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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
OregonOregon
38
-Final
17
MichiganMichigan
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 9.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan 26%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan +14.5

Edge: Michigan +14.5 (5.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OregonOregon
7213738
MichiganMichigan
737017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-147-2110-2117-2817-3117-38
MichiganOregon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICOREMICMICOREMICOREMICOREMICOREMICOREMICOREMICOREMICOREMICPUNT33ydTD1263ydPUNT3-2ydTD528ydTD675ydPUNT514ydPUNT32ydPUNT35ydTD1094ydFG755ydTD780ydEND13ydPUNT36ydTD1075ydFG1567ydPUNT32ydPUNT58ydDOWNS1170ydTD1190ydEND37yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon and Michigan
StatisticOregonMichigan
Passing22-3413-25
Pass Yards294165
Rush Yards176105
Total Yards470270
Turnovers10
3rd Down10-154-12
Penalties2-105-35
Possession32:2827:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon
passing
Dillon Gabriel
22/34, 294 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordan James
23 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Traeshon Holden
6 REC, 149 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Davis Warren
12/21, 164 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Donovan Edwards
10 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Colston Loveland
7 REC, 112 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Atticus Sappington kickoff for 62 yds , Joe Taylor return for 29 yds to the MICH 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the MICH 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Davis Warren pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+21 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 37 , Tez Johnson returns for 21 yds to the ORE 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 6 yds to the ORE 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.10

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 11 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 9 yds to the MICH 37

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan James run for 4 yds to the MICH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 2 yds to the MICH 31

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan James run for 3 yds to the MICH 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 9 yds to the MICH 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan James run for 3 yds to the MICH 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 8 yds to the MICH 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the MICH 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the MICH 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Colston Loveland run for 2 yds to the MICH 23

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Davis Warren run for 6 yds to the MICH 29

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +1.60

Davis Warren run for 6 yds to the MICH 23 Davis Warren fumbled, recovered by MICH Davis Warren

4th & 12Punt+49 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 49 yds , Ryan Pellum returns for no gain to the ORE 28 Ryan Pellum fumbled, recovered by MICH C.J. Charleston

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Semaj Morgan run for no gain to the ORE 28

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.76

Donovan Edwards run for 18 yds to the ORE 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(03:18) Shotgun Orji,Alex rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ORD06 (Savage,Kobe; Uiagalelei,Matayo) PENALTY UOM Illegal Shift (Klein,Marlin) 5 yards from ORD10 to ORD15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the ORE 11

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Alex Orji run for 4 yds to the ORE 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 7 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.69

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 24 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass incomplete short left to Stewart,Evan thrown to UOM43 PENALTY UOM Roughing The Passer (Stewart,Josaiah) 15 yards from UOM48 to UOM33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Jordan James run for 12 yds to the MICH 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 20 yds to the MICH 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Noah Whittington run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kalel Mullings run for 7 yds to the MICH 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alex Orji run for 5 yds to the MICH 41

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Davis Warren pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Evan Stewart at the ORE 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Davis Warren pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Davis Warren pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 8 yds to the ORE 42

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 5 yds to the ORE 11

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 5 yds to the ORE 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 5 yds to the ORE 21

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan James run for 11 yds to the ORE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 15 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Jordan James run for 8 yds to the MICH 45

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Jordan James run for 1 yd to the MICH 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.09

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 38 yds to the MICH 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Noah Whittington run for 6 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 18 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.67

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 36 yds to the ORE 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Alex Orji pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the ORE 20

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Davis Warren pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+38 yds

Dominic Zvada 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 65 yds , Noah Whittington return for 20 yds to the ORE 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.81

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 44 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass complete deep middle to Stewart,Evan caught at UOM00, for 0 yards to the UOM34 PENALTY ORD Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Harper II,Marcus) 5 yards from UOM34 to UOM39. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 14 yds to the MICH 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the MICH 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Dillon Gabriel run for 23 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Andrew Boyle kickoff for 65 yds , Keshaun Harris return for 15 yds to the MICH 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 18

0th & 10End of Half+3 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 2 yds to the ORE 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Morris at the MICH 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.39

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 34 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the ORE 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 1 yd to the ORE 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.24

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 12 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the ORE 26

2nd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.43

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 20 yds to the ORE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the ORE 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Alex Orji run for 2 yds to the ORE 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Davis Warren pass complete to Peyton O'Leary for 6 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORE 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jordan James run for no gain to the ORE 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 6 yds to the ORE 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

(04:39) PENALTY UOM Offside (Pierce,Trey) 5 yards from ORD42 to ORD47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the MICH 47

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the MICH 46

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.43

Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 4 yds to the MICH 37

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass incomplete deep left to Stewart,Evan thrown to UOM00 PENALTY UOM Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UOM37 to UOM32. NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush+22 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan James run for 22 yds to the MICH 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the MICH 13

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jordan James run for 5 yds to the MICH 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Atticus Sappington 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Davis Warren pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Davis Warren pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Evan Stewart at the ORE 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.36

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 8 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 42

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ORD False Start (Strother,Nishad) 5 yards from ORD42 to ORD37. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 63 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UOM False Start (Klein,Marlin) 5 yards from UOM20 to UOM15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Orji run for 3 yds to the MICH 18

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Davis Warren pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.22

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 19 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the MICH 43

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Donovan Edwards run for 16 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Davis Warren pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.56

Alex Orji run for 26 yds to the ORE 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Davis Warren pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Orji run for 3 yds to the ORE 12

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the ORE 10

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.79

Semaj Morgan pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the ORE 16

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the ORE 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 10 yds to the ORE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the ORE 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.83

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 47 yds to the MICH 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan James run for 1 yd to the MICH 22

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.69

Jordan James run for 13 yds to the MICH 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the MICH 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jordan James run for 5 yds to the MICH 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jordan James run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Andrew Boyle kickoff for 65 yds , Keshaun Harris return for 20 yds to the MICH 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 1 yd to the MICH 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Davis Warren pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MICH 27

Situational Analysis

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
41%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
80%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
18 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play