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← Back to GamesSep 22, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boston College by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Boston College 66%

Market (Bovada)

Boston College -4.5

Edge: Boston College -4.5 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 22, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
3103319
Boston CollegeBoston College
0610723

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-36-36-106-1316-1616-1923-19
Boston CollegeMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BCMSBCMSBCMSBCMSBCMSBCBCMSBCMSBCMSBCMSBCMSBCPUNT3-3ydFG926ydTO858ydPUNT37ydTD1164ydTD975ydPUNT31ydTO630ydPUNT3-4ydFG851ydEND1-3ydFG4-16ydTO1-5ydTD136ydFG842ydPUNT540ydPUNT69ydDOWNS1257ydFG1889ydTD675ydTO439ydEND3-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Boston College
StatisticMichigan StateBoston College
Passing17-3510-16
Pass Yards241140
Rush Yards127152
Total Yards368292
Turnovers41
3rd Down7-155-13
Penalties3-253-25
Possession32:3027:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Aidan Chiles
17/35, 241 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Kay'Ron Adams
15 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Montorie Foster
4 REC, 87 YDS
defense
Boston College
passing
Thomas Castellanos
10/16, 140 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Treshaun Ward
14 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lewis Bond
6 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the BC 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for no gain to the BC 26

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.26

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Quindarius Dunnigan for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ivan Zivenko punt for 27 yds, downed at the BC 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nate Carter run for 5 yds to the BC 44

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Aidan Chiles run for 9 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nate Carter run for no gain to the BC 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 13 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Nate Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 23

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+41 yds

Jonathan Kim 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Boston College Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 27

1st & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Thomas Castellanos run for 11 yds to the BC 38

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Turbo Richard run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the MSU 48

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Michigan State Penalty, Personal Foul (Khris Bogle) to the MSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Treshaun Ward run for 11 yds to the MSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the MSU 13

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -4.33

Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the MSU 7 Treshaun Ward fumbled, recovered by MSU Wayne Matthews III W. Matthews III return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MSU 11

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MSU 14

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 50 yds, downed at the BC 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the BC 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the BC 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.29

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Treshaun Ward run for 12 yds to the MSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the MSU 34

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the MSU 33

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the MSU 32

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 5 yds to the MSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the MSU 21

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.02

Treshaun Ward run for 10 yds to the MSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Turbo Richard run for 11 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Aidan Chiles run for 11 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MSU 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MSU 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 12 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.30

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 40 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Aidan Chiles run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 59 yds , Jayden McGowan return for 13 yds to the BC 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Turbo Richard run for 1 yd to the BC 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

Ivan Zivenko punt for 50 yds , Montorie Foster Jr. returns for 4 yds to the MSU 34

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.72

Nate Carter run for a loss of 7 yards to the MSU 27

2nd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.69

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 17 yds to the MSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.43

Aidan Chiles run for 22 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the BC 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 36

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.08

Aidan Chiles pass intercepted Carter Davis return for no gain to the BC 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the BC 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the BC 28

3rd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.62

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Khris Bogle and Jalen Satchell for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 18

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ivan Zivenko punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Nate Carter run for 12 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 14 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Aidan Chiles run for 18 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 9 yds to the BC 6

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Nate Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 8

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+26 yds

Jonathan Kim 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

(00:15) [SG] Kneel down by CASTELLANOS, Thomas at BC22 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+65 yds

Luca Lombardo kickoff for 65 yds , Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams return for 5 yds to the MSU 5 Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams fumbled, recovered by BC Omar Thornton O. Thornton return for 5 yds , return for no gain to the MSU 5

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the MSU 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the MSU 3

3rd & 3Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.84

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Jordan Turner for a loss of 13 yards to the MSU 16

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, Delay Of Game (Luca Lombardo) to the MSU 21

4th & 21Field Goal Good+39 yds

Luca Lombardo 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MSU 20

1st & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.18

Aidan Chiles pass intercepted Amari Jackson return for no gain to the MSU 36

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Treshaun Ward run for 36 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the MSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 13 yds to the MSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MSU 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.12

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 21 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the BC 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+51 yds

Jonathan Kim 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Thomas Castellanos run for 15 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 25 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Liam Connor punt for 33 yds, downed at the MSU 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nate Carter run for 4 yds to the MSU 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Michael Masunas for 3 yds to the MSU 9

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 4 yds to the MSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 12

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.07

Quindarius Dunnigan run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 11

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cameron Martinez at the BC 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Turbo Richard run for 7 yds to the BC 48

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the MSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Anthony Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 49

2nd & 12Penalty0 yds

Boston College Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on KENDALL, Drew (Yards) declined

3rd & 12Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.45

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 27 yds to the MSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

CASTELLANOS, Thomas pass short to the right incomplete intended for WARD, Treshaun thrown to the MSU20, clock 01:46. PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the MSU22 to the MSU17. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the MSU 16

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 3 yds to the MSU 13

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.18

Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the MSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the MSU 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Turbo Richard run for 1 yd to the MSU 4

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Thomas Castellanos run for 3 yds to the MSU 1 Thomas Castellanos fumbled, recovered by BC return for 0 yds

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.21

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MSU 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.72

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 26 yds to the MSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.76

Aidan Chiles sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for a loss of 12 yards to the MSU 20

2nd & 22Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.50

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 14 yds to the MSU 34

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Aidan Chiles run for 7 yds to the MSU 41

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.21

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 19 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the BC 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the BC 27

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.30

Aidan Chiles run for 2 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.10

Nate Carter run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 30

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.17

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 19 yds to the BC 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the BC 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jonathan Kim 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the BC 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 7 yds to the BC 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.37

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 16 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the MSU 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the MSU 42

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.96

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 42 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 6 yds to the MSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.06

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 21 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 12 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Boston College Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Carter Davis) for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

[SG] Kneel down by CASTELLANOS, Thomas at BC8 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.14

[SG] Kneel down by CASTELLANOS, Thomas at BC5 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

3rd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.03

[SG] Kneel down by CASTELLANOS, Thomas at BC2 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
41%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play