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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Penn StatePenn State
33
-Final
30
USCUSC
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 7

Home Win Probability

USC 26%

Market (Bovada)

USC +4

Edge: Penn State -4 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Penn StatePenn State
331410333
USCUSC
71337030

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-314-317-317-620-1320-2023-2330-2330-30
USCPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCPSUSCPSUSCPSUSCPSUSCPSUSCPSPSUSCPSUSCPSUSCPSUSCPSUSCPSUSCPSPUNT515ydFG1472ydTD175ydPUNT519ydTD789ydTO425ydFG4-2ydPUNT417ydPUNT37ydFG1064ydFG749ydEND12ydTD575ydPUNT527ydTD890ydPUNT615ydTO10ydFG42ydFG972ydTD975ydTD1275ydTO730ydTO26ydMISS4-3ydFG46yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and USC
StatisticPenn StateUSC
Passing31-4420-34
Pass Yards400220
Rush Yards118189
Total Yards518409
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-132-11
Penalties3-255-60
Possession32:2227:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
30/43, 391 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Kaytron Allen
16 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Warren
17 REC, 224 YDS, 1 TD
defense
USC
passing
Miller Moss
20/34, 220 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jo'quavious Marks
20 CAR, 111 YDS
receiving
Makai Lemon
6 REC, 73 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Woody Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 14 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the USC 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 49 yds, downed at the PSU 11

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Nicholas Singleton run for 10 yds to the PSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 6 yds to the PSU 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 4 yds to the PSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 16 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the USC 44

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the USC 43

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyler Warren run for 4 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 14 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.01

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 21 yds to the USC 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the USC 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the USC 3

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 1 yd to the USC 2

4th & 2Penalty-15 yds

(05:01) ALLAR, Drew pass short to the right complete for 2 yards to WARREN, Tyler caught at the USC1 and advanced to the USC0, TOUCHDOWN PSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 04:57 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on FLEMING, Julian enforced 15 yards to the USC17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 17Field Goal Good+34 yds

Ryan Barker 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Quinten Joyner run for 75 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Nicholas Singleton run for 8 yds to the PSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyler Warren pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 9 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 4 yds to the PSU 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PSU 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Zion Branch at the USC 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the USC 14

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Miller Moss pass complete to Makai Lemon for 16 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Woody Marks run for 12 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.66

Woody Marks run for 21 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.63

Woody Marks run for 28 yds to the PSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Miller Moss pass complete to Quinten Joyner for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

USC Penalty, Block below the waist on RAMSEY, Kamari enforced (Kamari Ramsey) to the PSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return+42 ydsPPA -1.50

Drew Allar pass intercepted Desman Stephens II return for 42 yds to the PSU 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Woody Marks run for no gain to the PSU 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.18

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 29

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Woody Marks run for 1 yd to the PSU 28

4th & 12Field Goal Good+45 yds

Michael Lantz 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 10 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 36

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 4 yds to the PSU 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Quinten Joyner run for 3 yds to the USC 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Miller Moss pass complete to Makai Lemon for 4 yds to the USC 25

4th & 3Punt+1 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 56 yds , Zion Tracy returns for 1 yd to the PSU 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.19

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 20 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 42

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 48

3rd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.15

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 18 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.38

Drew Allar run for 19 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+33 yds

Ryan Barker 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 57 yds , Zachariah Branch return for 13 yds to the USC 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 8 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Miller Moss pass complete to Makai Lemon for 8 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.24

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 33 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the PSU 27

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

(00:52) MARKS, Woody rush up the middle for a gain of 17 yards to the PSU10 (REED, Jaylen;WHEATLEY, Zakee), clock 00:45. PENALTY USC Block below the waist on LYONS, Walker enforced 15 yards from the PSU27 to the PSU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 22Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 9 yds to the PSU 33

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Miller Moss pass complete to Quinten Joyner for 3 yds to the PSU 30

4th & 10Field Goal Good+47 yds

Michael Lantz 47 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Michael Lantz kickoff for 64 yds , Nicholas Singleton return for 22 yds to the PSU 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 10 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 19 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 13 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 32 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Woody Marks run for no gain to the USC 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.30

Miller Moss pass complete to Makai Lemon for 30 yds to the PSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Woody Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

(10:45) MOSS, Miller pass deep to the right complete for 42 yards to ROBINSON, Duce caught at the PSU25 and advanced to the PSU4 (HARRIS, AJ), out of bounds, clock 10:35. PENALTY USC Holding on MARKS, Woody enforced 10 yards from the PSU46 to the USC44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 21Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Alani Noa) to the USC 39

3rd & 26Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Woody Marks run for 13 yds to the PSU 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 38 yds, downed at the PSU 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 6 yds to the PSU 18

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.61

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.18

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 25 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.49

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 34 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 16 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 65 yds , Zachariah Branch return for 16 yds to the USC 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.24

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 10 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Miller Moss sacked by Abdul Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 22

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 8 yds to the USC 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Miller Moss pass complete to Makai Lemon for 1 yd to the USC 31

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 17

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.46

Drew Allar pass intercepted Easton Mascarenas-Arnold return for no gain to the PSU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the PSU 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+39 yds

Michael Lantz 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds to the PSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 43

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

USC Penalty, Roughing the Passer on LUCAS, Anthony enforced (Anthony Lucas) to the USC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, False Start (Drew Shelton) to the USC 30

1st & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.77

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 21 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the USC 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the USC 5

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds to the USC 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Ryan Barker 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 11 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Woody Marks run for 6 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Woody Marks run for 9 yds to the PSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Woody Marks run for 11 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Quinten Joyner run for 4 yds to the PSU 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.59

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 25 yds to the PSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Woody Marks run for 4 yds to the PSU 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kaytron Allen run for 7 yds to the PSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 9 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.64

Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 17 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.29

Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 16 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Drew Allar run for 9 yds to the USC 14

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.03

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 14 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 9 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Miller Moss pass complete to Makai Lemon for 14 yds to the PSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Woody Marks run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Miller Moss pass complete to Jay Fair for 6 yds to the PSU 45

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return+22 ydsPPA -1.98

Miller Moss pass intercepted Jaylen Reed return for 22 yds to the USC 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 6 yds to the USC 43

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return+35 ydsPPA -3.57

Drew Allar pass intercepted Duce Robinson return for 35 yds to the USC 43

0th & 4End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.13

Woody Marks run for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 28

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Michael Lantz 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the USC 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 3 yds to the USC 22

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Drew Allar run for 3 yds to the USC 19

4th & 4Uncategorized+36 yds

Ryan Barker 36 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
56%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
83%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th