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← Back to GamesNov 24, 2024Week 13
USCUSC
19
-Final
13
UCLAUCLA
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 2

Home Win Probability

UCLA 46%

Market (Bovada)

UCLA +4.5

Edge: UCLA +4.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 24, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
3601019
UCLAUCLA
3010013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-33-63-910-913-913-1613-19
UCLAUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCUCLUSCFG742ydPUNT416ydPUNT434ydFG993ydDOWNS933ydFG1251ydPUNT427ydFG1479ydEND454ydDOWNS47ydTD754ydPUNT515ydFG1080ydPUNT7-5ydPUNT423ydTD349ydDOWNS49ydFG821ydDOWNS40ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and UCLA
StatisticUSCUCLA
Passing20-3620-29
Pass Yards260265
Rush Yards91111
Total Yards351376
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-143-11
Penalties2-258-65
Possession29:0330:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Jayden Maiava
19/35, 221 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jo'quavious Marks
18 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Kyron Ware-Hudson
6 REC, 79 YDS
defense
UCLA
passing
Ethan Garbers
20/29, 265 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
TJ Harden
14 CAR, 98 YDS
receiving
J.Michael Sturdivant
5 REC, 117 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

T.J. Harden run for 8 yds to the UCLA 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 13 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 17 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 1 yd to the USC 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+51 yds

Mateen Bhaghani 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Woody Marks for 16 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Woody Marks run for no gain to the USC 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 7

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.78

T.J. Harden run for 40 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 44

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 46

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

(07:30) RICHTER, Brody punt 43 yards to the USC11, fair catch by BRANCH, Zachariah, clock 07:25. PENALTY Before the snap, UCLA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UCLA46 to the UCLA41. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 54 yds, downed at the USC 5

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Woody Marks run for 7 yds to the USC 12

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Woody Marks run for 5 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+64 ydsPPA +3.93

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 64 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Woody Marks run for 16 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jayden Maiava run for 1 yd to the UCLA 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Michael Lantz 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 9 yds to the UCLA 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

T.J. Harden run for no gain to the UCLA 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Keegan Jones run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.63

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Ethan Garbers run for 6 yds to the USC 44

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

T.J. Harden run for no gain to the USC 44

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Ethan Garbers run for 2 yds to the USC 42

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.71

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Woody Marks run for 1 yd to the USC 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.06

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 13 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Woody Marks for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 10 yds to the UCLA 28

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Quinten Joyner run for 3 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.01

Quinten Joyner run for 21 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Quinten Joyner run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Michael Lantz 23 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Michael Lantz kickoff for 65 yds , Keegan Jones return for 30 yds to the UCLA 30

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(09:18) HARDEN, T.J. rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the UCLA36 (MUHAMMAD, Jamil;RAMSEY, Kamari), clock 09:14. PENALTY Before the snap, UCLA Illegal Formation on DIGIORGIO, Garrett enforced 5 yards from the UCLA30 to the UCLA25. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.84

T.J. Harden run for 26 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the USC 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 5 yds to the USC 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Woody Marks run for 6 yds to the USC 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Woody Marks for 3 yds to the USC 25

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.88

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 5 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Duce Robinson for 14 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Quinten Joyner run for 2 yds to the USC 46

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.51

Jayden Maiava run for 8 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 8 yds to the UCLA 38

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Woody Marks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Woody Marks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.31

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 26 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Woody Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Michael Lantz 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.21

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 29 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 33 yds , Makai Lemon return for 16 yds to the USC 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 7 yds to the UCLA 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.19

Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 29 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

T.J. Harden run for no gain to the USC 23

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the USC 20

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Ethan Garbers run for 8 yds to the USC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 2 yds to the USC 10

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 10 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 65 yds , Makai Lemon return for 31 yds to the USC 31

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Woody Marks run for 6 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Woody Marks for 7 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Woody Marks run for 7 yds to the UCLA 49

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.38

Jayden Maiava sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 46 Jayden Maiava fumbled, recovered by USC Walker Lyons , return for 0 yards

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 7 yds to the UCLA 16

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

T.J. Harden run for 7 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Ethan Garbers sacked by Braylan Shelby for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 19

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Ethan Garbers run for 8 yds to the UCLA 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.07

Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +1.96

Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 45 yds to the USC 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, False Start (Yutaka Mahe) to the USC 10

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.66

Ethan Garbers sacked by Nate Clifton for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 16

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the USC 15

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 4 yds to the USC 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Mateen Bhaghani 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+41 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 61 yds , Makai Lemon return for 41 yds to the USC 24 UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UCLA 40

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Woody Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 41

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Quinten Joyner for 12 yds Quinten Joyner fumbled, recovered by USC Mason Murphy M. Murphy return for 0 yds for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mason Murphy) to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Quinten Joyner for 8 yds to the UCLA 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 3 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Woody Marks run for 1 yd to the UCLA 32

3rd & 9Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.85

Jayden Maiava sacked by Oluwafemi Oladejo for a loss of 13 yards to the UCLA 45

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 44 yds, downed at the UCLA 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.98

Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 25 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 2 yds to the UCLA 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 3 yds to the UCLA 31

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.62

Ethan Garbers sacked by Easton Mascarenas-Arnold for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 24

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brody Richter punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Woody Marks run for 6 yds to the UCLA 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.74

Makai Lemon pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 39 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 6 yds to the UCLA 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Keegan Jones run for no gain to the UCLA 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Ethan Garbers run for no gain to the UCLA 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Woody Marks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 30

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

USC Penalty, Illegal Block (Elijah Paige) to the UCLA 35

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Woody Marks run for 6 yds to the UCLA 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 11 yds to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the UCLA 16

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the UCLA 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jayden Maiava pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 yds

Michael Lantz 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.29

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

(01:43) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UCLA26 (team loss of 1), clock 01:39.

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.02

(01:01) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UCLA28 (team loss of 2), clock 00:54.

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

(00:22) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UCLA30 (team loss of 2), clock 00:14.

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
52%
23 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

UCLA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
60%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play