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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 12.7

Home Win Probability

Penn State 81%

Market (Bovada)

Penn State -19

Edge: Illinois +19 (6.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
70007
Penn StatePenn State
707721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-721-7
Penn StateIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLPSILLPSILLPSILLPSPSILLPSILLPSILLPSILLPSTD1175ydTD875ydPUNT435ydPUNT638ydPUNT833ydMISS1369ydMISS1250ydUncategorized411ydTD1274ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS943ydPUNT65ydMISS645ydTO625ydTD841ydTO817ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Penn State
StatisticIllinoisPenn State
Passing16-2515-21
Pass Yards185135
Rush Yards34241
Total Yards219376
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-136-11
Penalties9-606-63
Possession26:1133:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Luke Altmyer
16/25, 185 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kaden Feagin
13 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
Zakhari Franklin
4 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
15/21, 135 YDS
rushing
Kaytron Allen
18 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kaden Feagin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 24

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the ILL 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 13 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kaden Feagin run for 1 yd to the ILL 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.35

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 18 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kaden Feagin for 6 yds to the PSU 33

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.12

Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the PSU 28 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the PSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kaden Feagin run for 4 yds to the PSU 10

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.21

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the PSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Carson Goda for 4 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 20 yds to the PSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Drew Allar run for 11 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Nicholas Singleton run for 14 yds to the ILL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the ILL 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 16 yds to the ILL 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the ILL 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Tyler Warren run for 3 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 17 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(05:01) ALTMYER, Luke pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BRYANT, Pat thrown to the PSU19, clock 04:58. PENALTY PSU Offsides on VANOVER, Amin declined PSU Pass Interference on HARRIS, AJ enforced 15 yards to the PSU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Aidan Laughery run for no gain to the PSU 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Luke Altmyer run for 3 yds to the PSU 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 36 yds, downed at the PSU 4

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.36

Kaytron Allen run for 12 yds to the PSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 5 yds to the PSU 21

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Kaytron Allen run for 12 yds to the PSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Drew Allar sacked by Pat Farrell and Seth Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 7 yds to the PSU 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 3 yds to the PSU 42

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the ILL 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 12 yds to the ILL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Josh McCray run for a loss of 3 yards to the ILL 20

2nd & 13Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.25

Luke Altmyer sacked by Kobe King for a loss of 3 yards to the ILL 17

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

Illinois Penalty, False Start (Kaden Feagin) to the ILL 12

3rd & 21Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for 30 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ca'Lil Valentine for 1 yd to the ILL 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Nicholas Singleton run for 8 yds to the PSU 16

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Beau Pribula run for 7 yds to the PSU 27

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the PSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Kaytron Allen run for 14 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the ILL 34

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the ILL 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.58

Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 4 yds to the ILL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 4 yds to the ILL 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Sander Sahaydak 40 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.86

Kaden Feagin run for 34 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Kaden Feagin run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 45

2nd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Luke Altmyer run for 13 yds to the PSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Kaden Feagin run for 1 yd to the PSU 31

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the PSU 29

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the PSU 27 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tony Rojas) to the PSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Kaden Feagin run for 9 yds to the PSU 4

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.71

Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the PSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.64

Luke Altmyer run for a loss of 9 yards to the PSU 11 Luke Altmyer fumbled, recovered by ILL Kaden Feagin K. Feagin return for 0 yds

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.57

Luke Altmyer run for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 14

4th & 22Penalty-5 yds

Illinois Penalty, False Start (Alec Bryant) to the PSU 27

3rd & 14Penalty-8 yds

Illinois Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Luke Altmyer) to the PSU 22

4th & 27Field Goal Missed+45 yds

David Olano 45 yd FG MISSED

0th & 27End of Half-35 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 15 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Drew Allar sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 38

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 59 yds , Nicholas Singleton return for 20 yds to the PSU 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the PSU 35

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Drew Allar run for 9 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.48

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 9 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Kaytron Allen run for 7 yds to the ILL 37

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, False Start (Drew Shelton) to the ILL 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds to the ILL 35

3rd & 1Penalty+10 yds

(10:45) ALLAR, Drew pass short to the right incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Luke thrown to the ILL30; QB hurried by FARRELL, Pat, clock 10:41. PENALTY ILL Holding on JACAS, Gabe enforced 10 yards from the ILL35 to the ILL25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the ILL 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 12 yds to the ILL 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the ILL 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the ILL 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(08:36) ALTMYER, Luke pass to the right complete for 9 yards to FRANKLIN, Zakhari caught at the ILL33 and advanced to the ILL34 (WHEATLEY, Zakee;HARRIS, AJ), clock 08:30. PENALTY Before the snap, ILL Illegal Shift on DIXON, Collin enforced 5 yards from the ILL25 to the ILL20. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the ILL 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.21

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for no gain to the ILL 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

Illinois Penalty, False Start (Alec Bryant) to the ILL 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 48

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Kaytron Allen run for 13 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the ILL 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Beau Pribula run for 3 yds to the ILL 34

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyler Warren run for 10 yds to the ILL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the ILL 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the ILL 19

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the ILL 17

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -3.63

Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 2 yds to the ILL 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Josh McCray run for no gain to the ILL 15

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 9 yds to the ILL 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the ILL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.20

Luke Altmyer sacked by Zane Durant for a loss of 7 yards to the ILL 19

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for 8 yds to the ILL 27

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.31

Luke Altmyer sacked by Tony Rojas and Jaylen Reed for a loss of 7 yards to the ILL 20

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 48 yds, downed at the PSU 32

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Nicholas Singleton run for 11 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ALLAR, Drew pass deep to the left incomplete intended for EVANS, Omari thrown to the ILL13, clock 11:45. PENALTY ILL Pass Interference on BROOKS, Terrance enforced 15 yards to the ILL42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Nicholas Singleton run for 13 yds to the ILL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the ILL 29

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the ILL 26

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the ILL 23

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Sander Sahaydak 40 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Altmyer run for 5 yds to the ILL 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.75

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 16 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Kaden Feagin run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 48

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

(06:04) ALTMYER, Luke pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FRANKLIN, Zakhari broken up by KIMBER, Jalen at the PSU32, clock 06:00. PENALTY PSU Offsides on CARTER, Abdul enforced 5 yards from the ILL48 to the PSU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Illinois Penalty, False Start (Alec Bryant) to the ILL 48

4th & 6Pass Interception Return+61 ydsPPA -0.48

Luke Altmyer pass intercepted A.J. Harris return for 51 yds Penn State Penalty, Illegal Block (Zion Tracy) to the ILL 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 8 yds to the ILL 33

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 8 yds to the ILL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Beau Pribula run for 7 yds to the ILL 19

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the ILL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the ILL 13

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the ILL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Luke Altmyer sacked by Jaylen Reed and Smith Vilbert for a loss of 8 yards to the ILL 17

2nd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kaden Feagin for 6 yds to the ILL 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.66

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 18 yds to the ILL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.56

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 21 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Luke Altmyer sacked by Abdul Carter and Alec Bryant for a loss of 5 yards to the PSU 43

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 15Penalty-10 yds

(00:40) ALTMYER, Luke pass short to the right complete for 7 yards to FEAGIN, Kaden caught at the PSU40 and advanced to the PSU36 (TRACY, Zion), clock 00:34. PENALTY ILL Holding on DAVIS, J.C. enforced 10 yards from the PSU43 to the ILL47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 25Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.27

Luke Altmyer sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ILL 33 Luke Altmyer fumbled, recovered by PSU Smith Vilbert , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

(00:21) [SG] Kneel down by ALLAR, Drew at ILL35 (team loss of 2), clock 00:16.

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
30%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
65%
31 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play