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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 31.2

Home Win Probability

Purdue 3%

Market (Bovada)

Purdue +30

Edge: Penn State -30 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
14721749
PurduePurdue
030710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-143-143-213-283-353-4210-4210-49
PurduePenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURPSPURTD975ydPUNT510ydTD1093ydPUNT36ydPUNT34ydFG1271ydTD665ydPUNT512ydPUNT418ydMISS957ydPUNT33ydTD357ydPUNT412ydTD677ydPUNT3-4ydTD559ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydTD570ydPUNT527ydPUNT30ydTD752ydEND643yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Purdue
StatisticPenn StatePurdue
Passing22-2715-31
Pass Yards305217
Rush Yards23485
Total Yards539302
Turnovers00
3rd Down9-145-14
Penalties3-264-34
Possession31:2028:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
17/19, 247 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tyler Warren
3 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Warren
8 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Purdue
passing
Hudson Card
11/20, 151 YDS
rushing
Devin Mockobee
11 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Max Klare
7 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 48

2nd & 2Penalty-6 yds

Penn State Penalty, False Start (Kaytron Allen) to the PSU 42

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the PSU 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.01

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 17 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Beau Pribula run for 7 yds to the PUR 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.69

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 27 yds to the PUR 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PUR 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 2 yds to the PUR 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the PUR 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 7 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.19

Hudson Card sacked by Dani Dennis-Sutton for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 35

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 58 yds, downed at the PSU 7

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 5

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Nicholas Singleton run for 10 yds to the PSU 15

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 9 yds to the PSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 13 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the PSU 42

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 46

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.49

Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Drew Allar run for 14 yds to the PUR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 18 yds to the PUR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 58 yds , Andrew Sowinski return for 17 yds to the PUR 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the PUR 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the PUR 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 8 yds to the PSU 37

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 33

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Andrew Sowinski at the PUR 24

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.49

Devin Mockobee run for 17 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Reggie Love III run for 4 yds to the PSU 44

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the PSU 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.71

Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.81

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 29 yds to the PSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PSU 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Ben Freehill 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 36

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PSU 42

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the PSU 44

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.63

Tyler Warren run for 8 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.17

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 38 yds to the PUR 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Nicholas Singleton run for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 15 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 37

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 27

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Kaytron Allen run for 11 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 36

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 4 yds to the PSU 45

4th & 3Punt+2 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 45 yds , Andrew Sowinski returns for 2 yds to the PUR 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.19

Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 11

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.53

Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 18 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 11 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 9 yds to the PUR 49

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

(00:20) CARD, Hudson scrambles up the middle for a gain of 13 yards to the PSU38, End of Play. PENALTY PUR Holding on MOUSSA, Mahamane enforced 10 yards from the PUR49 to the PUR39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.23

Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 30 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Ben Freehill 49 Yard Field Goal Missed

0th & 10End of Half-38 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Hudson Card pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 2 yds to the PUR 28

4th & 7Punt+13 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 42 yds , Zion Tracy returns for 13 yds to the PSU 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 7 yds to the PUR 48

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +4.52

Tyler Warren run for 48 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for no gain to the PUR 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Hudson Card pass complete to Kam Brown for 19 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MERRIWEATHER, Jaheim rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the PSU48 (WHEATLEY, Zakee). PENALTY PUR Holding on KLARE, Max enforced 10 yards from the PUR44 to the PUR34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty-10 yds

MERRIWEATHER, Jaheim rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR33 (CARTER, Abdul). PENALTY PUR Holding on STEWART, Corey enforced 10 yards from the PUR34 to the PUR24 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 30Penalty-4 yds

(09:47) CARD, Hudson pass deep to the right complete for 47 yards to EDRINE, Jahmal caught at the PSU48 and advanced to the PSU29 (WHEATLEY, Zakee). PENALTY PUR Illegal Forward Pass on CARD, Hudson enforced 4 yards from the PUR24 to the PUR20, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 34Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Hudson Card run for 6 yds to the PUR 26

3rd & 28Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.10

Hudson Card pass complete to CJ Smith for 11 yds to the PUR 37

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 8 yds to the PSU 31

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.46

Tyler Warren run for 7 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Tyseer Denmark run for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 34

2nd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.11

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 20 yds to the PUR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 46 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ryan Browne pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ryan Browne sacked by Coziah Izzard for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 21

4th & 14Punt+8 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 46 yds , Zion Tracy returns for 8 yds to the PSU 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Beau Pribula run for no gain to the PSU 41

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Beau Pribula run for 2 yds to the PSU 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.54

Beau Pribula pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 8 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Beau Pribula pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.86

Beau Pribula run for 49 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(00:32) LOVE III, Reggie rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the PUR27 (COLLINS, Audavion), clock 00:00. PENALTY Before the snap, PSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the PUR25 to the PUR30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.51

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ryan Browne pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ryan Browne pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 52 yds , Zion Tracy returns for no gain to the PSU 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Corey Smith run for 4 yds to the PSU 19

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Corey Smith run for 4 yds to the PSU 23

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.47

Beau Pribula run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 21

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 49 yds, downed at the PUR 30

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Jaheim Merriweather run for 18 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Penn State Penalty, Personal Foul (Dejuan Lane) to the PSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ryan Browne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ryan Browne run for 5 yds to the PSU 20

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.11

Ryan Browne pass complete to Max Klare for 20 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Corey Smith run for 9 yds to the PSU 34

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Corey Smith run for 13 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Beau Pribula pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 8 yds to the PUR 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.98

Beau Pribula pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 48

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Beau Pribula pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Andrew Sowinski at the PUR 15

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaheim Merriweather run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 13

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Ryan Browne pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 8 yds to the PUR 21

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.39

Ryan Browne sacked by Amin Vanover for a loss of 6 yards to the PUR 15

4th & 10Punt+16 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 53 yds , Tyseer Denmark returns for 16 yds to the PSU 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Corey Smith run for 3 yds to the PUR 49

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Corey Smith run for 5 yds to the PUR 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Corey Smith run for 3 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Beau Pribula pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.86

Corey Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 45

3rd & 14Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.30

Beau Pribula pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 21 yds to the PUR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Beau Pribula pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 24 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Elijah Jackson run for 1 yd to the PUR 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian Gelov pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Christian Gelov run for 12 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.94

Christian Gelov pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 26 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Christian Gelov pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Antonio Harris run for 4 yds to the PSU 32

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
56%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
67%
9 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th