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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 13.2

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 78%

Market (Bovada)

Wisconsin -12

Edge: Wisconsin -12 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PurduePurdue
06006
WisconsinWisconsin
147211052

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-014-314-628-635-642-652-6
WisconsinPurdue

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PURWISPURWISWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPUNT416ydPUNT30ydPUNT38ydPUNT519ydTD112ydPUNT521ydTD691ydPUNT3-2ydTO33ydFG942ydTO520ydFG846ydTD1175ydEND1-1ydTD575ydPUNT412ydTD998ydPUNT35ydTD978ydPUNT415ydTD560ydTO135ydFG751ydPUNT59ydEND522yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Purdue and Wisconsin
StatisticPurdueWisconsin
Passing12-2221-32
Pass Yards117361
Rush Yards99228
Total Yards216589
Turnovers22
3rd Down1-118-14
Penalties6-553-30
Possession28:1331:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Purdue
passing
Hudson Card
11/21, 111 YDS
rushing
Devin Mockobee
11 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Jahmal Edrine
2 REC, 26 YDS
defense
Dillon Thieneman
1 TFL, 1 PD
Wisconsin
passing
Braedyn Locke
20/31, 359 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tawee Walker
19 CAR, 94 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Trech Kekahuna
6 REC, 134 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Hudson Card pass complete to De'Nylon Morrissette for 13 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 41

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

(13:23) CARD, Hudson pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to KLARE, Max caught at the PUR45 and advanced to the PUR45 (PETERSON, Darryl), clock 13:31. PENALTY PUR Holding on STEWART, Corey enforced 10 yards from the PUR41 to the PUR31 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the PUR 41

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 45 yds , Tyrell Henry returns for 9 yds to the WIS 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+47 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 47 yds , Dillon Thieneman returns for no gain to the PUR 28 , returns for no gain to the PUR 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Hudson Card pass complete to Elijah Jackson for 8 yds to the PUR 36

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.22

Reggie Love III run for no gain to the PUR 36

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 21

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Hudson Card pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the WIS 30

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 5 yds to the WIS 39

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the WIS 40

4th & 4Punt+52 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 52 yds , Dillon Thieneman returns for no gain to the PUR 12 , returns for no gain to the PUR 12

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Tawee Walker run for 12 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hudson Card pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 4 yds to the PUR 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the PUR 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 12

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the WIS 14

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

(03:13) LOCKE, Braedyn pass short up the middle incomplete intended for PAULING, Will thrown to the WIS18, clock 03:22. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on BREEDLOVE, Kyndrich enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the WIS19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 6 yds to the WIS 25

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Purdue Penalty, Personal Foul (Jeffrey M'Ba) to the WIS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 5 yds to the WIS 48

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.36

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 52 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Hudson Card sacked by Sebastian Cheeks and John Pius for a loss of 8 yards to the PUR 17

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Reggie Love III run for 6 yds to the PUR 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the WIS 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.48

Braedyn Locke pass intercepted Kyndrich Breedlove return for no gain to the WIS 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the WIS 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 15 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 4 yds to the WIS 24

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Purdue Penalty, False Start (Mahamane Moussa) to the WIS 29

3rd & 13Penalty+10 yds

(11:26) CARD, Hudson pass to the right incomplete intended for LOVE III, Reggie thrown to the WIS23, clock 11:30. PENALTY WIS Holding on LOFY, Max enforced 10 yards from the WIS29 to the WIS19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 10 yds to the WIS 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the WIS 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the WIS 3

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the WIS 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Spencer Porath 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 12 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.06

Braedyn Locke pass intercepted Kyndrich Breedlove return for no gain to the PUR 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 22 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Hudson Card run for 4 yds to the WIS 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.72

Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 21 yds to the WIS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Spencer Porath 23 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hudson Card pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 21 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 7 yds to the PUR 47

