU 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

QB Keeper KALIAKMANIS, Athan rush up the middle for no gain to the MSU1 (VANSUMEREN, Alex). PENALTY Before the snap, RUT Illegal Motion on MONANGAI, Kyle enforced 5 yards from the MSU1 to the MSU6. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 yds

Jai Patel 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jack Scullion kickoff for 58 yds , Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams return for 16 yds to the MSU 23

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Aidan Chiles run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSU 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.47

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jaron Glover for 22 yds to the MSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.26

Aidan Chiles sacked by Dariel Djabome for a loss of 8 yards to the MSU 33

2nd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Nate Carter run for no gain to the MSU 33

3rd & 18Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 2 yds to the MSU 35

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 34

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.95

Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jakob Anderson punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Nick Marsh run for 10 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MSU 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.90

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 13 yds to the MSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CARTER, Nate rush to the left for a gain of 48 yards to the RUT3 (SALAAM, Al-Shadee). PENALTY MSU Holding on BALDWIN, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the MSU49 to the MSU39 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.05

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 23 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the RUTG 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.31

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 23 yds to the RUTG 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nate Carter run for 5 yds to the RUTG 10

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the RUTG 7

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the RUTG 6

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.13

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the RUTG 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 8 yds to the RUTG 14

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 14

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.53

Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass to the left incomplete intended for STRONG, Ian thrown to the RUT30. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on WOODS, Ed enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the RUT28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the RUTG 35

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the RUTG 36

3rd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.56

Kyle Monangai run for 18 yds to the MSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.00

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ben Black for 33 yds to the MSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Antwan Raymond run for 13 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Nate Carter run for 6 yds to the MSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 33

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Kyle Monangai run for 10 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Kyle Monangai run for 21 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 38

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the MSU 38

3rd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 11 yds to the MSU 27

4th & 1Penalty+6 yds

QB Keeper KALIAKMANIS, Athan rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the MSU25 (HANSEN, Maverick). PENALTY MSU Offsides on DOUSE, D'Quan enforced 6 yards from the MSU27 to the MSU21 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Ben Roberts for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 24

3rd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for no gain to the MSU 24

4th & 13Field Goal Good+42 yds

Jai Patel 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 37 yds , Christian Dremel returns for 9 yds to the RUTG 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 9 yds to the MSU 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.44

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 14 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the MSU 28

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

Michigan State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ed Woods) to the MSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jai Patel 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 6 yds to the RUTG 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.41

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 9 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the MSU 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 16 yds to the MSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the MSU 27

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the MSU 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.10

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 17 yds to the MSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MSU 9

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the MSU 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 9 yds for a TD (Athan Kaliakmanis pass to KJ Duff for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 17 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MSU 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 7 yds to the RUTG 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 49

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 6 yds to the RUTG 43

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the RUTG 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.95

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for no gain to the RUTG 43

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 46

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for STRONG, Ian thrown to the MSU19. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on BRINSON IV, Andrew enforced 15 yards to the MSU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MSU 38

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the MSU 34

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MSU 33

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.96

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 7 yds to the MSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 9 yds to the MSU 17

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the MSU 17

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.12

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the MSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the MSU 10

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jai Patel 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 8 yds to the MSU 33

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

CHILES, Aidan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FOSTER JR., Montorie thrown to the RUT40. PENALTY RUT Pass Interference on SALAAM, Al-Shadee enforced 15 yards to the MSU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 14 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 9 yds to the RUTG 29

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Carter run for 6 yds to the RUTG 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 18 yds to the RUTG 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 21 yds , return for no gain to the RUTG 44

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 42

2nd & 12Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.01

Antwan Raymond run for 24 yds to the MSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the MSU 30

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.43

Antwan Raymond run for 14 yds to the MSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Antwan Raymond run for 10 yds to the MSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ja'shon Benjamin run for 1 yd to the MSU 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jack Scullion kickoff for 57 yds , Sam Edwards return for 17 yds to the MSU 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Makhi Frazier run for 8 yds to the MSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.83

Alessio Milivojevic pass intercepted Bo Mascoe return for no gain to the MSU 37

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.77

[SG] Kneel down by TEAM at MSU42 (team loss of 5).

2nd & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.78

[SG] Kneel down by TEAM at MSU47 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Rutgers

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
45%
29 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
30%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
18 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays