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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 15.6

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 78%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Michigan State -42.5

Edge: Prairie View A&M +42.5 (26.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Prairie View A&M
00000
Michigan StateMichigan State
141331040

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-027-030-033-040-0
Michigan StatePrairie View A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PVAMSPVAMSPVAMSPVAMSPVAPVAMSPVAMSPVAMSPVAMSPUNT6-6ydTD1160ydPUNT39ydTD969ydPUNT427ydPUNT39ydMISS1047ydTD580ydTD848ydEND13ydFG1460ydPUNT614ydFG1284ydPUNT31ydTD1056ydPUNT412ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Prairie View A&M and Michigan State
StatisticPrairie View A&MMichigan State
Passing9-1720-29
Pass Yards123270
Rush Yards17188
Total Yards140458
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-118-11
Penalties8-3811-102
Possession26:0333:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Prairie View A&M
passing
Cameron Peters
9/17, 123 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Scooter Adams
5 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Tre'jon Spiller
7 REC, 91 YDS
defense
Michigan State
passing
Aidan Chiles
12/19, 173 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Nathan Carter
8 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Aziah Johnson
2 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cameron Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Connor Wisham run for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 24

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Prairie View A&M Penalty, False Start (Shemar Savage) to the PV 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.17

Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 17 yds to the PV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Wisham run for 4 yds to the PV 40

3rd & 15Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.24

Cameron Peters sacked by Ken Talley for a loss of 12 yards to the PV 19

2nd & 6Penalty-8 yds

Prairie View A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Cameron Peters) to the PV 32

4th & 27Punt+8 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 49 yds , Montorie Foster Jr. returns for 8 yds to the MSU 40

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Nate Carter run for 8 yds to the MSU 48

2nd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.28

Aidan Chiles run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSU 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.54

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 11 yds to the PV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 7 yds to the PV 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 8 yds to the PV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the PV 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the PV 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the PV 11

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Nate Carter run for 4 yds to the PV 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the PV 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Aidan Chiles run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PETERS, Cameron pass to the right complete for 6 yards to HERRON, Chris caught at the PV24 and advanced to the PV31 (MARTINEZ, Nikai;TURNER, Jordan). PENALTY PV Holding on SAVAGE, Shemar enforced 10 yards from the PV25 to the PV15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 13 yds to the PV 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cameron Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Cameron Peters pass complete to Christiful Herron for 6 yds to the PV 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 31

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MSU 26

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MSU 28

3rd & 13Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +4.06

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 34 yds to the PV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the PV 37

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 4 yards to the PV 41

3rd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.89

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 20 yds to the PV 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nate Carter run for 4 yds to the PV 17

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.07

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 17 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Cameron Peters pass complete to Shemar Savage for 26 yds to the MSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Scooter Adams run for 1 yd to the MSU 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Cameron Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cameron Peters pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.12

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 9 yds to the MSU 12

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 9 yds to the PV 42

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Scooter Adams run for 1 yd to the PV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.28

Scooter Adams run for 17 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Scooter Adams run for 4 yds to the MSU 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Scooter Adams run for 1 yd to the MSU 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.54

Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 26 yds to the MSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

Prairie View A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MSU 14

1st & 14Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.79

Christiful Herron run for a loss of 6 yards to the MSU 20

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cameron Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Cameron Peters pass incomplete

4th & 20Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Guillermo Garcia Rodriguez 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MSU 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MSU 26

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.29

Aidan Chiles run for 6 yds to the MSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Nick Marsh run for 8 yds to the MSU 40

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.50

Nate Carter run for 60 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Lamagea McDowell run for 2 yds to the PV 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Lamagea McDowell run for 3 yds to the PV 30

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

PETERS, Cameron pass short to the right intercepted by BRANTLEY, Charles at the PV35. Brantley return for 35 yards to the PV0, TOUCHDOWN MSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 03:30 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MSU Roughing the Passer on GROSE, Angelo enforced 15 yards from the PV30 to the PV45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Lamagea McDowell run for 1 yd to the PV 46

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Lamagea McDowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 45