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.13

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the PUR 35

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.59

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the PUR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the PUR 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the PUR 22

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.20

Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the PUR 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.68

Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 19 yds to the PUR 1 for a 1ST down

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 63 yds , Elijah Jackson return for 16 yds to the PUR 18

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

[SG] Kneel down by CARD, Hudson at PUR17 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the WIS 26

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

(14:18) LOCKE, Braedyn pass short to the left incomplete thrown to the WIS27, clock 14:25. PENALTY WIS Intentional Grounding on LOCKE, Braedyn PUR Holding on BREEDLOVE, Kyndrich , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the WIS 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 8 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(13:17) WALKER, Tawee rush up the middle for no gain to the WIS39 (KARLAFTIS, Yanni), clock 13:15. PENALTY WIS Block below the waist on NELSON, Jack enforced 15 yards from the WIS39 to the WIS24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 7 yds to the WIS 31

2nd & 18Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +6.98

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 69 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 11 yds to the PUR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(11:28) CARD, Hudson pass short to the left complete for 3 yards to TIBBS, Jaron caught at the PUR47 and advanced to the PUR49 (ZACHMAN, Preston), clock 11:35. PENALTY PUR Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MOUSSA, Mahamane enforced 5 yards from the PUR46 to the PUR41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.63

Hudson Card sacked by Jaheim Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 34

2nd & 22Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.93

Hudson Card run for 13 yds to the PUR 47

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 51 yds, downed at the WIS 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 5

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 5 yds to the WIS 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the WIS 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.48

Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 28 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Darrion Dupree run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 42

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Darrion Dupree) to the WIS 37

2nd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Darrion Dupree for 5 yds to the WIS 42

3rd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.55

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Darrion Dupree for 18 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(04:55) LOCKE, Braedyn pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BURROUGHS, Quincy thrown to the PUR1, clock 04:48. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on GREEN, Nyland enforced 15 yards to the PUR25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 25 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the PUR 30

4th & 5Punt+50 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 50 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for no gain to the WIS 22 , returns for no gain to the WIS 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hudson Card pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cade Yacamelli run for no gain to the WIS 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.03

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 17 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the WIS 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 15 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 14 yds to the PUR 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.23

Darrion Dupree run for 13 yds to the PUR 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.32

Tawee Walker run for 17 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 65 yds , Elijah Jackson return for 15 yds to the PUR 15

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Devin Mockobee run for 12 yds to the PUR 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Hudson Card pass complete to Elijah Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 4 yds to the PUR 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.62

Braedyn Locke pass complete to JT Seagreaves for 21 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Cade Yacamelli run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 41

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the PUR 38

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Cade Yacamelli run for 8 yds to the PUR 30

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.03

Cade Yacamelli run for 30 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+35 ydsPPA -0.92

Jaheim Merriweather run for 35 yds to the WIS 40 Jaheim Merriweather fumbled, recovered by WIS Braedyn Moore B. Moore return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dilin Jones run for 3 yds to the WIS 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Jackson McGohan for 2 yds to the WIS 45

3rd & 5Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.50

Dilin Jones run for 47 yds to the PUR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Dilin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 9

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Dilin Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 11

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Mabrey Mettauer run for 2 yds to the PUR 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Nathanial Vakos 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ryan Browne pass complete to Drew Biber for 6 yds to the PUR 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Elijah Jackson run for 5 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.09

Ryan Browne sacked by Sebastian Cheeks for a loss of 12 yards to the PUR 24

2nd & 22Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Ryan Browne run for 2 yds to the PUR 26

3rd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Elijah Jackson run for 8 yds to the PUR 34

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 45 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for 3 yds to the WIS 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Dilin Jones run for 7 yds to the WIS 31

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Dilin Jones run for 4 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gideon Ituka run for 4 yds to the WIS 39

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Gideon Ituka run for no gain to the WIS 39

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.18

Dilin Jones run for 7 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
42%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play