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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 10.8

Home Win Probability

Michigan 75%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan -10.5

Edge: Michigan -10.5 (0.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
06006
MichiganMichigan
107141950

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-010-010-310-624-631-638-641-650-6
MichiganNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORMICNORTO516ydTD1153ydPUNT3-3ydFG610ydPUNT616ydTO623ydFG510ydPUNT38ydFG546ydTD1165ydEND1-1ydTD575ydPUNT3-3ydTD1045ydTO1021ydTD558ydPUNT31ydFG1453ydSAF30ydTD120ydUncategorized724yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Michigan
StatisticNorthwesternMichigan
Passing12-2426-35
Pass Yards117195
Rush Yards11201
Total Yards128396
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-1411-16
Penalties2-141-15
Possession24:1935:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Jack Lausch
10/21, 106 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Cam Porter
7 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Bryce Kirtz
3 REC, 67 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Davis Warren
26/35, 195 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kalel Mullings
12 CAR, 92 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tyler Morris
7 REC, 64 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 5 yds to the NU 30

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Cam Porter run for 11 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Joseph Himon II

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Lausch pass intercepted Aamir Hall return for 1 yd to the MICH 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 4 yds to the NU 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the NU 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 9 yds to the NU 33

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Kalel Mullings

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Davis Warren pass complete to Kendrick Bell for 8 yds to the NU 23

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Donovan Edwards run for 9 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the NU 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 3 yds to the NU 16

3rd & 12Penalty+14 yds

(06:52) Shotgun Warren,Davis pass incomplete short right to Loveland,Colston thrown to NWU00 PENALTY NWU Pass Interference (Johnson,Theran) 14 yards from NWU16 to NWU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 26

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.68

Jack Lausch sacked by Kenneth Grant for a loss of 9 yards to the NU 17

3rd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the NU 22 Northwestern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cam Porter) declined

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NU 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 7 yds to the NU 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 11 yds to the NU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 1 yd to the NU 29

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.71

Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the NU 29 Donovan Edwards fumbled, recovered by MICH Josh Priebe

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.60

Davis Warren sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 9 yards to the NU 38

4th & 18Field Goal Good+56 yds

Dominic Zvada 56 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the NU 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the NU 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.06

Jack Lausch sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 30

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 7 yds to the NU 37

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 4 yds to the NU 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Benjamin Hall run for no gain to the MICH 3

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 8 yds to the MICH 11

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.01

Davis Warren pass complete to Max Bredeson for 15 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Benjamin Hall run for no gain to the MICH 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Davis Warren pass complete to Benjamin Hall for no gain to the MICH 26

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+25 ydsPPA +0.11

Davis Warren pass intercepted Xander Mueller return for 25 yds to the MICH 20

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+25 ydsPPA +0.11

Davis Warren pass intercepted Xander Mueller return for 25 yds to the MICH 20

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Caleb Komolafe run for 11 yds to the MICH 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the MICH 8

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jack Lausch sacked by Ernest Hausmann for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Luke Akers 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 2 yds to the MICH 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Davis Warren pass complete to Kalel Mullings for 12 yds to the MICH 33

4th & 2Punt+27 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NU 46 , A.J. Henning returns for 27 yds to the NU 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.63

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 39 yds to the MICH 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the MICH 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 5 yds to the MICH 8

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Bryce Kirtz

4th & 3Field Goal Good+26 yds

Luke Akers 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 8 yds to the MICH 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 6 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Davis Warren pass complete to Peyton O'Leary for 6 yds to the NU 45

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 10 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Donovan Edwards

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Colston Loveland

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 20 yds to the NU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler Morris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 8 yds to the NU 3

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.55

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 3 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 62 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 14 yds to the NU 17

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

J. Lausch takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Kalel Mullings run for 13 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +2.39

Kalel Mullings run for 47 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the NU 13

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the NU 10

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.84

Kalel Mullings run for 10 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Marshall Lang

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 7 yds to the NU 32

3rd & 3Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.87

Jack Lausch sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 10 yards to the NU 22

4th & 13Punt+19 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 42 yds , Tyler Morris returns for 19 yds to the NU 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 11 yds to the NU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Fredrick Moore run for 7 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler Morris

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the NU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Davis Warren pass complete to Kalel Mullings for 5 yds to the NU 18

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kalel Mullings run for no gain to the NU 18

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the NU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyler Morris run for 9 yds to the NU 3

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the NU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 64 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 21 yds to the NU 22

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 19

2nd & 13Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.24

Jack Lausch sacked by TJ Guy for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 15

3rd & 17Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.10

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 20 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 3 yds to the NU 32

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jack Lausch pass incomplete to A.J. Henning

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.89

Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 14 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Bryce Kirtz

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Jack Lausch run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 43

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Bryce Kirtz

4th & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.07

Jack Lausch pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Davis Warren pass complete to Max Bredeson for 4 yds to the MICH 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.00

Davis Warren pass complete to Marlin Klein for 8 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.79

Donovan Edwards run for 24 yds to the NU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Donovan Edwards run for 20 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 64 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 14 yds to the NU 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Lausch pass incomplete to A.J. Henning

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 16

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Marshall Lang

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyler Morris at the MICH 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jordan Marshall run for 8 yds to the MICH 45

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the MICH 46

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jordan Marshall run for 6 yds to the NU 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Kendrick Bell

3rd & 4Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.98

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 28 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Marshall run for no gain to the NU 15

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Davis Warren pass complete to Micah Ka'apana for 4 yds to the NU 11

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Davis Warren pass complete to Peyton O'Leary for 4 yds to the NU 7

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the NU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Jordan Marshall run for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Marlin Klein

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler Morris

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Dominic Zvada 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 65 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 14 yds to the NU 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the NU 14

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Donnie Gray

3rd & 10Safety0 ydsPPA -1.73

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete for a SAFETY Northwestern Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Ryan Hilinski) to the NU 0

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+63 yds

Luke Akers kickoff for 63 yds , Jordan Marshall return for 63 yds to the NU 20

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

T. Dunlap run for 20 yds for a TD,Michigan penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (D. Giudice) (C. Mentzer KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 70 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 27 yds to the NU 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Caleb Komolafe run for 5 yds to the NU 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Donnie Gray for 4 yds to the NU 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+3 yds

Michigan Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brandyn Hillman) to the MICH 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the MICH 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Drew Wagner for 7 yds to the MICH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the MICH 39

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
18 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
22%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
57%
28 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play