Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa by 10.9

Home Win Probability

Iowa 75%

Market (Bovada)

Iowa -16.5

Edge: Northwestern +16.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
070714
IowaIowa
3928040

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-05-719-733-740-740-14
IowaNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORIOWNORIOWNORIOWIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWIOWNORIOWNORIOWMISS743ydFG1062ydPUNT33ydPUNT1027ydTO518ydTO36ydPUNT38ydSAF1-6ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydTD552ydEND110ydTD778ydTD32ydPUNT30ydTD864ydTO719ydTD125ydPUNT52ydPUNT30ydTO553ydTD35ydPUNT31ydPUNT36ydPUNT39ydPUNT34ydEND28yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Iowa
StatisticNorthwesternIowa
Passing15-2716-27
Pass Yards120152
Rush Yards43203
Total Yards163355
Turnovers31
3rd Down2-126-17
Penalties5-453-45
Possession25:3634:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Jack Lausch
10/19, 62 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Cam Porter
13 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
A.J. Henning
2 REC, 22 YDS
defense
Iowa
passing
Brendan Sullivan
9/14, 79 YDS
rushing
Kaleb Johnson
14 CAR, 109 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Seth Anderson
2 REC, 44 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Jack Lausch pass complete to Frank Covey IV for 12 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 21 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.36

A.J. Henning run for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 47

2nd & 17Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.98

Jack Lausch run for 14 yds to the IOWA 33

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the IOWA 32

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Luke Akers 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 3 yds to the IOWA 35

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 32

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the IOWA 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.76

Cade McNamara pass complete to Seth Anderson for 42 yds to the NU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the NU 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Cade McNamara pass complete to Jacob Gill for 6 yds to the NU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the NU 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cade McNamara pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 4 yds to the NU 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Drew Stevens 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 1 yd to the NU 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the NU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+12 yds

Luke Akers punt for 51 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 12 yds to the IOWA 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 4 yds to the IOWA 37

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Seth Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.44

Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 10 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the NU 49

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

(01:59) MCNAMARA, Cade pass short to the left complete for 9 yards to JOHNSON, Kaleb caught at the NU45 and advanced to the NU40 (TURNER, Devin), clock 01:53. PENALTY UI Holding on GILL, Jacob declined UI Tripping on DUNKER, Gennings enforced 15 yards from the NU49 to the UI36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

3rd & 20Penalty+15 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Roughing the Passer on SAKA, Anto enforced (15 Yards) to the NU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the NU 46

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kamari Moulton run for 8 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 40

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 7 yds to the NU 15

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.38

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 6 yds to the NU 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the NU 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 4 yds to the NU 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the NU 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Seth Anderson for 2 yds to the NU 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Safety0 ydsPPA -2.10

Max Llewellyn Safety

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 4 yds to the IOWA 40

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the IOWA 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.41

Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 2

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the NU 6

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Joseph Himon II run for 7 yds to the NU 13

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Luke Akers punt for 48 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 6 yds to the IOWA 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Brendan Sullivan run for 7 yds to the NU 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 43 yds, downed at the NU 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 7

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 8

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 12

4th & 3Punt+8 yds

Luke Akers punt for 48 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 8 yds to the IOWA 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Dayton Howard for 8 yds to the NU 44

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.15

Brendan Sullivan run for 9 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 6 yds to the NU 29

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the NU 26

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.96

Kaleb Johnson 26 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Cam Porter run for 10 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 5 yds to the IOWA 29

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.27

Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kamari Moulton run for 6 yds to the IOWA 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.40

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jarriett Buie for 14 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.49

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Johnny Pascuzzi for 40 yds to the NU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Brendan Sullivan 6 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 40

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 39

4th & 8Punt Return Touchdown+85 ydsPPA -6.99

Kaden Wetjen 85 Yd Punt Return (Drew Stevens Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the IOWA 42

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Jaziun Patterson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the NU 49

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the NU 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jacob Gill for 4 yds to the NU 44

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.10

Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Kaleb Johnson 41 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the NU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jack Lausch pass complete to Frank Covey IV for 4 yds to the NU 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Illegal Snap on CARSELLO, Jackson enforced (Jackson Carsello) to the NU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.60

Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 6 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 10 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 44

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return+10 ydsPPA -0.51

Jack Lausch pass intercepted Jay Higgins return for 10 yds to the NU 25

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Kaleb Johnson 25 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.68

Jack Lausch sacked by Kenneth Merrieweather and Nick Jackson for a loss of 12 yards to the NU 27

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 24

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jacob Gill for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 20

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 23

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 24

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 51 yds, downed at the NU 25

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 23

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

(10:39) HILINSKI, Ryan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ELIGON II, Hayden thrown to the NU45, clock 10:36. PENALTY UI Pass Interference on WATSON, Jaylen enforced 15 yards to the NU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (Caleb Tiernan) to the NU 45

1st & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.09

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 21 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Donnie Gray for 16 yds to the IOWA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -4.41

Ryan Hilinski run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 22 Ryan Hilinski fumbled, recovered by IOWA Will Hubert W. Hubert return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Terrell Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the IOWA 23

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Terrell Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the IOWA 24

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 27

4th & 5Punt Return Touchdown+72 ydsPPA -6.84

Drew Wagner 72 Yd Punt Return (Luke Akers Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Drew Wagner at the NU 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Marshall Lang for 5 yds to the NU 36

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Jake Arthurs run for 1 yd to the NU 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Max White run for 3 yds to the IOWA 20

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Terrell Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the IOWA 23

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Max White run for 3 yds to the IOWA 26

4th & 1Punt+52 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 52 yds , Drew Wagner returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Jake Arthurs for 4 yds to the NU 25

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Max White run for 3 yds to the IOWA 34

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Max White run for 5 yds to the IOWA 39

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play