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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 3.8

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 34%

Market (Bovada)

Wisconsin +6

Edge: Wisconsin +6 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
0771428
WisconsinWisconsin
373013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-713-1513-2113-28
WisconsinPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISPSWISPSWISPSWISPSWISPSWISPSWISPSWISWISPSWISPSWISPSFG1242ydDOWNS954ydPUNT610ydTD990ydPUNT734ydPUNT421ydPUNT30ydPUNT69ydTD1073ydPUNT415ydEND13ydPUNT731ydPUNT34ydPUNT38ydTD3-4ydFG851ydTD1381ydPUNT33ydTD976ydDOWNS1568ydEND222yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Wisconsin
StatisticPenn StateWisconsin
Passing25-3122-42
Pass Yards246217
Rush Yards17381
Total Yards419298
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-147-18
Penalties6-415-33
Possession34:3125:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
14/18, 148 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kaytron Allen
11 CAR, 86 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Braedyn Locke
22/42, 217 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tawee Walker
22 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Will Pauling
8 REC, 79 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.54

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 20 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tawee Walker run for no gain to the WIS 40

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the WIS 41

4th & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.57

Atticus Bertrams run for 15 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST down

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Tawee Walker run for 10 yds to the PSU 34 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tawee Walker for 1 yd to the PSU 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+50 yds

Nathanial Vakos 50 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 62 yds , Nicholas Singleton return for 15 yds to the PSU 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds to the PSU 20

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.11

Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 16 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 13 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the WIS 42

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

ALLAR, Drew sacked for a loss of 3 yards at the WIS45 (PETERSON, Darryl), clock 07:56. PENALTY Before the snap, WIS Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the WIS42 to the WIS37 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 5 yds to the WIS 32

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 28

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.13

Drew Allar run for no gain to the WIS 28 Drew Allar fumbled, recovered by WIS Nyzier Fourqurean N. Fourqurean return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 32

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 36

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Darrion Dupree run for 1 yd to the WIS 40

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

(04:04) LOCKE, Braedyn pass up the middle complete for 23 yards to KEKAHUNA, Trech caught at the WIS47 and advanced to the PSU37 (WINSTON, Kevin), clock 03:57. PENALTY WIS Holding on NELSON, Jack enforced 10 yards from the WIS40 to the WIS30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.12

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 8 yds to the WIS 38

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 52 yds , Zion Tracy returns for no gain to the PSU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 9 yds to the PSU 19

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 9 yds to the PSU 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds to the PSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 17 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.65

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 27 yds to the WIS 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 6 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 8

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 57 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 15 yds to the WIS 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Darrion Dupree for 14 yds to the WIS 27 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 8 yds to the WIS 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 5 yds to the WIS 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds, downed at the PSU 8

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.58

Kaytron Allen run for 14 yds to the PSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 4 yds to the PSU 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 2 yds to the PSU 29

4th & 3Punt+15 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 49 yds , Hunter Wohler returns for 15 yds to the WIS 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tawee Walker run for no gain to the WIS 37

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 63 yds for a touchback

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Drew Allar run for 8 yds to the PSU 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(05:38) SINGLETON, Nicholas rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the PSU39 (THOMAS, Jaheim), clock 05:47. PENALTY PSU Holding on DINKINS, Khalil enforced 10 yards from the PSU31 to the PSU21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 5 yds to the PSU 26

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Drew Allar run for 3 yds to the PSU 29

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wohler at the WIS 27

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Drew Allar pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 8 yds to the WIS 35

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the WIS 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 13 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Will Pauling run for 4 yds to the PSU 43

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Tawee Walker run for 12 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the PSU 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.38

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 28 yds to the PSU 3 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 2Penalty+1 yds

(01:13) LOCKE, Braedyn pass short to the left incomplete intended for MCDONALD, Cade thrown to the PSU0, clock 01:26. PENALTY Before the snap, PSU Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the PSU2 to the PSU1. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 18 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Drew Allar sacked by Jake Chaney for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 40

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+11 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 51 yds , Hunter Wohler returns for 11 yds to the WIS 20

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Drew Allar pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Nicholas Singleton run for 18 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Beau Pribula run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.45

Beau Pribula pass complete to Tyler Warren for 3 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Beau Pribula pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the WIS 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Beau Pribula pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 4 yds to the WIS 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Beau Pribula pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wohler at the WIS 11

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, False Start (Olaivavega Ioane) to the WIS 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tawee Walker run for no gain to the WIS 11

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 15

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 49 yds , Zion Tracy returns for 2 yds to the PSU 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 42

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.37

Beau Pribula run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 40 Beau Pribula fumbled, recovered by PSU Beau Pribula B. Pribula return for 0 yds

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Dominic DeLuca) to the PSU 35

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Beau Pribula pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 11 yds to the PSU 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wohler at the WIS 12

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tawee Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 11

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tawee Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 8

3rd & 14Interception Return Touchdown+19 ydsPPA -6.65

Jaylen Reed 19 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Barker Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 51 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 20 yds to the WIS 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the WIS 39

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Darrion Dupree run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.50

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 11 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.33

Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 33 yds to the PSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tawee Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 19

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the PSU 17

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 2 yds to the PSU 15

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 yds

N. Vakos 32 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 64 yds , Nicholas Singleton return for 18 yds to the PSU 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Beau Pribula pass complete to Liam Clifford for 12 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the PSU 40

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.41

Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the PSU 40

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.28

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Beau Pribula run for 8 yds to the WIS 48

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Beau Pribula run for 9 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.49

Beau Pribula pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 17 yds to the WIS 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 23

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Beau Pribula pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds to the WIS 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Beau Pribula pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 10 yds to the WIS 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty+3 yds

(12:00) QB Keeper PRIBULA, Beau rush up the middle for no gain to the WIS6 (MCDONALD, Cade), clock 11:50. PENALTY Before the snap, WIS Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the WIS6 to the WIS3. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Warren run for 1 yd to the WIS 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Warren run for 1 yd to the WIS 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Beau Pribula pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 4 yds to the WIS 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Tawee Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 48 yds, downed at the PSU 24

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Kaytron Allen run for 9 yds to the PSU 33

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.37

Beau Pribula pass complete to Liam Clifford for 5 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PSU 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.77

Beau Pribula pass complete to Liam Clifford for 23 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the WIS 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Beau Pribula pass complete to Tyler Warren for 5 yds to the WIS 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Beau Pribula run for 2 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Kaytron Allen run for 24 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.98

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tawee Walker for 2 yds to the PSU 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 3 yds to the PSU 33

4th & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.42

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 12 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 6 yds to the PSU 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 1 yd to the PSU 15

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Tawee Walker run for 11 yds to the PSU 16 for a 1ST down

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -3.27

Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 8 yds to the PSU 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 10

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.22

Kaytron Allen run for 19 yds to the PSU 29 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
64%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
27%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
23%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
22%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays