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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Illinois 57%

Market (Bovada)

Illinois +3

Edge: Illinois +3 (8.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
3103925
IllinoisIllinois
0100717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-33-1010-1310-1617-2217-25
IllinoisMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINPUNT420ydPUNT514ydTO12ydFG1142ydPUNT519ydPUNT58ydFG1165ydTD865ydTD775ydFG848ydMISS538ydPUNT35ydPUNT511ydFG1244ydPUNT724ydDOWNS937ydTD554ydTD775ydDOWNS46ydFG43ydTO1048ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Illinois
StatisticMinnesotaIllinois
Passing22-3720-33
Pass Yards213226
Rush Yards150126
Total Yards363352
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-157-13
Penalties7-452-13
Possession34:5925:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Max Brosmer
22/37, 213 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Darius Taylor
22 CAR, 131 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Daniel Jackson
5 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Justin Walley
1 TFL, 1 PD
Illinois
passing
Luke Altmyer
20/33, 226 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Joshua McCray
7 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Patrick Bryant
5 REC, 72 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 19 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the ILL 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Darius Taylor run for 9 yds to the MINN 11

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.30

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 4 yds to the MINN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.30

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 4 yards to the MINN 16

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ILL 42 , Miles Scott returns for 5 yds to the ILL 42

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.44

Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the ILL 44 Luke Altmyer fumbled, recovered by MINN Maverick Baranowski

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 14 yds to the ILL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the ILL 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MINN False Start (Daniels,Phillip) 5 yards from ILL27 to ILL32. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 13 yds to the ILL 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the ILL 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds to the ILL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the ILL 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Darius Taylor run for no gain to the ILL 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Dragan Kesich 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Josh McCray run for loss of 1 yd to the ILL 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 14 yds to the ILL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Josh McCray run for loss of 3 yds to the ILL 35

3rd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Carson Goda for 9 yds to the ILL 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.79

Darius Taylor run for 12 yds to the MINN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Marcus Major run for no gain to the MINN 38

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Max Brosmer sacked by Ezekiel Holmes for a loss of 4 yards to the MINN 34

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+8 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ILL 28 , Hank Beatty returns for 8 yds to the ILL 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 4 yds to the ILL 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds to the ILL 37

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.33

Jordan Anderson run for 5 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.66

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 25 yds to the MINN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 3 yds to the MINN 30

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Pat Bryant run for 6 yds to the MINN 24

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Josh McCray run for 12 yds to the MINN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Luke Altmyer sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 13

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 4 yds to the MINN 9

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the MINN 7

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

David Olano 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.18

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 7 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 13 yds to the ILL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the ILL 32

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the ILL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MINN False Start (Kallerup,Nick) 5 yards from ILL24 to ILL29. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.16

Darius Taylor run for 29 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Aidan Laughery for 10 yds to the ILL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 5 yds to the ILL 40

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.03

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 9 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Luke Altmyer sacked by Anthony Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the ILL 43

2nd & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 15 yds to the MINN 42

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +4.29

Josh McCray run for 42 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 4 yds to the MINN 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.73

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 14 yds to the MINN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Marcus Major run for 10 yds to the ILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 15 yds to the ILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the ILL 27

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Max Brosmer run for no gain to the ILL 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+45 yds

Dragan Kesich 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Josh McCray run for 14 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 4 yds to the ILL 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 12 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 8 yds to the MINN 37

2nd & 2Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Ethan Moczulski 55 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half-63 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 57 yds , Koi Perich return for 18 yds to the MINN 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 3 yds to the MINN 29

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+5 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 51 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 5 yds to the ILL 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Aidan Laughery run for 10 yds to the ILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 35

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Luke Altmyer sacked by Jack Henderson for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 34

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.83

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 15 yds to the ILL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the ILL 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.13

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 8 yds to the ILL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.09

Max Brosmer sacked by Kenenna Odeluga for a loss of 7 yards to the ILL 42

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.46

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 12 yds to the ILL 30

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Darius Taylor run for 7 yds to the ILL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the ILL 20

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+38 yds

Dragan Kesich 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 2 yds to the ILL 27

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MINN Offside (Eastern,Deven) 5 yards from ILL27 to ILL32. NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Josh McCray run for 10 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the ILL 44

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass complete short right to Dixon,Collin caught at MINN45, for 11 yards to the MINN45, out of bounds at MINN45 PENALTY ILL Holding (Gesky,Josh) 10 yards from ILL44 to ILL34. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Penalty+15 yds

(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke sacked for loss of 6 yards to the ILL28 (Joyner,Jah) PENALTY MINN Face Mask (Joyner,Jah) 15 yards from ILL34 to ILL49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Darius Taylor run for 7 yds to the MINN 24

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 1 yd to the MINN 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.65

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 15 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the MINN 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

(11:57) Shotgun Brosmer,Max rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ILL45 (Scott,Miles) PENALTY MINN Illegal Formation 5 yards from MINN49 to MINN44. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

4th & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)+10 ydsPPA +0.01

Mark Crawford run for 10 yds to the ILL 46 Mark Crawford fumbled, recovered by MINN Mark Crawford

4th & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)+10 ydsPPA +0.01

Mark Crawford run for 10 yds to the ILL 46 Mark Crawford fumbled, recovered by MINN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ca'Lil Valentine run for 1 yd to the ILL 45

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.29

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 16 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.51

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Carson Goda for 18 yds to the MINN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 21 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.69

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 37 yds to the ILL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.43

Darius Taylor run for 15 yds to the ILL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(07:38) PENALTY MINN Delay Of Game 5 yards from ILL23 to ILL28. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the ILL 18

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 13 yds to the ILL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

PENALTY ILL Targeting (Scott,Miles) 3 yards from ILL05 to ILL02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the ILL 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the ILL 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Aidan Laughery for 4 yds to the ILL 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the ILL 31

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.05

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the ILL 25

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the ILL 23

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Darius Taylor run for no gain to the ILL 23

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MINN False Start (Ersery,Aireontae) 5 yards from ILL23 to ILL28. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Field Goal Good+46 yds

Dragan Kesich 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Luke Altmyer run for 6 yds to the ILL 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 9 yds to the ILL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kenari Wilcher for 7 yds to the ILL 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 11 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Luke Altmyer run for 11 yds to the MINN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kenari Wilcher for 5 yds to the MINN 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Luke Altmyer run for 10 yds to the MINN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.56

Luke Altmyer sacked by Jah Joyner for a loss of 11 yards to the MINN 27 Luke Altmyer fumbled, recovered by MINN Danny Striggow , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

M. Brosmer takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
27%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
29 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play