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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa by 12.2

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 21%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan State +6.5

Edge: Iowa -6.5 (5.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IowaIowa
0014620
Michigan StateMichigan State
6671332

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-09-012-012-719-719-1422-1432-20
Michigan StateIowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSIOWMSIOWMSIOWMSIOWMSIOWMSIOWMSIOWMSIOWMSIOWMSIOWMSFG852ydPUNT33ydFG964ydPUNT39ydTO69ydMISS45ydFG742ydPUNT732ydFG969ydPUNT39ydMISS634ydTD858ydTD975ydTD869ydFG738ydTO2-3ydFG62ydTD175ydTD975ydUncategorized841ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa and Michigan State
StatisticIowaMichigan State
Passing11-2322-30
Pass Yards150256
Rush Yards133212
Total Yards283468
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-115-13
Penalties3-307-55
Possession20:1639:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa
passing
Cade McNamara
11/23, 150 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kaleb Johnson
14 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kaleb Johnson
4 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Michigan State
passing
Aidan Chiles
22/30, 256 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kay'Ron Adams
15 CAR, 86 YDS
receiving
Nick Marsh
8 REC, 113 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Nate Carter run for 8 yds to the MSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds to the MSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 19 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Nate Carter run for 11 yds to the IOWA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jaron Glover for 2 yds to the IOWA 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+42 yds

Jonathan Kim 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 63 yds , Kaden Wetjen return for 35 yds to the IOWA 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 3 yds to the IOWA 40

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.76

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 37 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Nate Carter run for 6 yds to the IOWA 46

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.59

Nate Carter run for 5 yds to the IOWA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.52

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 15 yds to the IOWA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 1 yd to the IOWA 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+43 yds

Jonathan Kim 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 64 yds , Kaden Wetjen return for 26 yds to the IOWA 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 8 yds to the IOWA 35

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aidan Chiles run for 5 yds to the MSU 22

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Makhi Frazier run for 4 yds to the MSU 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.68

Aidan Chiles run for 2 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

Michigan State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Aidan Chiles) to the MSU 16

2nd & 22Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Aidan Chiles run for 10 yds to the MSU 26

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.17

Aidan Chiles pass intercepted Koen Entringer return for no gain to the MSU 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the MSU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+58 yds

Drew Stevens 58 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brandon Tullis run for 6 yds to the MSU 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.59

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 5 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.04

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 23 yds to the IOWA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Aidan Chiles run for 7 yds to the IOWA 19

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (Jack Velling) to the IOWA 24

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 19

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 18

4th & 2Field Goal Good+36 yds

Jonathan Kim 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 19 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kamari Moulton run for 4 yds to the IOWA 49

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Kamari Moulton run for 8 yds to the MSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the MSU 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 19 yds to the MSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Tullis run for 3 yds to the MSU 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the MSU 45

3rd & 4Penalty0 yds

(06:31) CHILES, Aidan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MARSH, Nick thrown to the IOWA30, clock 06:26. PENALTY IOWA Holding on HALL, TJ declined IOWA Pass Interference on HALL, TJ enforced 15 yards to the IOWA40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Aziah Johnson run for 15 yds to the IOWA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 11 yds to the IOWA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 10

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.64

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 14

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 8 yds to the IOWA 6

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IOWA 11

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jonathan Kim 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 65 yds , Kaden Wetjen return for 17 yds to the IOWA 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the IOWA 26

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 26

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Rhys Dakin punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 29

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Aidan Chiles run for 8 yds to the MSU 37

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.04

Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(00:52) CHILES, Aidan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GLOVER, Jaron thrown to the IOWA37, clock 00:45. PENALTY IOWA Pass Interference on NESTOR, John enforced 15 yards to the IOWA45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Aidan Chiles run for 1 yd to the IOWA 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 7 yds to the IOWA 37

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Jonathan Kim 55 yd FG MISSED

0th & 2End of Half-26 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+39 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 62 yds , Kaden Wetjen return for 39 yds to the IOWA 42

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Kaden Wetjen run for 9 yds to the MSU 49

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.09

Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the MSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSU 47

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Cade McNamara pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 10 yds to the MSU 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Cade McNamara pass complete to Reece Vander Zee for 17 yds to the MSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jacob Gill run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 21

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the MSU 18

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.24

Cade McNamara pass complete to Reece Vander Zee for 18 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nate Carter run for 4 yds to the MSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 7 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jaron Glover for 6 yds to the MSU 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 2 yds to the MSU 44

3rd & 2Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.65

Aidan Chiles run for 26 yds to the IOWA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 5 yds to the IOWA 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 21

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.19

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 18 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 62 yds , Kaden Wetjen return for 28 yds to the IOWA 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 32

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Michigan State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (D'Quan Douse) to the MSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the MSU 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Cade McNamara pass complete to Reece Vander Zee for 12 yds to the MSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the MSU 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the MSU 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 22 yds to the MSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Aidan Chiles run for 8 yds to the IOWA 45

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 10 yds to the IOWA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (Brennan Parachek) to the IOWA 40

1st & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.35

Aidan Chiles sacked by Deontae Craig for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 47

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 22Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 10 yds to the IOWA 37

4th & 12Field Goal Good+55 yds

Jonathan Kim 55 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 25

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA -0.05

Cade McNamara pass intercepted Nikai Martinez return for 21 yds to the IOWA 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 3 yds to the IOWA 27

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the IOWA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Aidan Chiles run for 3 yds to the IOWA 17

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

(08:41) CHILES, Aidan pass short to the right complete for 16 yards to JOHNSON, Aziah caught at the IOWA14 and advanced to the IOWA1 (NESTOR, John), clock 08:35. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on GLOVER, Jaron enforced 15 yards to the IOWA32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 22Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 28

4th & 18Field Goal Good+46 yds

Jonathan Kim 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Kaleb Johnson run for 75 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 18 yds to the MSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(06:43) CARTER, Nate rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the MSU48 (BLACK, Yahya), clock 06:36. PENALTY MSU Holding on RAMIL, Stanton enforced 10 yards from the MSU43 to the MSU33. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 1 yd to the MSU 34

2nd & 19Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.63

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 24 yds to the IOWA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 15 yds to the IOWA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the IOWA 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 7 yds to the IOWA 20

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Nate Carter run for 8 yds to the IOWA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 11 yds to the IOWA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Nate Carter run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 52 yds , Max White return for 11 yds to the IOWA 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 16 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 11 yds to the MSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Cade McNamara run for 6 yds to the MSU 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.57

Cade McNamara pass complete to Dayton Howard for 8 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty0 yds

(00:47) MCNAMARA, Cade pass deep to the right complete for 31 yards to GILL, Jacob caught at the MSU4 and advanced to the MSU4, End of Play, clock 00:40. PENALTY IOWA Illegal Touch-Pass on GILL, Jacob enforced 0 yards from the MSU35 to the MSU35, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

(00:37) Kneel down by TEAM at MSU33 (team loss of 2), clock 00:32.

Situational Analysis

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
19 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
66%
32 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th