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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2024Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 20.6

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 89%

Market (Bovada)

Ohio State -20

Edge: Ohio State -20 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
0100313
Ohio StateOhio State
370010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-710-1010-13
Ohio StateMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICPUNT625ydFG958ydDOWNS1172ydTO31ydTD22ydMISS1055ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydFG43ydTD975ydEND16ydPUNT1056ydPUNT34ydTO731ydTO33ydMISS40ydTO1577ydPUNT39ydFG1157ydDOWNS41ydEND1-16yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Ohio State
StatisticMichiganOhio State
Passing9-1619-33
Pass Yards62175
Rush Yards17377
Total Yards235252
Turnovers22
3rd Down7-146-16
Penalties4-502-19
Possession33:3526:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Davis Warren
9/16, 62 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Kalel Mullings
32 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Peyton O'Leary
1 REC, 18 YDS
defense
Ohio State
passing
Will Howard
19/33, 175 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Quinshon Judkins
12 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Carnell Tate
6 REC, 58 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds , Jordan Marshall return for 11 yds to the MICH 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the MICH 14

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 16

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.41

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 14 yds to the MICH 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.57

Davis Warren pass complete to Marlin Klein for no gain to the MICH 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 9 yds to the OSU 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 8 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 8 yds to the MICH 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.47

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 13 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Howard,Will pass incomplete deep right to Smith,Jeremiah thrown to UM00 PENALTY UM Pass Interference (Johnson,Quinten) 15 yards from UM31 to UM16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the MICH 16

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the MICH 11

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 5Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jayden Fielding 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Davis Warren pass complete to Hogan Hansen for 9 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 1 yd to the MICH 38

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MICH 44

3rd & 3Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.88

Alex Orji run for 29 yds to the OSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the OSU 19

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.28

Kalel Mullings run for 7 yds to the OSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the OSU 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler Morris

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 6 yds to the OSU 3

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.18

Kalel Mullings run for no gain to the OSU 3

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 3

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Will Howard run for 1 yd to the OSU 4

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Howard pass intercepted Aamir Hall return for 11 yds to the OSU 2

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the OSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Quinshon Judkins run for 15 yds to the OSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 18 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 5 yds to the MICH 37 Ohio State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the MICH 37

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the MICH 35

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Will Howard run for 2 yds to the MICH 33

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.62

Quinshon Judkins run for 10 yds to the MICH 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 24

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Howard,Will rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UM19 (Grant,Kenneth; Hausmann,Ernest) PENALTY UM Offside (Stewart,Josaiah) 5 yards from UM24 to UM19. NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 20

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Jayden Fielding 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the MICH 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler Morris

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 68 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Will Howard pass incomplete to Gee Scott Jr.

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 8

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tyler Morris at the OSU 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the OSU 36

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 1 yd to the OSU 36

4th & 7Field Goal Good+54 yds

Dominic Zvada 54 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 6 yds to the OSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.69

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 18 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 9 yds to the MICH 42

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 4 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 11 yds to the MICH 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the MICH 25

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Howard,Will pass incomplete deep left to Smith,Jeremiah thrown to UM00 PENALTY UM Pass Interference (Hill,Jyaire) 15 yards from UM25 to UM10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 43 yds , Joe Taylor return for 6 yds to the MICH 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the MICH 34

0th & 10End of Half+6 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 59 yds , TreVeyon Henderson return for no gain to the OSU 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 7

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 10

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 9 yds to the OSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 13 yds to the OSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Will Howard run for 3 yds to the OSU 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Will Howard pass incomplete to Gee Scott Jr.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.43

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 24 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 3 yds to the MICH 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 4

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Hogan Hansen

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the MICH 47

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Quinshon Judkins run for 17 yds to the MICH 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the MICH 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 6 yds to the MICH 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the MICH 14

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 16

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.90

Will Howard pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the MICH 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Semaj Morgan

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA +0.22

Davis Warren pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the MICH 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.38

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for no gain to the MICH 16

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the MICH 16

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Jayden Fielding 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Peyton O'Leary

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Davis Warren pass complete to Marlin Klein for 7 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Alex Orji run for 2 yds to the MICH 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Davis Warren pass complete to Marlin Klein for 6 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 42

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Alex Orji run for 1 yd to the MICH 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.16

Davis Warren pass complete to Peyton O'Leary for 18 yds to the OSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kalel Mullings run for no gain to the OSU 39

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.19

Davis Warren run for 11 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Bell,Kendrick pass incomplete deep right to Morris,Tyler thrown to OSU01 broken up by Burke,Denzel PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Burke,Denzel) 15 yards from OSU28 to OSU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the OSU 9

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the OSU 4

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the OSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA -5.54

Davis Warren pass intercepted Jack Sawyer return for 12 yds to the OSU 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 17

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Will Howard run for 4 yds to the OSU 21

4th & 1Punt+2 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 40 , Tyler Morris returns for 2 yds to the MICH 40

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the MICH 48

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.05

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Kalel Mullings run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the OSU 44

3rd & 6Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.35

Kalel Mullings run for 27 yds to the OSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Marshall run for 3 yds to the OSU 14

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the OSU 9

3rd & 2Penalty+4 yds

PENALTY OSU Illegal Substitution 4 yards from OSU09 to OSU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kalel Mullings run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the OSU 4

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the OSU 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Dominic Zvada 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Howard pass incomplete to Gee Scott Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the OSU 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.26

Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.26

Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY UM UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Barham,Jaishawn) 15 yards from OSU26 to OSU41. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

D. Warren takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
16%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
31%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays