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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 20.1

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 10%

Market (Bovada)

Northwestern +28.5

Edge: Northwestern +28.5 (8.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
02110031
NorthwesternNorthwestern
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-147-287-31
NorthwesternOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSTO1159ydPUNT1030ydTD1392ydTD1285ydPUNT32ydTD21ydPUNT38ydTD677ydEND31ydTD590ydDOWNS1354ydFG969ydPUNT30ydPUNT520ydPUNT44ydDOWNS628ydDOWNS1348ydEND325yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Northwestern
StatisticOhio StateNorthwestern
Passing15-2421-36
Pass Yards247201
Rush Yards17350
Total Yards420251
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-106-16
Penalties3-322-10
Possession28:0032:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
Will Howard
15/24, 247 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Quinshon Judkins
15 CAR, 76 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jeremiah Smith
4 REC, 100 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Jack Lausch
21/35, 201 YDS
rushing
Cam Porter
10 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Bryce Kirtz
7 REC, 92 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NU 28

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.84

Jack Lausch sacked by Sonny Styles for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 23

3rd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.97

Cam Porter run for 12 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 2 yds to the NU 37

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.28

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 20 yds to the OSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Cam Porter run for no gain to the OSU 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 15 yds to the OSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the OSU 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.83

Jack Lausch run for 2 yds to the OSU 33 Jack Lausch fumbled, recovered by OSU Davison Igbinosun D. Igbinosun return for 17 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 8 yds to the OSU 41

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.33

Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 41

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.80

Quinshon Judkins run for 8 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the NU 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 5 yds to the NU 42

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.05

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Emeka Egbuka sacked by Robert Fitzgerald for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 43

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 6 yds to the NU 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 29 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the NU 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.44

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 21 yds to the NU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the NU 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.66

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 22 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jack Lausch run for no gain to the OSU 42

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Jack Lausch run for 9 yds to the OSU 33

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.46

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the OSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the OSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Calvin Johnson II pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Cam Porter run for 11 yds to the OSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jack Lausch run for 8 yds for a TD (Luke Akers KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Luke Akers kickoff for 61 yds , TreVeyon Henderson return for 11 yds to the OSU 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 14

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 20 yds to the OSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the NU 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.85

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 14 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.34

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 12 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 14 yds to the NU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jack Lausch run for 6 yds to the NU 31

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.62

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 27 fumbled, recovered by NU Caleb Tiernan C. Tiernan return for 0 yds

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Will Howard run for no gain to the NU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 3 yds to the NU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 5 yds to the NU 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the OSU 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.17

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 34 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.21

TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the NU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the NU 25

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.00

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 25 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jack Lausch run for 2 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (Thomas Gordon) to the NU 22

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 25

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Luke Akers kickoff for 55 yds , TreVeyon Henderson return for 10 yds to the OSU 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 13

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+68 ydsPPA +4.53

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 68 yds to the NU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Will Howard pass complete to Brandon Inniss for 9 yds to the NU 8

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +1.96

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 8 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.89

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 10 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 8 yds to the NU 43

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Ohio State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Ty Hamilton) to the OSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

A.J. Henning run for 5 yds to the OSU 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the OSU 31

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

(07:18) LAUSCH, Jack pass up the middle incomplete intended for GORDON, Thomas broken up by IGBINOSUN, Davison at the OSU21, clock 07:16. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on IGBINOSUN, Davison enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the OSU21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 3 yds to the OSU 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 19

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.00

Cam Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 21

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.72

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 24

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 19 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 12 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Quinshon Judkins run for 17 yds to the NU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.22

Quinshon Judkins run for 14 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the NU 12

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jeremiah Smith run for 2 yds to the NU 10

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 yds

Jayden Fielding 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 28

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 24 fumbled, recovered by NU Jack Lausch J. Lausch return for 0 yds

3rd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 1 yd to the NU 25

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 56 yds , Caleb Downs returns for 3 yds to the OSU 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 27

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 36

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

(12:13) HOWARD, Will pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TATE, Carnell broken up by FUSSELL, Josh at the NU22, clock 12:09. PENALTY Before the snap, NU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the OSU36 to the OSU41. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.01

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 42

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 41 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the NU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jack Lausch pass complete to Caleb Komolafe for 3 yds to the NU 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.57

Jack Lausch sacked by Sonny Styles for a loss of 11 yards to the NU 21

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the OSU 41

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.62

TreVeyon Henderson run for 15 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 7 yds to the NU 37

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

James Peoples run for 1 yd to the NU 36

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.30

Will Howard pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 2 yds to the NU 38

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Jack Lausch run for 8 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.84

Jack Lausch sacked by Kenyatta Jackson Jr. and Caden Curry for a loss of 10 yards to the NU 36

3rd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 12 yds to the NU 48

4th & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.79

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 20 yds to the OSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 3 yds to the OSU 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.69

Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 23 yds to the OSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.64

Jack Lausch sacked by C.J. Hicks and Arvell Reese for a loss of 10 yards to the OSU 16

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.53

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

James Peoples run for 1 yd to the OSU 17

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

James Peoples run for 6 yds to the OSU 23

3rd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.17

James Peoples run for 18 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
43%
23 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
22%
23 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
47%
17 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play