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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Indiana by 2.9

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 38%

Market (Bovada)

Northwestern +12.5

Edge: Northwestern +12.5 (9.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IndianaIndiana
71071741
NorthwesternNorthwestern
0107724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-1410-1710-2417-2724-3424-41
NorthwesternIndiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20INDNORINDNORINDNORINDNORINDNORINDNORINDNORINDNORINDNORINDDOWNS649ydPUNT619ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-6ydTD1089ydTD1053ydTD875ydFG761ydFG856ydPUNT718ydTD987ydTD775ydFG865ydTD661ydTD1075ydDOWNS811ydTD536ydDOWNS741ydEND3-9yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana and Northwestern
StatisticIndianaNorthwestern
Passing25-3323-38
Pass Yards380243
Rush Yards14993
Total Yards529336
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-95-13
Penalties3-223-20
Possession32:0927:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana
passing
Kurtis Rourke
25/33, 380 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Justice Ellison
14 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijah Sarratt
7 REC, 135 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Jack Lausch
23/38, 243 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Joseph Himon II
5 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Bryce Kirtz
10 REC, 128 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 11 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.17

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 29 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the NU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the NU 27

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -3.09

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 1 yd to the NU 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 26

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Jack Lausch run for 9 yds to the NU 35

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.18

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 6 yds to the NU 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

Luke Akers punt for 49 yds , Myles Price returns for 5 yds to the IU 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the IU 14

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the IU 17

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Kurtis Rourke run for no gain to the IU 17

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 39 yds, downed at the NU 44

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.33

Jack Lausch sacked by Shawn Asbury II and Lanell Carr Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the NU 37

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 1 yd to the NU 38

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the IU 17

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.77

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 12 yds to the IU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.27

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 15 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 9 yds to the NU 49

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 15 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Justice Ellison run for 17 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 10 yds to the NU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Justice Ellison run for 5 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Quinn Warren kickoff for 63 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 30 yds to the NU 35 Indiana Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the NU 47

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Jack Lausch run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 44

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 3 yds to the NU 47

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.07

Jack Lausch run for 14 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the IU 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 6 yds to the IU 32

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 37

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jack Lausch run for 7 yds to the IU 30

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

Indiana Penalty, Offsides (D'Angelo Ponds) to the IU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the IU 21

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.29

Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 16 yds to the IU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Cam Porter run for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the IU 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Kaelon Black run for 7 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.91

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 24 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.57

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 23 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the NU 9

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the NU 7

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the NU 7

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.90

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 7 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Joseph Himon II run for 35 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 45

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.36

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the IU 33

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.12

Jack Lausch run for 13 yds to the IU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cam Porter run for no gain to the IU 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 6 yds to the IU 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jack Olsen 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the IU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Kaelon Black run for 10 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 5 yds to the IU 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.14

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 37 yds to the NU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+37 yds

Nicolas Radicic 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Quinn Warren kickoff for 57 yds , Joseph Himon II return for no gain to the NU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 11 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.12

Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 6 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 49

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.35

Jack Lausch sacked by Mikail Kamara for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 43

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the IU 16

2nd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.91

Ty Son Lawton run for 22 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 11 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the NU 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.39

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 23 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the NU 22

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Omar Cooper Jr. run for 7 yds to the NU 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.10

Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the NU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 13 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the NU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.63

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 13 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 9 yds to the IU 49

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the IU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Caleb Komolafe run for 8 yds to the IU 38

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.80

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 38 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the IU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 7 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the IU 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.53

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 52 yds to the NU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the NU 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Nicolas Radicic 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Quinn Warren kickoff for 51 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 25 yds to the NU 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 7 yds to the NU 46

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Jack Lausch run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.38

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 47 yds to the IU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Cam Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Porter run for no gain to the IU 4

3rd & 4Penalty+2 yds

LAUSCH, Jack pass short up the middle incomplete intended for GORDON, Thomas broken up by PONDS, D'Angelo at the IU0, clock 11:23. PENALTY IU Pass Interference on PONDS, D'Angelo enforced 2 yards to the IU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

A.J. Henning 2 Yd pass from Jack Lausch (Jack Olsen Kick) (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the IU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for no gain to the IU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 12 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.81

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 23 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Kaelon Black run for 10 yds to the NU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the NU 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 12 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.63

Ty Son Lawton run for 15 yds to the NU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 6 yds to the NU 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.90

Jack Lausch pass complete to Frank Covey IV for 5 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.14

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the NU 29

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Kurtis Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.93

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 27 yds to the NU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Zach Horton for 4 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Quinn Warren kickoff for 61 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 28 yds to the NU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.67

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 23 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the NU 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jack Lausch pass complete to Caleb Komolafe for 5 yds to the IU 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

(01:53) [NH] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at IU40 (team loss of 4), clock 01:43.

2nd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

(00:58) [NH] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at IU38 (team loss of 2), clock 00:49.

3rd & 16Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.28

(00:31) [NH] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at IU35 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
59%
32 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
45%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
83%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play