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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Washington by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Washington 78%

Market (Bovada)

Washington -12

Edge: Washington -12 (0.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
02305
WashingtonWashington
7100724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-017-017-217-524-5
WashingtonNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORWASNORWASNORWASNORWASNORWASNORWASNORWASWASNORWASNORWASNORWASNORWASNORWASPUNT37ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT31ydTD673ydPUNT417ydFG1188ydPUNT3-5ydTD431ydPUNT529ydSAF1-6ydPUNT73ydPUNT730ydTO426ydMISS318ydPUNT37ydPUNT614ydTO316ydFG832ydTD1177ydDOWNS41ydPUNT37ydTO44ydDOWNS1037ydPUNT34ydEND627yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Washington
StatisticNorthwesternWashington
Passing8-2722-30
Pass Yards53247
Rush Yards59144
Total Yards112391
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-136-12
Penalties4-457-47
Possession27:0832:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Jack Lausch
8/27, 53 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jack Lausch
13 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
A.J. Henning
5 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Washington
passing
Will Rogers
20/28, 223 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jonah Coleman
15 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Denzel Boston
7 REC, 121 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 65 yds , Coco Azema return for 11 yds to the NU 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 1 yd to the NU 12

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jack Lausch run for 6 yds to the NU 18

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 6 yds to the WASH 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.36

Will Rogers sacked by Anto Saka for a loss of 8 yards to the WASH 35

4th & 12Punt+18 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 49 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 18 yds to the NU 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the NU 35

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Illegal Motion (Coco Azema) declined

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Luke Akers punt for 43 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 5 yds to the WASH 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.21

Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 11 yds to the WASH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 11 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 46 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 58 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 17 yds to the NU 24

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Jack Lausch run for 11 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the NU 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 2 yds to the NU 38

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NU 41

4th & 4Punt+11 yds

Luke Akers punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 20 , Denzel Boston returns for 11 yds to the WASH 48 Washington Penalty, Illegal Block (Peyton Waters) to the WASH 20

4th & 4Punt+11 yds

Luke Akers punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 8 , Denzel Boston returns for 11 yds to the WASH 48 Washington Penalty, Illegal Block (Peyton Waters) to the WASH 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 11

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Jonah Coleman run for 14 yds to the WASH 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 18 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the WASH 48

2nd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.48

Will Rogers run for 20 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the NU 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.54

Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 18 yds to the NU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the NU 7

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the NU 4

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Grady Gross 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jack Lausch run for 5 yds to the NU 20 Jack Lausch fumbled, recovered by NU Joseph Himon II

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NU 23

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 20

4th & 15Punt+25 yds

Luke Akers punt for 36 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 25 yds to the NU 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Will Rogers run for 5 yds to the NU 26

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Jonah Coleman run for 11 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the NU 13

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.74

Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 13 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(10:12) Shotgun Lausch,Jack pass incomplete deep left to Henning,A.J. thrown to WASH48 PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Shaw,Jordan) 15 yards from NU25 to NU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 15 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the WASH 39

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

(08:50) Shotgun Komolafe,Caleb rush left for 2 yards gain to the WASH37 (House,Khmori) PENALTY WASH Offside (Holtzclaw,Lance) 5 yards from WASH39 to WASH34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.03

Jack Lausch sacked by Voi Tunuufi for a loss of 7 yards to the WASH 41

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jack Lausch run for no gain to the WASH 41

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

(07:09) PENALTY NU False Start (Tiernan,Caleb) 5 yards from WASH41 to WASH46. NO PLAY.

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 6

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

(06:43) PENALTY WASH False Start (Azzopardi,Drew) 3 yards from WASH06 to WASH03. NO PLAY.

1st & 13Safety0 ydsPPA -1.88

Will Rogers pass incomplete for a SAFETY Washington Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Will Rogers) to the WASH 0

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 72 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 37 yds to the NU 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 8 yds to the WASH 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the WASH 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.11

Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the WASH 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.87

Jack Lausch sacked by Isaiah Ward for a loss of 9 yards to the NU 48

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 18

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Cameron Davis run for 12 yds to the WASH 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the WASH 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 9 yds to the WASH 38

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the WASH 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

Washington Penalty, Illegal Shift (Yards) declined

4th & 8Punt+19 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NU 32 , A.J. Henning returns for 19 yds to the NU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 12 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 14 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.71

Jack Lausch pass intercepted Carson Bruener return for no gain to the WASH 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 13 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 5 yds to the NU 34

2nd & 5Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Grady Gross 51 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half-66 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 38 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 30

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the NU 31

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.38

Jack Lausch run for 11 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the NU 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 9 yds to the WASH 26

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.57

Will Rogers run for no gain to the WASH 33 Will Rogers fumbled, recovered by NU Xander Mueller

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

A.J. Henning run for 9 yds to the WASH 24

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Jack Lausch run for 5 yds to the WASH 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Joseph Himon II run for 15 yds to the WASH 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 2 yds to the WASH 2

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the WASH 1 Jack Lausch fumbled, recovered by NU

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the WASH 1

4th & 1Field Goal Good+18 yds

Jack Olsen 18 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Luke Akers kickoff for 64 yds , Keith Reynolds return for 22 yds to the WASH 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Rogers run for 5 yds to the WASH 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the WASH 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.94

Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the NU 40

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Adam Mohammed run for 7 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Xander Mueller for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 16 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the NU 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 10 yds to the NU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jonah Coleman run for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+96 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 63 yds , Joseph Himon II return for 96 yds to the WASH 2

1st & 2Penalty+1 yds

(13:49) Shotgun Lausch,Jack pass incomplete short right to Henning,A.J. thrown to WASH00 PENALTY WASH Holding (Dixon,Thaddeus) 1 yard from WASH02 to WASH01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the WASH 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 4

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 8

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+2 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 35 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 2 yds to the WASH 41

4th & 3Punt+2 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 35 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 2 yds to the NU 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 43

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

(10:17) Shotgun Lausch,Jack pass complete short right to Kirtz,Bryce caught at WASH42, for 15 yards to the WASH42, End Of Play PENALTY NU Holding (Carsello,Jackson) 10 yards from NU43 to NU33. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.85

Jack Lausch pass intercepted Khmori House return for no gain to the NU 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 7 yds to the NU 39

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the NU 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 1 yd to the NU 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 5 yds to the NU 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 9 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Cameron Davis run for 9 yds to the NU 9

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Cameron Davis run for no gain to the NU 9

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.06

Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the NU 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the NU 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+9 yds

Luke Akers punt for 54 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 9 yds to the WASH 43

4th & 6Punt+9 yds

Luke Akers punt for 54 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 9 yds to the WASH 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Will Rogers run for 2 yds to the WASH 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.79

Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 3 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Personal Foul (Mac Uihlein) to the NU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Rogers pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 5 yds to the NU 36

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds to the NU 32

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds to the NU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

W. Rogers takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
20 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Washington

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play