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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Penn State 65%

Market (Bovada)

Penn State +3

Edge: Penn State +3 (9.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
773320
Penn StatePenn State
1003013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-710-1410-1713-1713-20
Penn StateOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSOSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSOSPSOSPSOSPSOSFG1461ydTD35ydTD774ydPUNT38ydTD1081ydPUNT30ydTO845ydPUNT630ydPUNT3-5ydTO746ydEND1-2ydFG847ydFG949ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT42ydFG1264ydDOWNS974ydEND1158yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Penn State
StatisticOhio StatePenn State
Passing16-2413-21
Pass Yards182150
Rush Yards179120
Total Yards361270
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-133-11
Penalties2-155-45
Possession31:2928:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
Will Howard
16/24, 182 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Quinshon Judkins
14 CAR, 95 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Smith
4 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
12/20, 146 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Warren
3 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Nicholas Singleton
6 REC, 54 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 63 yds , Nicholas Singleton return for 25 yds to the PSU 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 29

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Tyler Warren run for 7 yds to the PSU 36

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.91

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 8 yds to the PSU 45

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 46

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.26

Drew Allar run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the OSU 45

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Drew Allar run for 11 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 3 yds to the OSU 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.61

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 19 yds to the OSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Sal Wormley) to the OSU 17

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the OSU 14

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the OSU 12

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+29 yds

Ryan Barker 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the OSU 30

3rd & 5Interception Return Touchdown+31 ydsPPA -7.26

Will Howard pass intercepted Zion Tracy return for 31 yds for a TD

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OSU 8

1st & 0Penalty0 yds

Penn State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaylen Reed) to the OSU 8

1st & 30Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 70 yds , Caleb Downs return for 16 yds to the OSU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.73

Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for no gain to the OSU 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 9 yds to the OSU 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Will Howard run for 2 yds to the OSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Quinshon Judkins run for 11 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.19

Quinshon Judkins run for 22 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the PSU 25

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.74

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 25 yds for a TD

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 64 yds , Nicholas Singleton return for 19 yds to the PSU 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Drew Allar run for 4 yds to the PSU 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Liam Clifford

4th & 2Punt+53 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 29 Ohio State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OSU 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 8 yds to the OSU 27

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Will Howard pass incomplete to Quinshon Judkins

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.42

Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 7 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 5 yds to the PSU 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.94

Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 20 yds to the PSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the PSU 21

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.96

Will Howard pass complete to Brandon Inniss for 21 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Beau Pribula run for no gain to the PSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace III

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Tyler Warren

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 33 yds, downed at the OSU 42

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Emeka Egbuka run for 5 yds to the OSU 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Will Howard pass incomplete to Quinshon Judkins

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the PSU 49

4th & 1Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.98

Will Howard pass complete to Jelani Thurman for 19 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the PSU 23

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 24

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.64

TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the PSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Will Howard run for 12 yds Will Howard fumbled, recovered by PSU

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Tyler Warren run for 7 yds to the PSU 27

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Kaytron Allen run for 7 yds to the PSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 7 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST down Ohio State Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the PSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Beau Pribula pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 23

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 23

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Howard sacked by Abdul Carter for a loss of 8 yards to the OSU 15

4th & 15Punt+7 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 41 yds , Zion Tracy returns for 7 yds to the OSU 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the OSU 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 4 yds to the OSU 43

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Drew Allar run for 3 yds to the OSU 40

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.86

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Drew Allar run for 14 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 21 yds to the OSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -5.54

Drew Allar pass intercepted, touchback. Davison Igbinosun return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 18

0th & 10End of Half-2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Will Howard run for 11 yds to the OSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the PSU 45

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.95

TreVeyon Henderson run for 16 yds to the PSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the PSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 2 yds to the PSU 25

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.40

Will Howard sacked by Kobe King for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 28

4th & 9Field Goal Good+46 yds

Jayden Fielding 46 yd FG GOOD

4th & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 63 yds , Nicholas Singleton return for 22 yds to the PSU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 11 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the PSU 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.02

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 24 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the OSU 37

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the OSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the OSU 29

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Drew Allar run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 3 yds to the OSU 27

4th & 6Field Goal Good+44 yds

Ryan Barker 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Will Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 4 yds to the OSU 27

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.31

Will Howard sacked by Abdul Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the OSU 23

4th & 12Punt+14 yds

Joe McGuire punt for 53 yds , Zion Tracy returns for 14 yds to the PSU 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 13 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds to the OSU 47

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.48

Drew Allar sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 9 yards to the PSU 44

3rd & 17Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.42

Drew Allar sacked by JT Tuimoloau and Kenyatta Jackson Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 40

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 45 yds, downed at the OSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.19

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 18 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 35

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Quinshon Judkins run for 14 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.91

Will Howard pass complete to Brandon Inniss for 12 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Emeka Egbuka run for 1 yd to the PSU 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Will Howard pass incomplete to Quinshon Judkins

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 14 yds to the PSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the PSU 23

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Will Howard run for 2 yds to the PSU 21

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+39 yds

Jayden Fielding 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.00

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 31 yds to the OSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Drew Allar run for 4 yds to the OSU 36

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the OSU 36

3rd & 6Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.71

Tyler Warren run for 33 yds to the OSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the OSU 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the OSU 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the OSU 1

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Khalil Dinkins

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Will Howard run for 4 yds to the OSU 5

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Quinshon Judkins run for 9 yds to the OSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Quinshon Judkins run for 6 yds to the OSU 20

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Quinshon Judkins run for 15 yds to the OSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the OSU 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Will Howard run for 3 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the PSU 47

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the PSU 47

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.58

Will Howard run for 7 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 41

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
29 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
40%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays