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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 5.8

Home Win Probability

Illinois 34%

Market (Bovada)

Illinois +6

Edge: Illinois +6 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
07007
IllinoisIllinois
3108021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-013-721-7
IllinoisMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICILLMICFG746ydPUNT32ydPUNT31ydPUNT833ydDOWNS851ydTO316ydFG524ydTO229ydTD751ydTD1272ydMISS949ydPUNT3-6ydTD855ydMISS1565ydPUNT517ydTO1269ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS84ydPUNT59ydEND555yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Illinois
StatisticMichiganIllinois
Passing20-329-19
Pass Yards20880
Rush Yards114187
Total Yards322267
Turnovers30
3rd Down5-143-11
Penalties6-616-50
Possession33:3426:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Jack Tuttle
20/32, 208 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kalel Mullings
19 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Colston Loveland
7 REC, 83 YDS
defense
Jaishawn Barham
0.5 TFL, 2 PD
Illinois
passing
Luke Altmyer
9/18, 80 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Aidan Laughery
9 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Patrick Bryant
4 REC, 32 YDS
defense
Gabe Jacas
2.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 9 yds to the ILL 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the ILL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.23

Aidan Laughery run for 29 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MICH Offside (Paige,Makari) 5 yards from MICH36 to MICH31. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 32

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Luke Altmyer run for 3 yds to the MICH 29

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+47 yds

David Olano 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the ILL 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass complete short left to Beatty,Hank caught at MICH42, for 18 yards to the MICH42 (Hill,Jyaire), out of bounds PENALTY ILL Holding (Priestly,Melvin) 10 yards from ILL40 to ILL30. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Aidan Laughery run for 11 yds to the ILL 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 15

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Kalel Mullings run for 11 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 3 yds to the MICH 34

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jack Tuttle run for 4 yds to the MICH 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 3 yds to the MICH 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ILL 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 12 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Aidan Laughery run for 6 yds to the ILL 45

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke sacked for loss of 5 yards to the ILL40 (Barham,Jaishawn) PENALTY MICH Personal Foul (Pierce,Trey) 15 yards from ILL45 to MICH40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Altmyer run for 5 yds to the MICH 35

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Pat Bryant run for 1 yd to the MICH 36

3rd & 6Penalty+7 yds

(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass incomplete short left to Franklin,Zakhari thrown to MICH27, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MICH Pass Interference (Hall,Aamir) 7 yards from MICH36 to MICH29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(02:02) PENALTY ILL False Start (Davis,J.C.) 5 yards from MICH29 to MICH34. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the MICH 33

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 13 yds to the MICH 20

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.76

Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the MICH 22

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.76

Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the MICH 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Marlin Klein for 5 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 25

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA +0.01

Jack Tuttle run for 13 yds to the MICH 38 Jack Tuttle fumbled, recovered by ILL Malachi Hood

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Josh McCray run for 11 yds to the MICH 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass incomplete short left to Franklin,Zakhari thrown to MICH09 PENALTY MICH Pass Interference (Hall,Aamir) 15 yards from MICH27 to MICH12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the MICH 8

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Josh McCray run for no gain to the MICH 8

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.06

Luke Altmyer sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MICH 14

4th & 12Field Goal Good+32 yds

David Olano 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Tuttle,Jack pass intercepted by Scott,Miles at MICH37 Scott,Miles return 35 yards to the MICH02 (Mullings,Kalel; Morris,Tyler), out of bounds PENALTY ILL Holding (Patterson,Kaleb) 10 yards from MICH25 to MICH35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -0.74

Donovan Edwards run for 19 yds to the ILL 49 Donovan Edwards fumbled, recovered by ILL Miles Scott

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 47

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.20

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 13 yds to the MICH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Luke Altmyer run for 14 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the MICH 22

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.22

Luke Altmyer run for 9 yds to the MICH 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

(08:05) Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass incomplete short middle to Franklin,Zakhari thrown to MICH00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MICH Pass Interference (Berry,Zeke) 11 yard from MICH13 to MICH02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 2 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 57 yds , Keshaun Harris return for 20 yds to the MICH 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the MICH 36

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Kalel Mullings run for 7 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the MICH 48

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the ILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.77

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 16 yds to the ILL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 10 yds to the ILL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 8 yds to the ILL 13

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Kalel Mullings run for 7 yds to the ILL 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the ILL 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the ILL 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kalel Mullings run for no gain to the ILL 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the ILL 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 11 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Luke Altmyer run for 17 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 9 yds to the MICH 37

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Josh McCray run for no gain to the MICH 37

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Josh McCray run for 6 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Luke Altmyer run for 5 yds to the MICH 26

3rd & 5Blocked Field Goal+44 yds

David Olano 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Makari Paige (00:03) Olano,David field goal attempt from 44 yards NO GOOD blocked by Paige,Makari (H: Robertson,Hugh, LS: Hansen,Lane), clock 00:00 recovered by ILL Davis,J.C. at MICH05, End Of Play.

0th & 5End of Half+21 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 28

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.43

Jack Tuttle sacked by TeRah Edwards for a loss of 9 yards to the MICH 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the ILL 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Aidan Laughery run for 3 yds to the ILL 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush+36 ydsPPA +4.02

Tanner Arkin run for 36 yds to the MICH 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the MICH 12

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Altmyer run for 5 yds to the MICH 7

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.58

Josh McCray run for 6 yds to the MICH 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Luke Altmyer 1 Yd Run (Donovan Leary Pass to Zakhari Franklin for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Hogan Hansen for 17 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the MICH 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Semaj Morgan run for 2 yds to the MICH 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.51

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 9 yds to the ILL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the ILL 42

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the ILL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 8 yds to the ILL 26

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Tuttle run for 5 yds to the ILL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jack Tuttle run for 3 yds to the ILL 18

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the ILL 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Tuttle run for 2 yds to the ILL 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the ILL 6

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Jack Tuttle sacked by TeRah Edwards for a loss of 4 yards to the ILL 10 Jack Tuttle fumbled, recovered by MICH Jack Tuttle , return for 0 yards

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+28 yds

Dominic Zvada 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ezekiel Holmes

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the ILL 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 12 yds to the ILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the ILL 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.99

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MICH 22 for a 1ST down Illinois Penalty, Personal Foul (Matthew Bailey) to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Kalel Mullings for 8 yds to the MICH 45

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the ILL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.84

Jack Tuttle sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MICH 44

2nd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.26

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 14 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.37

Jack Tuttle sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 8 yards to the ILL 44

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

4th & 18Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +4.29

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 29 yds to the ILL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.44

Jack Tuttle pass intercepted Matthew Bailey return for no gain to the ILL 22

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ILL False Start (Davis,J.C.) 5 yards from ILL22 to ILL17. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the ILL 18

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the ILL 19

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Luke Altmyer run for 5 yds to the ILL 14

4th & 17Punt+18 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ILL 43 , Semaj Morgan returns for 18 yds to the ILL 43

4th & 18Punt+18 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ILL 43 , Semaj Morgan returns for 18 yds to the ILL 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Amorion Walker for 4 yds to the ILL 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 5 yds to the ILL 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the ILL 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.50

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the ILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.90

Jack Tuttle sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 7 yards to the ILL 39

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Josh McCray run for 6 yds to the ILL 45

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Josh McCray run for 6 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Josh McCray run for 7 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.05

Josh McCray run for 3 yds to the MICH 45

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the MICH 47

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ILL Delay Of Game 5 yards from MICH47 to ILL48. NO PLAY.

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Hogan Hansen for 8 yds to the MICH 17 Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Josh Priebe) to the MICH 9

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Amorion Walker for 8 yds to the MICH 17

3rd & 2Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.86

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Hogan Hansen for 20 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Hogan Hansen for 5 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Tyler Morris for 22 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
52%
21 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play