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

PETERS, Cameron sacked for a loss of 5 yards at the PV40 (MATTHEWS, Wayne). PENALTY MSU Face mask on TALLEY, Ken enforced 15 yards from the PV45 to the MSU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 7 yds to the MSU 33

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Cameron Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Connor Wisham run for 6 yds to the MSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+100 ydsPPA -11.26

Cameron Peters pass intercepted Charles Brantley return for 100 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jonathan Kim kickoff for 60 yds , Nevon Cooper return for 14 yds to the PV 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Lamagea McDowell run for 3 yds to the PV 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Michael Masunas for 5 yds to the MSU 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 10 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Nate Carter run for 8 yds to the MSU 43

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Nate Carter run for 4 yds to the MSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Carter run for 5 yds to the PV 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.43

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 33 yds to the PV 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 7 yds to the PV 8

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the PV 7

3rd & 2Penalty+4 yds

CHILES, Aidan pass short to the left incomplete intended for VELLING, Jack thrown to the PV2. PENALTY PV Offsides on COLEMAN JR., Terrell enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the PV7 to the PV3 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 3Penalty-2 yds

Michigan State Penalty, Tripping (Yards) to the PV 5

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper CHILES, Aidan rush up the middle for a gain of 17 yards to the PV0, TOUCHDOWN MSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 09:27 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MSU Holding on BALDWIN, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the PV17 to the PV27. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 12 yds to the PV 15

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Jonathan Kim 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Cameron Peters sacked by Cal Haladay for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 24

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Lamagea McDowell run for 4 yds to the PV 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 12 yds to the PV 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lamagea McDowell run for 5 yds to the PV 45

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Lamagea McDowell run for a loss of 3 yards to the PV 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 7 yds to the PV 49

4th & 1Penalty-10 yds

MCDOWELL, Lamagea rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the PV50 (SPENCER, Malik). PENALTY PV Holding on BOWERS, Caden enforced 10 yards from the PV49 to the PV39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 50 yds, downed at the MSU 11

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 9 yds to the MSU 20

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 10 yds to the MSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jay Coyne for 12 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Antonio Gates Jr. for 4 yds to the MSU 46

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.49

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 13 yds to the PV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the PV 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Antonio Gates Jr. for 10 yds to the PV 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 15 yds to the PV 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the PV 11

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

CARTER, Nate rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the PV12 (SHAW, JR., Steven). PENALTY MSU Holding on SMITH, Jaelen enforced 10 yards from the PV11 to the PV21. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 21Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Zach Gillespie for 3 yds to the PV 18

3rd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Zach Gillespie for 13 yds to the PV 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Jonathan Kim 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jamarious Brooks run for no gain to the PV 30

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jamarious Brooks run for 5 yds to the PV 35

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.70

Jamarious Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the PV 31

4th & 9Punt+24 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 49 yds , Montorie Foster Jr. returns for 24 yds to the MSU 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Joseph Martinez run for 1 yd to the MSU 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.52

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Antonio Gates Jr. for 28 yds to the PV 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brandon Tullis run for 4 yds to the PV 23

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.23

Brandon Tullis run for 9 yds to the PV 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PV 19

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Brennan Parachek for 12 yds to the PV 7

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Makhi Frazier run for 5 yds to the PV 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty+2 yds

FRAZIER, Makhi rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards to the PV4 (KATE, III, James;FAIRROW, Davier). PENALTY PV Offsides on FAIRROW, Davier enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the PV2 to the PV1. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brandon Tullis run for no gain to the PV 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tommy Schuster run for 1 yd for a TD (Tarik Ahmetbasic KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jalen Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the PV 23

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

QB Keeper JOHNSON, Jaden rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the PV20 (SMITH, Armorion). PENALTY MSU Horse Collar Tackle on SMITH, Armorion enforced 15 yards from the PV23 to the PV38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.91

Jalen Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the PV 32

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Smith run for no gain to the PV 32

3rd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jalen Smith run for 5 yds to the PV 37

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Efren Jasso punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 20

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Kneel down by MSU at MSU18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Prairie View A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
17 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
57%
23 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
67%
9 plays
83%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th