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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 0.5

Home Win Probability

Washington 50%

Market (Bovada)

Washington -1.5

Edge: Michigan +1.5 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
0107017
WashingtonWashington
7701327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-714-1014-1717-1724-1727-17
WashingtonMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICWASMICMISS651ydPUNT831ydTD1383ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydPUNT514ydTD474ydTD775ydPUNT33ydFG856ydMISS964ydTD1175ydPUNT727ydPUNT31ydFG1245ydPUNT34ydTO531ydTO513ydTD432ydTO56ydFG626ydEND515yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Washington
StatisticMichiganWashington
Passing13-2523-33
Pass Yards113315
Rush Yards174114
Total Yards287429
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-125-11
Penalties5-402-20
Possession30:3029:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Jack Tuttle
10/18, 98 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Donovan Edwards
14 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Colston Loveland
6 REC, 33 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Washington
passing
Will Rogers
21/31, 271 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jonah Coleman
18 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Denzel Boston
5 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 36 yds to the MICH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Jonah Coleman run for 10 yds to the MICH 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the MICH 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jeremiah Hunter run for 4 yds to the MICH 24

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Grady Gross 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Kalel Mullings run for 7 yds to the MICH 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Alex Orji pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 41

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MICH False Start (Persi,Jeffrey) 5 yards from MICH41 to MICH36. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Alex Orji pass complete to Tyler Morris for 8 yds to the MICH 44

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Alex Orji run for 5 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Alex Orji pass complete to Colston Loveland for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Alex Orji pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

(08:08) PENALTY WASH Offside (Tunuufi,Voi) 5 yards from MICH50 to WASH45. NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Alex Orji pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Adam Mohammed run for 6 yds to the WASH 23

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Adam Mohammed run for 5 yds to the WASH 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Will Rogers sacked by TJ Guy for a loss of 3 yards to the WASH 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 2 yds to the WASH 27

3rd & 11Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.18

Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 39 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the MICH 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.48

Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 13 yds to the MICH 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Giles Jackson run for 5 yds to the MICH 14

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Jonah Coleman run for 11 yds to the MICH 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the MICH 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 3 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 59 yds , Keshaun Harris return for 19 yds to the MICH 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Alex Orji pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

Alex Orji run for no gain to the MICH 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the WASH 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Rogers pass complete to Rashid Williams for 4 yds to the WASH 37

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MICH 25

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Donovan Edwards run for 7 yds to the MICH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 29

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Alex Orji run for 6 yds to the MICH 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Alex Orji pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 16 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the WASH 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.88

Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Cameron Davis for 37 yds to the MICH 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 16 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Max Bredeson for 5 yds to the MICH 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jack Tuttle run for 7 yds to the MICH 45

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Donovan Edwards run for 9 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jack Tuttle run for 7 yds to the WASH 39

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.01

Donovan Edwards run for 39 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+14 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 41 , Tyler Morris returns for 14 yds to the MICH 42 Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josaiah Stewart) to the MICH 41

4th & 7Punt+14 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 17 , Tyler Morris returns for 14 yds to the MICH 42 Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jo'Ziah Edmond) to the MICH 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the MICH 23

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Donovan Edwards run for 11 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.02

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 15 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Bandes) to the WASH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the WASH 26

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the WASH 27

4th & 3Field Goal Good+45 yds

Dominic Zvada 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the WASH 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds to the WASH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the WASH 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.37

Will Rogers pass complete to Rashid Williams for 17 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.57

Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 16 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 4 yds to the MICH 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 11 yds to the MICH 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Blocked Field Goal+28 yds

Grady Gross 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mason Graham

0th & 0End of Half-80 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kalel Mullings run for 7 yds to the MICH 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Semaj Morgan run for 5 yds to the MICH 43

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

(13:25) PENALTY MICH False Start (Morgan,Semaj) 5 yards from MICH43 to MICH38. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.55

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Amorion Walker for 22 yds to the WASH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the WASH 34

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Tuttle run for 4 yds to the WASH 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the WASH 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.47

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 16 yds to the WASH 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the WASH 8

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.62

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 8 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 13 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Will Rogers sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 7 yards to the WASH 30

2nd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.88

Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 17 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds to the MICH 46

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the MICH 48

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 44

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Demond Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the MICH 48

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Demond Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 14 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds to the MICH 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 7 yds to the MICH 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Demond Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the MICH 11

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Adam Mohammed run for 1 yd to the MICH 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Jyaire Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 11

2nd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.46

Will Rogers sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MICH 20

3rd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 9 yds to the MICH 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Grady Gross 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MICH 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the WASH 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 15 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 6 yds to the MICH 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 9 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.95

Will Rogers pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Kalel Mullings run for 7 yds to the MICH 26

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 28

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.83

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jack Tuttle run for 1 yd to the MICH 32 Jack Tuttle fumbled, recovered by WASH Logan Sagapolu

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.99

Jonah Coleman run for 27 yds to the MICH 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the MICH 4

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 35 for a 1ST down

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(03:38) PENALTY MICH False Start (Priebe,Josh) 5 yards from MICH36 to MICH31. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jack Tuttle pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Demond Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the MICH 40

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the MICH 39

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

(02:29) Shotgun Rogers,Will pass incomplete deep left to Boston,Denzel thrown to MICH12 PENALTY MICH Roughing The Passer declined MICH Pass Interference (Johnson,Will) 15 yards from MICH39 to MICH24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the MICH 21

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the MICH 17

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the MICH 15

4th & 1Field Goal Good+32 yds

Grady Gross 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 45 yds , Breeon Ishmail return for 6 yds to the MICH 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the MICH 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 8 yds to the MICH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.19

Jack Tuttle sacked by Isaiah Ward for a loss of 5 yards to the MICH 35

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Marlin Klein for 6 yds to the MICH 41

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Washington

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
45%
31 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
100%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th