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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 7.5

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 28%

Market (Bovada)

Oregon State +19

Edge: Oregon State +19 (11.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OregonOregon
715101749
Oregon StateOregon State
770014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-77-157-2214-2214-2514-3214-3914-4614-49
Oregon StateOregon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREMISS1149ydTD874ydTD1375ydTD475ydPUNT514ydTD884ydTD1481ydEND1-1ydFG1068ydPUNT37ydTD975ydPUNT36ydTD682ydPUNT515ydTD680ydDOWNS729ydFG733ydDOWNS724ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon and Oregon State
StatisticOregonOregon State
Passing23-2723-35
Pass Yards306178
Rush Yards240131
Total Yards546309
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-67-15
Penalties3-366-65
Possession27:0832:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon
passing
Dillon Gabriel
20/24, 291 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jordan James
12 CAR, 86 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tez Johnson
7 REC, 110 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
Gevani McCoy
22/34, 172 YDS
rushing
Anthony Hankerson
15 CAR, 57 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Trent Walker
8 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.20

Gevani McCoy run for 42 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ORST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the ORST 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.81

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 15 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 10 yds to the ORE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 28

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Gevani McCoy run for 4 yds to the ORE 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 3 yds to the ORE 21

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Oregon State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 26

4th & 6Blocked Field Goal+43 yds

Everett Hayes 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Matayo Uiagalelei

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 31

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Jordan James run for 8 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 13 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.84

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds to the ORST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORST 22

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA -0.05

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 15 yds to the ORST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 3 yds to the ORST 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jordan James run for 4 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Oregon Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jordan Burch) to the ORST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORE 48

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 6 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORE 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.32

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 13 yds to the ORE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 25

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Anthony Hankerson run for 8 yds to the ORE 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 7 yds to the ORE 8

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.48

Jam Griffin run for 2 yds to the ORE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 5 yds to the ORE 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for a loss of 4 yards to the ORE 46

2nd & 14Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +5.84

Dillon Gabriel run for 54 yds for a TD (K. Sadiq Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jam Griffin run for 7 yds to the ORST 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.99

run for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 31 fumbled, recovered by ORST Gabarri Johnson G. Johnson return for 0 yds

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Jam Griffin for 6 yds to the ORST 37

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Gabarri Johnson run for 2 yds to the ORST 39

4th & 9Punt+9 yds

Josh Green punt for 54 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 9 yds to the ORE 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the ORE 19

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the ORE 21

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.00

Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the ORE 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jayden Limar run for 2 yds to the ORE 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 33

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Jordan James run for 12 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(07:40) GABRIEL, Dillon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for STEWART, Evan thrown to the OSU20, clock 07:34. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on JORDAN JR., Andre enforced 15 yards to the OSU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.57

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 20 yds to the ORST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 20 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Atticus Sappington kickoff for 65 yds , Zachary Card return for 19 yds to the ORST 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORST 23

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Gevani McCoy run for 4 yds to the ORST 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.55

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 10 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 34

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 12 yds to the ORST 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Salahadin Allah run for no gain to the ORST 46

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.34

Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 14 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 4 yds to the ORE 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 5 yds to the ORE 27

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.88

Gevani McCoy run for 10 yds to the ORE 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 62 yds , Jayden Limar return for 26 yds to the ORE 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

(00:08) Kneel down by ORE at ORE28 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORE 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 10 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 12 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 11 yds to the ORST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORST 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.72

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 20 yds to the ORST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dillon Gabriel run for no gain to the ORST 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 4 yds to the ORST 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 yds

Atticus Sappington 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Atticus Sappington kickoff for 65 yds , Zachary Card return for 15 yds to the ORST 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the ORST 18

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.34

run for no gain to the ORST 18 fumbled, recovered by ORST Grant Starck G. Starck return for 0 yds

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 4 yds to the ORST 22

4th & 3Punt+51 yds

Josh Green punt for 51 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the ORE 25 , returns for 4 yds to the ORE 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the ORE 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 8 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the ORE 41

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.07

Noah Whittington run for 20 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the ORST 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.77

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 27 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jordan James run for 7 yds to the ORST 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Atticus Sappington kickoff for 59 yds , Zachary Card return for 16 yds to the ORST 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 4 yds to the ORST 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jam Griffin run for 2 yds to the ORST 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 54 yds, downed at the ORE 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 20

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.39

Jordan James run for 13 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Jordan James run for 14 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Traeshon Holden run for 21 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the ORST 27

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.79

Noah Whittington run for 27 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 9 yds to the ORST 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 3 yds to the ORST 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for no gain to the ORST 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the ORE 25

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Oregon Penalty, Illegal Block (Terrance Ferguson) to the ORE 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.89

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 18 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +6.86

Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jayden Limar for 65 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Gevani McCoy sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 13 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jam Griffin run for 4 yds to the ORE 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jay Harris run for 5 yds to the ORST 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Dante Moore pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 7 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Jay Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 44

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

MOORE, Dante pass deep to the left incomplete intended for KASPER, Kyler thrown to the OSU10. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on SINGLETON, Kobe enforced 15 yards to the OSU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Dante Moore pass complete to Jay Harris for 2 yds to the ORST 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jay Harris run for no gain to the ORST 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Dante Moore pass complete to Jayden Limar for 6 yds to the ORST 21

4th & 2Field Goal Good+39 yds

Atticus Sappington 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Gevani McCoy sacked by Terrance Green for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 23

2nd & 12Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper MCCOY, Gevani rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the OSU26 (GRAY, Tionne), out of bounds. PENALTY OSU Holding on STARCK, Grant enforced 10 yards from the OSU23 to the OSU13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 22Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.72

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 18 yds to the ORST 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 10 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 2 yds to the ORST 49

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Kneel down by MOORE, Dante at ORE49 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Kneel down by MOORE, Dante at ORE47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
31 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
88%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
17%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play