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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
WisconsinWisconsin
21
-Final
38
USCUSC
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 8.9

Home Win Probability

USC 69%

Market (Bovada)

USC -13.5

Edge: Wisconsin +13.5 (4.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
7140021
USCUSC
73141438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-710-1410-2117-2124-2131-2138-21
USCWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCWISUSCWISUSCWISWISUSCWISUSCWISUSCWISUSCUSCWISUSCWISUSCWISUSCWISWISUSCTD675ydTD475ydPUNT734ydPUNT413ydTO1046ydPUNT36ydTD118ydFG841ydTD775ydTO751ydPUNT732ydEND532ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT30ydTD930ydDOWNS947ydTD967ydPUNT33ydTD1077ydPUNT416ydPUNT3-1ydTD22ydDOWNS46ydEND632yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and USC
StatisticWisconsinUSC
Passing13-2630-45
Pass Yards180308
Rush Yards106161
Total Yards286469
Turnovers23
3rd Down2-1011-17
Penalties7-507-53
Possession19:5340:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Braedyn Locke
13/26, 180 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tawee Walker
12 CAR, 55 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Vinny Anthony
3 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Austin Brown
2 TFL, 1 PD
USC
passing
Miller Moss
30/45, 308 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jo'quavious Marks
19 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Ja'Kobi Lane
10 REC, 105 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY WIS Face Mask (Curtis,Tackett) 15 yards from USC25 to USC40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 14 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the WIS 43

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Moss,Miller pass incomplete deep middle to Branch,Zachariah thrown to WIS10 PENALTY WIS Offside (Thomas,Jaheim) 5 yards from WIS43 to WIS38. NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Woody Marks run for 1 yd to the WIS 37

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Woody Marks run for 5 yds to the WIS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Ja'Kobi Lane 32 Yd pass from Miller Moss (Michael Lantz Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the WIS 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the WIS 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 4 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 63 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Miller Moss run for 1 yd to the USC 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 4 yds to the USC 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.55

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 16 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyle Ford for 10 yds to the WIS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the WIS 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 12

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Darrion Dupree run for 10 yds to the WIS 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the WIS 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 74 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Bryan Jackson run for 2 yds to the USC 3

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryan Jackson run for 1 yd to the USC 2

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Woody Marks run for 10 yds to the USC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the USC 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 9 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 21

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.79

Quinten Joyner run for 11 yds to the USC 32

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Miller Moss run for 9 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Quinten Joyner run for 6 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -2.74

Miller Moss pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declined

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 6 yds to the WIS 31

4th & 4Punt+51 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Tawee Walker run for 18 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.05

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 25 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(14:14) PENALTY USC Offside (Ford,Kyle) 5 yards from WIS40 to WIS45. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Miller Moss run for 2 yds to the WIS 43

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Woody Marks run for 5 yds to the WIS 38

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

(12:37) PENALTY WIS Offside (Thomas,Jaheim) 5 yards from WIS38 to WIS33. NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.81

Miller Moss pass complete to Walker Lyons for 5 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 4 yds to the WIS 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the WIS 22

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 3 yds to the WIS 19

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC False Start (Noa,Alani) 5 yards from WIS19 to WIS24. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Field Goal Good+41 yds

Michael Lantz 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the WIS 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.36

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 35 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the USC 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 13 yds to the USC 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 9 yds to the USC 4

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.93

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Miller Moss pass complete to Walker Lyons for 7 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Zachariah Branch run for 15 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 14 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.27

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 15 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Bryan Jackson run for 2 yds to the WIS 22

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Miller Moss sacked by Austin Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 24 Miller Moss fumbled, recovered by WIS Ben Barten , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the WIS 27

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

USC Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WIS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the WIS 47

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.09

Chez Mellusi run for 7 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the USC 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 9 yds to the USC 13

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 3 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 5 yds to the USC 21

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.86

Quinten Joyner run for 15 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

0th & 5End of Half+15 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the WIS 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the WIS 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 23

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Locke,Braedyn pass complete short left to Anthony,Vinny caught at WIS27, for 11 yards to the WIS34 (Mascarenas-Arnold,Easton) PENALTY WIS Illegal Formation 5 yards from WIS23 to WIS18. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Locke,Braedyn pass complete short left to Anthony,Vinny caught at WIS27, for 11 yards to the WIS34 (Mascarenas-Arnold,Easton) PENALTY WIS Illegal Formation 5 yards from WIS23 to WIS18. NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+40 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the WIS 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 9 yds to the WIS 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for no gain to the WIS 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(11:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Moss,Miller pass complete short right to Lane,Ja'Kobi caught at WIS12, for 9 yards to the WIS09 (Fourqurean,Nyzier) PENALTY USC Illegal Formation 5 yards from WIS18 to WIS23. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.76

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 15 yds to the WIS 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the WIS 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Michael Lantz kickoff for 63 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 18 yds to the WIS 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the WIS 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.07

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 15 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the WIS 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 15 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the USC 36

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 3 yds to the USC 33

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.72

Tawee Walker run for no gain to the USC 33

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Woody Marks run for 9 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Miller Moss pass complete to Kade Eldridge for 2 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Woody Marks run for no gain to the USC 44

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Moss,Miller pass incomplete short right to Fair,Jay thrown to WIS45 PENALTY WIS Holding (Fourqurean,Nyzier) 10 yards from USC44 to WIS46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Moss,Miller pass incomplete deep left to Robinson,Duce thrown to WIS15 broken up by Hallman,Ricardo PENALTY WIS Roughing The Passer offsetting USC Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting. NO PLAY. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". PLAY STANDS.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the WIS 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.44

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 32 yds to the WIS 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the WIS 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.90

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 8 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the WIS 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the WIS 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 28

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 53 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for 4 yds to the USC 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Woody Marks run for 4 yds to the USC 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.56

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 13 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Miller Moss pass complete to Quinten Joyner for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.05

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 21 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(12:09) PENALTY USC False Start (Murphy,Mason) 5 yards from WIS29 to WIS34. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.26

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyle Ford for 14 yds to the WIS 20

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.46

Quinten Joyner run for 4 yds to the WIS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Woody Marks run for no gain to the WIS 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 8 yds to the WIS 8

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Woody Marks run for 1 yd to the WIS 7

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.90

Miller Moss run for 7 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tawee Walker run for 12 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Darrion Dupree for 4 yds to the WIS 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty0 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, Offensive Holding (John Pius) declined

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the USC 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.17

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 14

4th & 11Punt+4 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 43 yds , Tyrell Henry returns for 4 yds to the WIS 47

4th & 11Punt+4 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 43 yds , Tyrell Henry returns for 4 yds to the WIS 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the WIS 49

2nd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+55 ydsPPA -9.24

Mason Cobb 55 Yd Interception Return (Michael Lantz Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY USC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brown,Prophet) 15 yards from USC35 to USC20. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+74 yds

Michael Lantz kickoff for 72 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 74 yds to the USC 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the USC 17

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WIS Illegal Snap (Renfro,Jake) 5 yards from USC17 to USC22. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 9 yds to the USC 13

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

(03:33) PENALTY WIS False Start (Nelson,Jack) 5 yards from USC13 to USC18. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -2.97

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 6 yds to the USC 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Woody Marks run for 5 yds to the USC 17

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Quinten Joyner run for 11 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Quinten Joyner run for 2 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Jayden Maiava run for 7 yds to the USC 37

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Bryan Jackson run for 9 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Kneel down by USC at USC44 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
34 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
27%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays