Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 10.8

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 22%

Market (Bovada)

Minnesota +11

Edge: Minnesota +11 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
0167326
MinnesotaMinnesota
7123325

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-010-1022-1622-2325-26
MinnesotaPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSPUNT39ydTD970ydPUNT621ydPUNT34ydDOWNS55ydFG725ydTD575ydTO412ydFG4-5ydPUNT823ydPUNT34ydTD121ydTD675ydEND1-1ydFG951ydPUNT737ydPUNT33ydTD557ydTO616ydFG726ydFG1167ydEND1272yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Minnesota
StatisticPenn StateMinnesota
Passing21-2815-23
Pass Yards244175
Rush Yards117107
Total Yards361282
Turnovers02
3rd Down1-115-12
Penalties2-101-15
Possession25:4934:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
21/28, 244 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Nicholas Singleton
13 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Warren
8 REC, 102 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Max Brosmer
15/23, 175 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Darius Taylor
17 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Daniel Jackson
6 REC, 90 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 5 yds to the PSU 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Warren run for no gain to the PSU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Marcus Major run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.76

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 20 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Darius Taylor run for 10 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the PSU 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 5 yds to the PSU 32

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.58

Darius Taylor run for 12 yds to the PSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Marcus Major run for 20 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 9 yds to the PSU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.28

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for no gain to the PSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Drew Allar run for 3 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 8 yds to the PSU 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Koi Perich at the MINN 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Cristian Driver run for 4 yds to the MINN 15

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 14

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Max Brosmer pass complete to Marcus Major for 1 yd to the MINN 15

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds , Liam Clifford returns for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 12 yds to the MINN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Drew Allar run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Drew Allar run for 6 yds to the MINN 33

4th & 5Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.19

Drew Allar sacked by Anthony Smith for a loss of 12 yards to the MINN 45

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Max Brosmer sacked by Tony Rojas for a loss of 4 yards to the MINN 41

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the MINN 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.48

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 23 yds to the PSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 33

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the PSU 31

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the PSU 30

4th & 8Field Goal Good+48 yds

Dragan Kesich 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 19 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the MINN 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 3 yds to the MINN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 45

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.61

Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 45 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the MINN 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+29 ydsPPA -1.95

Max Brosmer pass intercepted Dominic DeLuca return for 29 yds to the MINN 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the MINN 19

2nd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.81

Drew Allar sacked by Jack Henderson and Danny Striggow for a loss of 9 yards to the MINN 28

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 15Field Goal Good+45 yds

Ryan Barker 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 62 yds , Koi Perich return for 23 yds to the MINN 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the MINN 31

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Darius Taylor run for 10 yds to the MINN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the MINN 47

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Max Brosmer run for 2 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 5 yds to the PSU 43

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Marcus Major run for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.50

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the MINN 49

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 48 yds, downed at the PSU 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 5

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds to the PSU 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 6Blocked Punt0 yds

null punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 21 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 5 yds to the PSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 11 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 6 yds to the PSU 47

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

(00:47) ALLAR, Drew pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WALLACE III, Harrison thrown to the MINN32; QB hurried by JOYNER, Jah, clock 00:41. PENALTY MINN Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Ethan enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the MINN38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.58

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 28 yds to the MINN 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 6 yds to the MINN 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Drew Allar 4 Yd Run (Ryan Barker PAT blocked)

0th & 0Defensive 2pt Conversion0 yds

Ethan Robinson Defensive PAT Conversion

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(00:19) [NH] Kneel down by BROSMER, Max at MINN24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:05.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 23 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Offsides (Coziah Izzard) to the PSU 46

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.53

Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds to the PSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the PSU 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Daniel Jackson run for 5 yds to the PSU 22

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.99

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 24

4th & 5Field Goal Good+42 yds

Dragan Kesich 42 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 18 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the MINN 43

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the MINN 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tyler Warren punt for 16 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 4 yds to the MINN 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 12 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 8 yds to the MINN 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.00

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 10 yds to the MINN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Nicholas Singleton run for 15 yds to the MINN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Nicholas Singleton 12 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Max Brosmer run for 8 yds to the MINN 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Brosmer run for 4 yds to the MINN 39

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Offsides (Smith Vilbert) to the MINN 44

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the MINN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-9 ydsPPA -2.83

Max Brosmer run for a loss of 9 yards to the MINN 41 Max Brosmer fumbled, recovered by PSU Zakee Wheatley Z. Wheatley return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.50

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 14 yds to the MINN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the MINN 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.67

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 12 yds to the MINN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 16

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the MINN 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+32 yds

Ryan Barker 32 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 52 yds , Derik LeCaptain return for 12 yds to the MINN 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 23 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Max Brosmer run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the PSU 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the PSU 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 8 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.62

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 23 yds to the PSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Marcus Major run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Dragan Kesich 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PSU 31

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.33

Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 5 yards to the PSU 26

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Drew Allar run for 8 yds to the PSU 34

4th & 1Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.86

Luke Reynolds run for 32 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the MINN 32

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Drew Allar run for 7 yds to the MINN 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyler Warren run for no gain to the MINN 25

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.99

Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the MINN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the MINN 22

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 23

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the MINN 14

4th & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 11 yds to the MINN 3 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
27 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play