Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 10.8

Home Win Probability

Illinois 74%

Market (Bovada)

Illinois -2

Edge: Illinois -2 (8.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
637016
IllinoisIllinois
14731438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-621-621-1624-1631-1638-16
IllinoisMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLPUNT31ydPUNT57ydTD274ydTD475ydTD1375ydPUNT623ydPUNT411ydPUNT414ydTD1264ydFG955ydPUNT37ydEND1-2ydTD1075ydFG856ydPUNT38ydPUNT30ydPUNT36ydPUNT35ydPUNT38ydTD849ydDOWNS913ydTD438ydDOWNS1228ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Illinois
StatisticMichigan StateIllinois
Passing23-4019-32
Pass Yards256231
Rush Yards89139
Total Yards345370
Turnovers00
3rd Down2-158-15
Penalties7-733-20
Possession28:3231:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Aidan Chiles
23/40, 256 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Aidan Chiles
12 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Montorie Foster
6 REC, 76 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Luke Altmyer
19/32, 231 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Joshua McCray
9 CAR, 61 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Patrick Bryant
4 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds , Kenari Wilcher return for 26 yds to the ILL 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 1 yd to the ILL 27

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Aidan Laughery run for no gain to the ILL 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Tanner Arkin

4th & 9Punt+8 yds

Fabrizio Pinton punt for 46 yds , Montorie Foster Jr. returns for 8 yds to the MSU 35

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Aidan Chiles run for 9 yds to the MSU 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the MSU 49

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.40

Aidan Chiles sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 7 yards to the MSU 42

4th & 14Punt+13 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 45 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 13 yds to the ILL 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 12 yds to the ILL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MSU Offside (Douse,D'Quan) 5 yards from ILL38 to ILL43. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +3.44

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 57 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Nate Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 6 yds to the MSU 29

3rd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.83

Aidan Chiles run for 19 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 52 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 1 yd to the ILL 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 6 yds to the ILL 32

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Luke Altmyer run for 13 yds to the ILL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Pat Bryant

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.39

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 15 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 5 yds to the MSU 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ILL False Start (Arkin,Tanner) 5 yards from MSU30 to MSU35. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Carson Goda

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(03:50) PENALTY ILL False Start (Priestly,Melvin) 5 yards from MSU35 to MSU40. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.97

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Alexander Capka-Jones for 16 yds to the MSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 6 yds to the MSU 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 3 yds to the MSU 15

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the MSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Josh McCray run for 11 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 12 yds to the MSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jaron Glover for 12 yds to the MSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the ILL 49

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the ILL 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 3 yds to the MSU 48

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 38 yds , Hank Beatty returns for no gain to the ILL 12

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 38 yds , Hank Beatty returns for no gain to the ILL 30

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Aidan Laughery run for 11 yds to the ILL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Pat Bryant

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hank Beatty

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hank Beatty

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Fabrizio Pinton punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 9

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Aidan Chiles run for 11 yds to the MSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Chiles sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 8 yds to the MSU 26

3rd & 4Penalty-13 yds

(09:37) Shotgun Chiles,Aidan pass complete short right to Johnson,Aziah caught at MSU34, for 11 yards to the MSU37 (Scott,Xavier) PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Marsh,Nick) 13 yards from MSU26 to MSU13. NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 10 yds to the MSU 23

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 45 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 4 yds to the ILL 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the ILL 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.17

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for 6 yds to the MSU 46 for a 1ST down Michigan State Penalty, Personal Foul (Ben Roberts) to the MSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ca'Lil Valentine for 2 yds to the MSU 37

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 5 yds to the MSU 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 2 yds to the MSU 30

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Tanner Arkin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 11 yds to the MSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the MSU 13

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Aidan Laughery run for 9 yds to the MSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Carson Goda

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nate Carter run for 6 yds to the MSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Aidan Chiles run for 8 yds to the MSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 7 yds to the MSU 46

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.17

Aidan Chiles run for 19 yds to the ILL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 15 yds to the ILL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 yds

Jonathan Kim 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds , Kenari Wilcher return for 20 yds to the ILL 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the ILL 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 3 yds to the ILL 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Fabrizio Pinton punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 30

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

A. Chiles takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half-2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 17 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MSU 46

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Montorie Foster Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 48

4th & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +3.05

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 10 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.76

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 29 yds to the ILL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Nate Carter run for 8 yds to the ILL 5

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Aidan Chiles run for no gain to the ILL 5

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Aziah Johnson

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.91

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Aidan Laughery run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the ILL 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.22

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 40 yds to the MSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Aidan Laughery run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 22

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Luke Altmyer run for 3 yds to the MSU 19

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Pat Bryant

4th & 8Field Goal Good+37 yds

David Olano 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the MSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MSU 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+12 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 49 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 12 yds to the ILL 30

4th & 2Punt+12 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 49 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 12 yds to the ILL 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Tanner Arkin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Josh McCray

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hank Beatty

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Fabrizio Pinton punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 5 yds to the MSU 20

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the MSU 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Montorie Foster Jr.

4th & 4Punt+19 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 53 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 19 yds to the ILL 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 2 yds to the ILL 47

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 49

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Luke Altmyer run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 14

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Aidan Chiles sacked by Seth Coleman for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 11

2nd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Brennan Parachek for no gain to the MSU 11

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 11 yds to the MSU 22

4th & 2Punt+25 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 42 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 25 yds to the MSU 39

4th & 2Punt+25 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 42 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 25 yds to the MSU 49

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Luke Altmyer run for 1 yd to the MSU 49 Luke Altmyer fumbled, recovered by ILL Luke Altmyer

3rd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.32

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 32 yds to the MSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Aidan Laughery run for 8 yds to the MSU 9

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.08

Josh McCray run for 3 yds to the MSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the MSU 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Aidan Laughery run for 3 yds to the MSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Josh McCray run for 1 yd for a TD (David Olano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 24 yds to the MSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Jack Velling

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 8 yds to the ILL 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the ILL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 12 yds to the ILL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(04:49) Chiles,Aidan pass incomplete short right thrown to ILL25 PENALTY MSU Intentional Grounding offsetting ILL Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Jack Velling

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Michigan State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Luke Newman) to the ILL 43

3rd & 25Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.63

Aidan Chiles sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MSU 48

4th & 34Sack-10 ydsPPA +0.34

Aidan Chiles sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the MSU 38

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +0.77

Josh McCray run for 30 yds to the MSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Josh McCray run for 7 yds to the MSU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Josh McCray run for no gain to the MSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Josh McCray run for 1 yd for a TD (David Olano KICK) (David Olano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Jack Velling

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 6 yds to the MSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.10

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 7 yds to the MSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 3 yds to the MSU 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Alante Brown

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 3 yds to the MSU 44

4th & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.66

Aidan Chiles run for 5 yds to the MSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nate Carter

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Jack Velling

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nate Carter

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from MSU49 to MSU44. NO PLAY.

4th & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.11

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 9 yds to the ILL 47

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

K. Michaux takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
42%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play