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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 18.4

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 87%

Market (Bovada)

Minnesota -17

Edge: Minnesota -17 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NevadaNevada
00000
MinnesotaMinnesota
6147027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-020-027-0
MinnesotaNevada

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINNEVMINNEVMINNEVMINNEVMINNEVMINNEVMINNEVNEVMINNEVMINNEVMINNEVMINFG852ydPUNT626ydPUNT38ydTO10ydFG652ydMISS1151ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-11ydTO542ydTO31ydTD216ydPUNT33ydTD769ydEND11ydPUNT820ydTD391ydPUNT3-3ydMISS922ydPUNT616ydPUNT3-1ydTO1044ydEND1268yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nevada and Minnesota
StatisticNevadaMinnesota
Passing15-2216-26
Pass Yards114191
Rush Yards58195
Total Yards172386
Turnovers31
3rd Down6-154-11
Penalties8-895-34
Possession30:4729:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nevada
passing
Brendon Lewis
15/22, 114 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Pat Garwo III
7 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Jaden Smith
1 REC, 25 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Max Brosmer
16/26, 191 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Darius Taylor
11 CAR, 124 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Daniel Jackson
4 REC, 61 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Matthew Killam kickoff for 65 yds , Le'Meke Brockington return for 14 yds to the MINN 14

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the MINN 22

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the MINN 23

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.87

Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.48

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 29 yds to the NEV 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEV 47

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the NEV 46

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.38

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 11 yds to the NEV 35

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the NEV 34

4th & 2Field Goal Good+52 yds

Dragan Kesich 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Savion Red run for 2 yds to the NEV 27

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

(09:53) LEWIS, Brendon pass short up the middle complete for 4 yards to RED, Savion caught at the NEV31 and advanced to the NEV31 (BARANOWSKI, Maverick;LINDENBERG, Cody), clock 09:48. PENALTY UMN Offsides on JOYNER, Jah enforced 5 yards from the NEV27 to the NEV32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Minnesota Penalty, Roughing the Passer enforced (15 Yards) to the NEV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Nevada Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cortez Braham Jr.) to the NEV 38

1st & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Patrick Garwo III run for 5 yds to the NEV 43

2nd & 14Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Brendon Lewis sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 42

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 9 yds to the MINN 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Marcus Major run for no gain to the MINN 6

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 8 yds to the MINN 14

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Darius Taylor run for no gain to the MINN 14

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 40

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.24

Brendon Lewis pass intercepted Kerry Brown return for no gain to the MINN 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the NEV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.42

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 39 yds to the NEV 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 2 yds to the NEV 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 1 yd to the NEV 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Dragan Kesich 21 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

pass complete to Jace Henry for 8 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Savion Red run for 2 yds to the NEV 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Savion Red run for 1 yd to the NEV 28

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Savion Red run for 10 yds to the NEV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(14:19) QB Keeper LEWIS, Brendon rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the UMN47 (GOUSBY, Aidan), clock 14:15. PENALTY NEV Holding on WORLD, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the NEV46 to the NEV36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Savion Red run for 3 yds to the NEV 39

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brendon Lewis run for 7 yds to the NEV 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.49

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 25 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 2 yds to the MINN 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Savion Red run for 3 yds to the MINN 24

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+42 yds

Marcus Bellon 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 22

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Nevada Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the MINN 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Patrick Garwo III run for 4 yds to the NEV 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Patrick Garwo III run for 3 yds to the NEV 39

3rd & 3Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.32

Brendon Lewis sacked by Jack Henderson for a loss of 14 yards to the NEV 25

4th & 17Punt+16 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 53 yds , Koi Perich returns for 16 yds to the MINN 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 13 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the NEV 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.96

Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 19 yds to the NEV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the NEV 20

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.38

Max Brosmer pass intercepted, touchback. Keyshawn Cobb return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the NEV 21

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Savion Red run for no gain to the NEV 21

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+17 ydsPPA +0.16

Brendon Lewis pass intercepted Patrick Garwo III return for 17 yds to the NEV 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 6 yds to the NEV 10

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.39

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Savion Red run for 2 yds to the NEV 27

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(03:17) LEWIS, Brendon pass deep to the right complete for 19 yards to BRAHAM, Cortez caught at the NEV46 and advanced to the NEV46 (GREEN, Darius), out of bounds, clock 03:13. PENALTY NEV Holding on LOVELL, Spencer enforced 10 yards from the NEV27 to the NEV17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Patrick Garwo III run for 5 yds to the NEV 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 6 yds to the NEV 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 11 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.15

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 14 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Brosmer run for 4 yds to the NEV 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.95

Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 22 yds to the NEV 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

(00:46) BROSMER, Max pass to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Daniel thrown to the NEV3, clock 00:43. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on COATS JR., Michael enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the NEV4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 65 yds , Michael Coats Jr. return for 16 yds to the NEV 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Patrick Garwo III run for 1 yd to the NEV 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Patrick Garwo III for 6 yds to the NEV 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Patrick Garwo III run for 2 yds to the NEV 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Patrick Garwo III run for 3 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Kitan Crawford for 6 yds to the NEV 42

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Savion Red run for no gain to the NEV 48

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.74

Brendon Lewis sacked by Jack Henderson and Maverick Baranowski for a loss of 6 yards to the NEV 42

3rd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 3 yds to the NEV 45

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 46 yds, downed at the MINN 9

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

Minnesota Penalty, Offensive Holding (Aireontae Ersery) to the MINN 4

1st & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 14Penalty+15 yds

Nevada Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kristopher Ross) to the MINN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Darius Taylor run for 80 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 9 yds to the NEV 34

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

(08:17) LEWIS, Brendon pass deep to the left incomplete thrown to the NEV50; QB hurried by SMITH, Anthony, clock 08:11. PENALTY NEV Holding on WORLD, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the NEV34 to the NEV24 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the NEV 28

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.40

Brendon Lewis sacked by Darius Green for a loss of 6 yards to the NEV 22

4th & 13Punt+6 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 38 yds , Koi Perich returns for 6 yds to the MINN 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.33

Marcus Major run for 18 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Max Brosmer pass complete to Cristian Driver for a loss of 2 yards to the NEV 38

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Darius Taylor run for 11 yds to the NEV 27

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.32

Max Brosmer run for 3 yds to the NEV 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the NEV 19

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Marcus Major run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 23

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.60

Max Brosmer sacked by Aedan Seiuli for a loss of 9 yards to the NEV 32

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Dragan Kesich 50 yd FG MISSED

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 9 yds to the NEV 42

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 5 yds to the NEV 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.17

Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 19

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 40

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for no gain to the NEV 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.95

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 12 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the MINN 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Sean Dollars run for 3 yds to the MINN 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Sean Dollars run for 4 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 13 yds to the MINN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Sean Dollars run for 4 yds to the MINN 18

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the MINN 16

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.09

Brendon Lewis pass intercepted, touchback. Ethan Robinson return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.91

Marcus Major run for 20 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST down Nevada Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Kitan Crawford) to the NEV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.68

Marcus Major run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 48

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Max Brosmer pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.56

Darius Taylor run for 12 yds to the NEV 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Max Brosmer run for 2 yds to the NEV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the NEV 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the NEV 28

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the NEV 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaren Mangham run for 9 yds to the NEV 12

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the NEV 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, False Start (Phillip Daniels) to the NEV 15

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the NEV 13

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the NEV 12

Situational Analysis

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
18 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
64%
22 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play