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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Indiana by 10.5

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 23%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan State +7.5

Edge: Indiana -7.5 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IndianaIndiana
021121447
Michigan StateMichigan State
1000010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-010-710-1410-2110-3010-3310-47
Michigan StateIndiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20INDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDMSINDPUNT37ydFG852ydPUNT33ydTD1371ydTD775ydTO326ydPUNT31ydPUNT520ydTD464ydTO31ydTD637ydPUNT35ydPUNT39ydEND313ydSAF4-14ydTD665ydDOWNS830ydFG944ydDOWNS6-4ydTD221ydPUNT3-19ydTD537ydPUNT623ydEND1117yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana and Michigan State
StatisticIndianaMichigan State
Passing19-2920-32
Pass Yards263229
Rush Yards129-36
Total Yards392193
Turnovers02
3rd Down2-105-15
Penalties4-354-25
Possession29:3430:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana
passing
Kurtis Rourke
19/29, 263 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Justice Ellison
9 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Ke'Shawn Williams
6 REC, 86 YDS
defense
Aiden Fisher
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Michigan State
passing
Aidan Chiles
16/24, 193 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Alante Brown
2 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
Nick Marsh
5 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 9 yds to the IU 34

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Justice Ellison run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MSU 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.60

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 33 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 11 yds to the IU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Carter run for 2 yds to the IU 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 6 yds to the IU 26

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.36

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 29

4th & 5Field Goal Good+47 yds

Jonathan Kim 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the IU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

James Evans punt for 47 yds , Montorie Foster Jr. returns for 4 yds to the MSU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 13 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 9 yds to the IU 49

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.20

Aidan Chiles run for 5 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Nate Carter run for no gain to the IU 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.68

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 16 yds to the IU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Alante Brown run for 9 yds to the IU 19

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

(05:03) CHILES, Aidan pass to the right complete for 8 yards to MARSH, Nick caught at the IU11 and advanced to the IU11, out of bounds, clock 05:00. PENALTY MSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on NEWMAN, Luke enforced 5 yards from the IU19 to the IU24 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Aidan Chiles run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 26

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Aidan Chiles run for 9 yds to the IU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Makhi Frazier run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 18

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.43

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 18 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 14 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the IU 48

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Justice Ellison run for 8 yds to the MSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the MSU 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the MSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.32

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 16 yds to the MSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Zach Horton for 17 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 12 yds to the MSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Indiana Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Shawn Asbury II) to the IU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+15 ydsPPA -3.24

Aidan Chiles pass intercepted Amare Ferrell return for 15 yds to the IU 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the IU 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 47 yds, downed at the MSU 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 9 yds to the MSU 16

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Carter run for 2 yds to the MSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 15

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 11 yds to the MSU 26

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the MSU 27

4th & 1Punt+17 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 54 yds , Myles Price returns for 17 yds to the IU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.43

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 38 yds to the MSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Myles Price run for 25 yds to the MSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kurtis Rourke run for no gain to the MSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the MSU 33

2nd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Aidan Chiles sacked by Mikail Kamara and CJ West for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 31

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.06

Aidan Chiles pass intercepted Amare Ferrell return for no gain to the MSU 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Justice Ellison for 2 yds to the MSU 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Justice Ellison for 9 yds to the MSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the MSU 17

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.38

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 13 yds to the MSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the MSU 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 4 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan Chiles run for 4 yds to the MSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 5 yds to the MSU 34

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.01

Aidan Chiles run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 56 yds, downed at the IU 14

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 11

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Justice Ellison for 11 yds to the IU 22

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the IU 23

4th & 1Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 45 yds, downed at the MSU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 11 yds to the MSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Aidan Chiles sacked by CJ West and Lanell Carr Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the MSU 36

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 9 yds to the MSU 45

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.26

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for no gain to the MSU 20

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.18

Aidan Chiles sacked by James Carpenter for a loss of 8 yards to the MSU 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the IU 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Indiana Penalty, False Start (Trey Wedig) to the IU 31

3rd & 14Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.44

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 21 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.15

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 35 yds to the MSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Indiana Penalty, False Start (Carter Smith) to the MSU 18

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.20

Myles Price 18 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Nicolas Radicic Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Nate Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 23

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan Chiles run for 3 yds to the MSU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 7 yds to the MSU 33

4th & 2Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.49

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 23 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the IU 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 5 yds to the IU 38

4th & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.83

Tommy Schuster sacked by Mikail Kamara for a loss of 7 yards to the IU 45

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(07:39) ROURKE, Kurtis scrambles up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the IU49, End of Play, clock 07:32. PENALTY IU Holding on KATIC, Mike enforced 10 yards from the IU45 to the IU35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.26

Ty Son Lawton run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.87

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 18 yds to the MSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 7 yds to the MSU 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA -0.01

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 12 yds to the MSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the MSU 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 2 yds to the MSU 11

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Nicolas Radicic 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Alante Brown run for 7 yds to the MSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Velling for 11 yds to the MSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the MSU 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.04

Tommy Schuster sacked by Mikail Kamara for a loss of 14 yards to the MSU 30

4th & 23Rush-9 ydsPPA +0.36

Ryan Eckley run for a loss of 9 yards to the MSU 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the MSU 16

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.56

Omar Cooper Jr. 16 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (Brandon Baldwin) to the MSU 20

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-18 ydsPPA -0.58

Tommy Schuster sacked for a loss of 18 yards to the MSU 2 Tommy Schuster fumbled, recovered by MSU Stanton Ramil , return for 0 yards

2nd & 33Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MSU 6

3rd & 29Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

4th & 29Punt+27 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 58 yds , Myles Price returns for 27 yds to the MSU 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kaelon Black run for 6 yds to the MSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the MSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(11:01) ROURKE, Kurtis pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Ke'Shawn thrown to the MSU2, clock 10:57. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on MARTINEZ, Nikai enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the MSU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Elijah Sarratt 11 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Nicolas Radicic Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Brennan Parachek for 17 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 3 yds to the MSU 45

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.38

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds to the IU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Tommy Schuster sacked by Isaiah Jones and Tyrique Tucker for a loss of 5 yards to the MSU 48

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

4th & 15Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Elijah Green run for 5 yds to the IU 23

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the IU 27

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Elijah Green run for no gain to the IU 27

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.39

Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the IU 32

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Elijah Green run for 5 yds to the IU 37

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the IU 40

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.98

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

(01:59) Kneel down by TEAM at IU40 (team loss of 2), clock 01:51.

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.91

(01:08) Kneel down by TEAM at IU37 (team loss of 3), clock 01:05.

3rd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.27

(00:36) Kneel down by TEAM at IU35 (team loss of 2), clock 00:27.

Situational Analysis

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
63%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play