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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 0.7

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 46%

Market (Bovada)

Northwestern +9.5

Edge: Northwestern +9.5 (8.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
0147223
NorthwesternNorthwestern
00303

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-143-213-23
NorthwesternWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISPUNT432ydPUNT521ydPUNT614ydTO514ydPUNT32ydPUNT31ydMISS48ydTD866ydMISS1165ydMISS856ydPUNT37ydPUNT633ydTO32ydTD13ydEND1-1ydPUNT35ydFG1359ydTO319ydPUNT33ydTD880ydSAF1-18ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydDOWNS832ydPUNT3-1ydEND732yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Northwestern
StatisticWisconsinNorthwestern
Passing14-249-24
Pass Yards16082
Rush Yards199127
Total Yards359209
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-122-14
Penalties2-156-45
Possession32:5127:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Braedyn Locke
14/24, 160 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tawee Walker
23 CAR, 126 YDS
receiving
Will Pauling
5 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Jack Lausch
9/24, 82 YDS
rushing
Jack Lausch
10 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Thomas Gordon
4 REC, 49 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 64 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 15 yds to the NU 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.02

Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 26 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

A.J. Henning run for 2 yds to the NU 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wohler at the WIS 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds to the WIS 24

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the WIS 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the WIS 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 43 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 2 yds to the NU 23

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jack Lausch run for 7 yds to the NU 30

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.10

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 30 yds, downed at the WIS 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 38

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Tawee Walker run for 8 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 49

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA -1.28

Braedyn Locke pass intercepted Coco Azema return for 12 yds to the NU 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the NU 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 49 yds, downed at the WIS 7

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tawee Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 5

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 8

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+23 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 57 yds , Bryce Kirtz returns for 23 yds to the WIS 42

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Jack Lausch run for 7 yds to the WIS 35

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the WIS 34

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Luke Akers 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tawee Walker for 2 yds to the WIS 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tawee Walker for 5 yds to the WIS 41

3rd & 3Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.90

Tawee Walker run for 24 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Darrion Dupree run for no gain to the NU 35

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Sean McLaughlin) to the NU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the NU 11

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the NU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Braedyn Locke run for 8 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Cam Porter run for 9 yds to the NU 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 40

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 39

3rd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.14

Jack Lausch run for 16 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Joseph Himon II run for 9 yds to the WIS 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA -0.07

Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 18 yds to the WIS 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cam Porter run for no gain to the WIS 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the WIS 10

4th & 2Blocked Field Goal+28 yds

Luke Akers 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 17 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 11 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the NU 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.90

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Darrion Dupree for 26 yds to the NU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Darrion Dupree run for no gain to the NU 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+41 yds

Nathanial Vakos 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 18

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.28

Cam Porter run for 12 yds to the NU 30

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 46 yds , Hunter Wohler returns for no gain to the WIS 24

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.09

Braedyn Locke sacked by Carmine Bastone and Najee Story for a loss of 7 yards to the WIS 17

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.46

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 12 yds to the WIS 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 19 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 43

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.57

Tawee Walker run for 11 yds to the NU 46

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the NU 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Tawee Walker run for no gain to the NU 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 42 yds, downed at the NU 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 3

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Joseph Himon II run for 10 yds to the NU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 8

1st & 15Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.24

Jack Lausch sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 3 Jack Lausch fumbled, recovered by WIS Elijah Hills , return for 0 yards

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(00:34) Kneel down by LAUSCH, Jack at NU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:29.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the WIS 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+13 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 50 yds , Bryce Kirtz returns for 13 yds to the NU 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 36

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 38

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Lausch run for 4 yds to the NU 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.06

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 15 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 6 yds to the WIS 35

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the WIS 34

4th & 3Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.76

Jack Lausch run for 29 yds to the WIS 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jack Lausch run for no gain to the WIS 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the WIS 3

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (Thomas Gordon) to the WIS 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Luke Akers 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tawee Walker run for 12 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 8 yds to the WIS 45

2nd & 2Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.61

Braedyn Locke sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 44 Braedyn Locke fumbled, recovered by NU Najee Story , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the WIS 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Tawee Walker run for 8 yds to the WIS 28

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Trech Kekahuna run for 11 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.50

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 18 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the NU 40

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.76

Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Braedyn Locke run for 11 yds to the NU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.18

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 19 yds to the NU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 3 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 59 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 12 yds to the NU 18

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

LAUSCH, Jack pass short to the right complete for 12 yards to PORTER, Cam caught at the NU19 and advanced to the NU30 (THOMAS, Jaheim), out of bounds, clock 00:00. PENALTY NU Holding on LOVELACE, Cooper enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the NU18 to the NU9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 19Safety-9 ydsPPA -1.78

Jack Lausch sacked by Sebastian Cheeks and Curt Neal for a loss of 9 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Darrion Dupree run for 1 yd to the NU 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 3 yds to the NU 39

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the NU 36

4th & 3Punt0 yds

punt for 31 yds, downed at the NU 5

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 5

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 7 yds to the NU 12

4th & 3Punt+15 yds

Luke Akers punt for 42 yds , Hunter Wohler returns for 15 yds to the NU 39

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Darrion Dupree run for 9 yds to the NU 30

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the NU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Tawee Walker run for 11 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the NU 11

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the NU 8

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the NU 6

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.13

Tawee Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 7

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 4

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 3 yds to the NU 7

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jack Lausch run for 5 yds to the NU 12 Northwestern Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the NU 6

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Darrion Dupree run for 7 yds to the NU 35

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the NU 33

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the NU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Darrion Dupree run for 9 yds to the NU 20

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the NU 14

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the NU 10

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
52%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
18 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays