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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4
USCUSC
24
-Final
27
MichiganMichigan
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 11.6

Home Win Probability

Michigan 74%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan +4

Edge: Michigan +4 (15.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
0314724
MichiganMichigan
776727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-314-1020-1020-1720-2427-24
MichiganUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICUSCMICUSCMICUSCMICUSCMICUSCMICUSCUSCMICUSCUSCUSCMICUSCMICUSCMICUSCMICUSCMICUSCMICPUNT719ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-4ydTD563ydPUNT39ydPUNT727ydPUNT411ydTD680ydFG864ydPUNT623ydEND941ydTD1275ydPUNT3-1ydTD37ydTO666ydTD227ydPUNT37ydPUNT38ydPUNT31ydPUNT618ydTO16ydTD318ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-3ydTD1089ydDOWNS620ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Michigan
StatisticUSCMichigan
Passing28-527-12
Pass Yards28332
Rush Yards96290
Total Yards379322
Turnovers22
3rd Down7-194-15
Penalties6-323-25
Possession30:4229:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Miller Moss
28/51, 283 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jo'quavious Marks
13 CAR, 100 YDS
receiving
Zachariah Branch
6 REC, 98 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Alex Orji
7/12, 32 YDS
rushing
Kalel Mullings
17 CAR, 159 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Marlin Klein
1 REC, 10 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Alex Orji run for 3 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alex Orji pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 5 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 39

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Alex Orji run for 5 yds to the MICH 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Woody Marks run for no gain to the USC 6

2nd & 10Penalty-3 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Paige) to the USC 3

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.04

Woody Marks run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 1

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 60 yds , Semaj Morgan returns for 19 yards to the USC 42. MICH Personal Foul on Brandyn Hillman, enforced 15 yards from the end of the play at the USC 42 to the MICH 43,

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Kalel Mullings run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 42

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Alex Orji run for 4 yds to the MICH 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Alex Orji pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 5 yds to the USC 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Woody Marks run for 5 yds to the USC 25

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.01

Miller Moss sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 16

3rd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.06

Miller Moss pass complete to Lake McRee for no gain to the USC 16

4th & 14Punt+12 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 59 yds, Semaj Morgan returns for 12 yds to the MICH 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Alex Orji pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Alex Orji pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Alex Orji pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 9 yds to the MICH 46

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.08

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Kalel Mullings run for 53 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 8 yds to the USC 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Woody Marks run for 1 yd to the USC 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Woody Marks run for no gain to the USC 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 31

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Alex Orji run for 6 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Alex Orji run for 14 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 49

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Alex Orji pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the USC 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 35 yds, downed at the USC 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 10 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Woody Marks run for 1 yd to the USC 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the MICH 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Fredrick Moore run for 15 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Alex Orji run for 6 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Kalel Mullings run for 7 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Donovan Edwards run for 41 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 24 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Miller Moss pass complete to Quinten Joyner for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 48

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.72

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 42 yds to the MICH 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Miller Moss pass complete to Lake McRee for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Michael Lantz 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 32

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Alex Orji run for 9 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MICH 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Alex Orji pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 2 yds to the MICH 47

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MICH 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 8

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

Miller Moss pass to Kyron Hudson for 2 yards to the USC 10. PENALTY USC Illegal Block in the Back (McRee) enforced half the distance from the goal

1st & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.86

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 15 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Miller Moss pass incomplete. PENALTY MICH Offsides on (Moore) enforced 5 yards

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 11 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.02

Miller Moss pass complete to Jay Fair for 24 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST down

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kyron Hudson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Miller Moss pass complete to Jay Fair for 2 yds to the MICH 39

3rd & 8Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.42

Miller Moss sacked by Kenneth Grant for a loss of 12 yards to the USC 49

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Woody Marks run for 12 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 4 yds to the USC 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.69

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 13 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Miller Moss pass complete to Lake McRee for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 48

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Miller Moss pass complete to Quinten Joyner for 7 yds to the MICH 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.78

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 15 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 12 yds to the MICH 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the MICH 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 3 yds to the MICH 9

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Alex Orji pass complete to Kalel Mullings for 2 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Alex Orji run for 3 yds to the MICH 30

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.57

Alex Orji sacked by Eric Gentry for a loss of 6 yards to the MICH 24

4th & 11Punt+8 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 50 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for 8 yds to the USC 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 6 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 1 yd to the USC 41

3rd & 3Interception Return Touchdown+42 ydsPPA -8.13

Miller Moss pass intercepted Will Johnson return for 42 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Woody Marks run for 8 yds to the USC 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+65 ydsPPA +5.08

Woody Marks run for 65 yds to the MICH 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Alani Noa) to the MICH 7

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Miller Moss run for 1 yd to the MICH 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Miller Moss sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 9 Miller Moss fumbled, recovered by MICH Kenneth Grant , return for 18 yards fumbled, recovered by USC , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Quinten Joyner run for 11 yds to the MICH 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Miller Moss pass complete to Jay Fair for 16 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Orji run for 4 yds to the MICH 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Alex Orji run for no gain to the MICH 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 10

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Miller Moss sacked by Mason Graham for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 6

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Quinten Joyner run for 5 yds to the USC 11

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Quinten Joyner run for 7 yds to the USC 18

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Alex Orji pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Alex Orji pass complete to Semaj Morgan for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 34

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 51 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for 5 yds to the USC 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the USC 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.82

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 12 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the USC 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 50 yds, downed at the MICH 12

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.27

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MICH 18 Donovan Edwards fumbled, recovered by USC Eric Gentry return for 0 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Miller Moss pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 2 yards to the MICH 16. PENALTY USC Holding (Eldridge) enforced 10 yards

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 4 yds to the MICH 24

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 16Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +4.26

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 24 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Michael Lantz kickoff for 65 yds , Keshaun Harris return for 16 yds to the MICH 16

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Alex Orji run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 15

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 16

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.13

Alex Orji sacked by Braylan Shelby for a loss of 4 yards to the MICH 12

4th & 14Punt+6 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 56 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for 6 yds to the USC 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 35

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+3 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 57 yds , Semaj Morgan returns for 3 yds to the MICH 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 15

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Michigan Penalty, False Start (Dominick Giudice) to the MICH 10

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Alex Orji pass complete to Marlin Klein for 10 yds to the MICH 20

3rd & 1Rush+63 ydsPPA +4.17

Kalel Mullings run for 63 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the USC 16

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the USC 8

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.48

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the USC 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Alex Orji pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the USC 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Miller Moss pass complete to Woody Marks for 11 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Mason Murphy) to the USC 31

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 6 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 8 yds to the USC 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

(00:03) Kneel down by ORJI, Alex at USC46 (team loss of 1), clock 00:01.

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
26 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
22 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays