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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 22

Home Win Probability

Michigan 88%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan -10.5

Edge: Michigan -10.5 (11.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
0302124
MichiganMichigan
7143327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-024-324-1027-1727-24
MichiganMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMINMICMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICPUNT69ydPUNT69ydTD1079ydMISS843ydPUNT39ydPUNT47ydPUNT410ydTO2-8ydTD316ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-11ydTO10ydTD111ydPUNT3-4ydFG1177ydFG1340ydPUNT32ydTO417ydTD1476ydPUNT36ydTD317ydFG1458ydTD1475ydUncategorized3-13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Michigan
StatisticMinnesotaMichigan
Passing27-4010-18
Pass Yards25886
Rush Yards38155
Total Yards296241
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-156-15
Penalties7-515-54
Possession26:4433:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Max Brosmer
27/40, 258 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Darius Taylor
13 CAR, 36 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Elijah Spencer
6 REC, 67 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Alex Orji
10/18, 86 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kalel Mullings
24 CAR, 111 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Colston Loveland
4 REC, 41 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the MINN 17

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the MINN 23

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Max Brosmer run for 2 yds to the MINN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the MINN 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Frank Bierman

3rd & 7Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.39

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the MINN 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Alex Orji pass incomplete

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Alex Orji pass incomplete to Fredrick Moore, broken up by Maverick Baranowski

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 22

3rd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.10

Alex Orji run for 15 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Alex Orji pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Alex Orji pass incomplete for a 1ST down Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Jalen Logan-Redding) to the MINN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Mullings,Kalel rush left (Baranowski,Maverick;Williams,Devon).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Alex Orji pass complete to Marlin Klein for 9 yds to the MINN 27

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.00

Kalel Mullings 27 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 62 yds , Koi Perich return for 17 yds to the MINN 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the MINN 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Max Brosmer pass complete to Marcus Major for 13 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Max Brosmer pass complete to Cristian Driver for 14 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Jaren Mangham run for 16 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MICH 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Kenric Lanier II

3rd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.64

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 37

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Dragan Kesich 55 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MICH 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 43

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Alex Orji run for 3 yds to the MICH 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.61

Taylor,Darius rush (Hall,Aamir;Hausmann,Ernest), PENALTY MIN holding (Cooper,Tyler) 6 yards to the MIN19. Minnesota Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyler Cooper) to the MINN 7

1st & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 12

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Marcus Major, broken up by Rayshaun Benny

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the MINN 20

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Alex Orji pass complete to Colston Loveland for 10 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Mullings,Kalel rush middle (Baranowski,Maverick).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Kendrick Bell

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Colston Loveland

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, false start (Greg Johnson) to the MINN 15

1st & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.32

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the MINN 12

2nd & 18Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds Max Brosmer fumbled, recovered by MICH Zeke Berry

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Kalel Mullings run for 10 yds to the MINN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the MINN 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kalel Mullings 1 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Le'Meke Brockington

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer, broken up by Brandyn Hillman

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Alex Orji run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Alex Orji run for 2 yds to the MICH 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete to Marlin Klein

4th & 9Punt+22 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 54 yds , Koi Perich returns for 22 yds to the MINN 42

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Taylor,Darius rush middle (Rolder,Jimmy;Guy,T.J.).

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Max Brosmer sacked by Kenneth Grant for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 41

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.69

Max Brosmer sacked by Mason Graham for a loss of 10 yards to the MINN 31

4th & 21Punt+7 yds

punt for no gain , Christian Boivin returns for 7 yds to the MINN 38 Minnesota Penalty, illegal formation (Le'Meke Brockington) to the MINN 11

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Max Brosmer pass intercepted by HILL, Jyaire

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Tyler Morris 11 Yd pass from Alex Orji (Dominic Zvada Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Alex Orji run for 2 yds to the MICH 44

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.21

Alex Orji sacked by Jah Joyner for a loss of 8 yards to the MICH 36

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for no gain to the MINN 22 for a 1ST down Michigan Penalty, roughing passer (Jaishawn Barham) to the MINN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 10 yds to the MINN 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.48

Max Brosmer sacked by Mason Graham for a loss of 7 yards to the MINN 41

2nd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 7 yds to the MINN 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.26

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 20 yds to the MICH 32 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, false start (Greg Johnson) to the MICH 37

2nd & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.33

Max Brosmer sacked by Rayshaun Benny and Derrick Moore for a loss of 8 yards to the MICH 45

3rd & 23Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +5.75

Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 44 yds to the MICH 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Tyler Morris

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Alex Orji pass complete to Kendrick Bell for 8 yds to the MICH 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the MICH 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Alex Orji pass complete to Colston Loveland for 10 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Alex Orji run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Alex Orji pass complete to Donovan Edwards for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Alex Orji run for 9 yds to the MINN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MINN 35

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Fredrick Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 37

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MINN 35

4th & 4Field Goal Good+53 yds

Dominic Zvada 53 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Darius Taylor

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taylor,Darius rush right (Hausmann,Ernest).

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 2 yds to the MINN 27

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 48 yds , Tyler Morris returns for 3 yds to the MICH 28

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.39

Alex Orji pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 1 yd to the MICH 29 Michigan Penalty, Offensive holding (Fredrick Moore) to the MICH 19

1st & 19Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.84

Alex Orji pass complete to Kendrick Bell for 16 yds to the MICH 35

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Donovan Edwards run for 10 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.72

Alex Orji pass intercepted by ROBINSON, Ethan

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 11 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 3 yds to the MINN 42

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.72

Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for no gain to the MINN 46 Minnesota Penalty, Offensive holding (Quinn Carroll) to the MINN 36

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.76

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 13 yds to the MINN 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 11 yds to the MICH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Michigan Penalty, off-side (Rayshaun Benny) to the MICH 35

1st & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.42

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 9 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Max Brosmer run for 4 yds to the MICH 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer, broken up by Kenneth Grant

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, false start (Quinn Carroll) to the MICH 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

4th & 11Pass Incompletion+14 ydsPPA +2.41

Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Nick Kallerup, broken up by Mason Graham for a 1ST down Michigan Penalty, personal foul (Mason Graham) to the MICH 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 10 yds to the MICH 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the MICH 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 34

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.95

Kalel Mullings run for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 31

4th & 4Punt+60 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 17 , Koi Perich returns for 60 yds to the MICH 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the MICH 8

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MICH 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Darius Taylor 4 Yd Run (Dragan Kesich Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the MICH 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Alex Orji pass complete to Colston Loveland for 15 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Kalel Mullings run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 48

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the MINN 40

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.30

Kalel Mullings run for 10 yds to the MINN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Orji pass incomplete to Donovan Edwards, broken up by Jah Joyner

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Kalel Mullings run for 19 yds to the MINN 11 Michigan Penalty, Offensive holding (C.J. Charleston) to the MINN 21

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MINN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MINN 18

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MINN 17

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Tyler Morris

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 yds

Dominic Zvada 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 2 yds to the MINN 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 19 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Max Brosmer sacked by TJ Guy for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 44

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

pass incomplete to Darius Taylor

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.30

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 12 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

pass incomplete to Darius Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 6 yds to the MICH 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 10 yds to the MICH 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Darius Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

pass incomplete to Nick Kallerup

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the MICH 13

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.53

Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the MICH 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Daniel Jackson 12 Yd pass from Max Brosmer (Dragan Kesich Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Kalel Mullings run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 40

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -2.67

Alex Orji run for a loss of 11 yards to the MICH 49 Alex Orji fumbled, recovered by MICH Alex Orji

3rd & 23Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the MICH 22

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
28%
25 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
55%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play